“The likelihood there’s going to be the Taliban overrunning everything and owning the whole country is highly unlikely.”
— President Biden, in remarks on July 8, 2021.
President Biden I believe thinks the Taliban will have to come back t0 America to govern…
But Biden badly miscalculated on possibly getting there….
(He’s out of the view of media in Camp David right now…He WILL be asked direct questions sooner or later)
There IS gonna be a LOT of ‘I told ya so’ mumbled by the General’s and Intelligence community along with members of Congress and others…..
The status there wasn’t Biden’s fault…
But the withdrawal fuck-up will be…
Biden though he could talk his way out of this….
The Taliban really don’t want to talk….
They don’t need to right now….
The Biden administration is preparing for the fall of Kabul and a retreat from any U.S. diplomatic presence in Afghanistan — a stunning reversal of expectations.
- It’s looking increasingly likely to high-ranking aides to President Biden that the U.S. will have no enduring diplomatic presence in Afghanistan beyond Aug. 31 — the date Biden has promised the full troop withdrawal will be complete.
Why it matters: It’s a major reversal from even a few weeks ago.
- The working assumption in Biden’s inner circle had been that Kabul could hold for the short term, allowing the U.S. to stay diplomatically engaged and help Afghan women secure their rights beyond the U.S. withdrawal.
- The 3,000 Marines and soldiers going in to help with the evacuation will also be gone by Aug. 31, we’re told.
Between the lines: Biden is at Camp David this weekend, not at his Delaware beach house. He can relax there, but also has full comms.
- People can come and go without detection, and he avoids the optics of a beach vacation amid a mass evacuation.
The big picture: The U.S. embassy in Kabul wasn’t just a diplomatic building. It also was a major intelligence center with paper records and equipment there that the U.S. will remove or destroy. Protocols are in place for just such an emergency….
The question looming is there enough American and British ‘boots on the ground’ to orderly get everyone out that they should be gone?…