Dave Wasserman explains how they just could….
Democrats Could Still Win the House
David Wasserman: “The NBC News House estimate is that Republicans will win 220 seats plus or minus 10 seats, meaning the fate of the House rests with nine uncalled competitive races in California, six in New York, two in Nevada, two in Oregon, two in Arizona, two in Colorado and a smattering in other states. Republicans have a slightly better than even chance of taking the House, but this could take more than a week to sort out (especially in slow-counting California and Arizona), and could depend on recounts. If it weren’t for GOP Rep. Lee Zeldin’s coattails in the New York governor’s race, Democrats might be favorites to hold onto their majority.”
“The blue state vs. red/purple state divide was real — for the most part. Democrats struggled in New York and came within a few points of losing double-digit Biden seats in Connecticut and Rhode Island (miraculously, it looks like Democrats will avoid losing a single New England seat). But Democrats were able to hold their ground in states where split control of state government made abortion a more prominent issue — such as Kansas, Michigan, New Hampshire, Ohio and Pennsylvania.”
jamesb says
Nate Cohn
@Nate_Cohn
GOP leads in 221 seats; Democrats need to flip at least four where the GOP leads
The three likeliest targets, to me, seem like CA21, AZ06, CA13.
After that… it’s murkier. Lots of vote left in CA27 and CA45, but Dems not yet doing what they need
jamesb says
Republicans against Trumpism
@RpsAgainstTrump
JUST IN: Katie Hobbs increased her lead over deranged MAGA candidate Kari Lake to 31,000 votes. #AZGov