The Los Angles Times throws one across the bow…..
The piece this morning IS clearly a puff piece for Kamala Harris for 2024….
If only it was THAT simple….
If Joseph Biden decide’s at 82, with disapproval numbers ABOVE 50% that he won’t run?
There is gonna be a political fight coming from California ….
Ten seconds after Harris would announce ?
Califonia Democratic Governor Gavin Newsom would be in…..
And off we would go…..
My money would be Newsom….
Perhaps you missed it, what with holiday shopping, World Cup soccer and the big political news that Donald Trump wants to run the Constitution through a shredder and make himself dictator.
Last week, at the behest of President Biden, the Democratic Party began considering a major overhaul of its presidential nominating process, proposing to recast the lineup of states privileged to cast the first votes of the 2024 election. The intention is greater diversity.
Iowa, which has traditionally begun the balloting with its wintry caucuses, would be out. South Carolina, where Biden resuscitated his gasping 2020 campaign with a landslide victory, would be in as host of the nation’s leadoff primary.
Nevada and New Hampshire — sharing the day — would vote next, followed by Georgia and Michigan. (Sorry, California, you’d still be nothing but a big, forlorn afterthought, most likely voting after the nomination is effectively decided.)
Biden, who will be 82 years old by the time he would take the oath for a second term, has not committed to seeking reelection. But his move to reshape the political calendar to his liking is not the action of a man looking to spend his golden years puttering with the grandkids in Rehoboth Beach.
An announcement of the president’s intentions is expected sometime early in the new year.
If Biden doesn’t run, the likeliest beneficiary of the proposed calendar switch is his often-dismissed understudy, Vice President Kamala Harris.
Harris, 58, ran a notably lousy presidential campaign in 2020, which left many Democrats soured on her future prospects. Her tenure as vice president hasn’t won Harris a great many new fans.
“We Democrats shouldn’t kid ourselves,” said Garry South, a longtime party strategist who has observed Harris’ political career up close in California and salutes her making history as the first female, Black and Asian vice president.
“She’s our functional equivalent of Dan Quayle,” he continued. “Adequate and useful to help get a president elected, but totally incapable of running for president herself, as she’s amply demonstrated.”….
image….RadarOnLine
If Biden doesn’t run there will be a number of candidates who will test the waters in my view.
Besides Harris and Newsome , I could see.Gov. Whitmer of Michigan, Gov. Polis of Colorado, Gov. Cooper of North Carolina,plus unsuccessful candidates from 2020 like Amy Klobuchar and Corey Booker might try again.
I think it would be pretty wide open.
I could also see either of the two Georgia Senators running as an insurgent candidate, a la Obama 2008.
For that matter (and for different reasons), I can envision either of the current (duly-elected, Ms. Lake) Senators from Arizona testing the waters.
Sinema for President is not happening. We’ll see about Kelly.
The ex-astronaut started off VERY STRONG ….
But fadded towards the end……
Sinema IS NOT a “go’ I agree….
It will be intersting to see if DeSantis can export his Florida hardline stuff nationally….
I doubt it…
If Kari Lake can stop crying…..
Warnock has rumblings over the last few days….
Yea…
I would agree Jack….
Klobuchar and Booker are veterans of 2020…..
Newsom WAS VERY active a few months ago…..
He, he, he……
GUYS?!
You ALL did NOT mention ole Bernie???????
Should Sanders run again (third time’s the charm; ask Joe Biden), he would clearly be the leader among challengers to the President.
He has a large committed base and in the early pre-primary polls, he and Biden would overwhelimingly lead simply because of voters’ familiarity with them.
And, unlike most of the issue-fudging would-be candidates, Sanders has a clear message that nearly every Democrat (and D-leaning independent) knows and understands — and either leans towards or leans against.
Morning DSD….
I respectively disagree with you on Bernie Sanders leading ‘Democrats’ for the 2024 DEMOCRATIC Presidential nomination…
In my view….
He has NO CHANCE to led or get it….
First….
Sanders is NOT a Democrat …
That fact would be pushed by Democrats and amplfied by the media…
Second….
With South Carolina apparently as the first or second primary ?
Sanders is doomed….
Southern Black voters will not pick HARD left leaning guy over a middle of the road pick…
Third…
Sanders is older than Biden….
Fourth…
Sanders presentation is no match for a Harris or Newsom younger less settled image…
I KNOW that’s petty…
But Sanders sometimes bombastic throwdowns will work against him in a lot of Democrats minds in the important states…
I could be wrong of course….
But I seriously doubt it…
Bernie Sanderes time hasa come and gone….
No Biden or Trump will relegate the 2024 end race to two people 20 to 30 years younger that Biden, Trump and Sanders
I’m not saying that Bernie Sanders will come close to winning nomination or even lasting out the race: just that, as the only names familiar to many Democratic voters, they will lead the field for the premature (and misleading) first polls, probably next summer or fall.
For Sanders, it will be the reverse of 2016, when his original straw poll numbers were in the tiny single digits before he rose to be the only significant Democratic-Party competition to Hillary Clinton.
For example, almost exactly four years ago this weekend:
Monmouth University Poll. Dec. 10-14, 2014. N=386 registered voters nationwide who are Democrats or lean Democratic. Margin of error ± 5.
“I know the 2016 election is far away, but who would you like to see as the Democratic nominee for president?” Open-ended
Hillary Clinton
48 %
Elizabeth Warren
6
Joe Biden
2
Bernie Sanders
2
Andrew Cuomo
1
Other
1
No one
7
Unsure
32
https://pollingreport.com/wh16dem.htm
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Nationwide_opinion_polling_for_the_2016_Democratic_Party_presidential_primaries
¶ Remember Lincoln Chafee? James Webb? Martin O’Malley? Lawrence Lessig?
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2016_Democratic_Party_presidential_primaries
Ok….
YES….
His name WILL be floated almost immediately….
I agree on that….
He, he, he….
Heck Hillary and Michelle’s names would be thrown in there against Harris….
Andrew Cuomo!…
Wow!
Ya got me on the bottom tier guys…..
*If* Biden chooses not to run or announces and then drops out due to unforeseen developments I would expect, like Jack, to see a pretty wide open field.
That being said a sitting Vice President does not often get denied the nomination of their party when they run. The last time that happened was with Alben Barkley in 1952–an age when Presidential primaries were less influential on a nomination than backroom deals at the convention. So Harris would have to be at least slightly favored historically.
Hey!…
Good to hear from ya Scott….
Yup….
Biden drop out WOULD turn to Harris first I’d think…
There is a BUT on that….
Her poll numbers are just as bad as Biden and she’s attached to him….
She has internal staff issues ….
BUT?
Yup she’s the VP and natural for first out of the shoot for 20024…
She is mixed race and a woman….
Biden’s policies aren’t bad really at all except for Afghanistan and his Son….
And she’s probably be better with crowds something Biden doesn’t excel in…
We’ll see….