In fact in several area’s ?
The infection rates have begun a slow rise.…
Test rates keep falling….
The numbers below reflect this….
Washington Post…
In the past week in the U.S….
New daily reported cases fell 4.8%
New daily reported deaths fell 31.5%
Covid-related hospitalizations fell 7.7%
Among reported tests, the positivity rate was 4.1%.
The number of tests reported fell 20.9% from the previous week.Read more
Since Dec. 14, more than 110,737,000 doses of a covid-19 vaccine have been administered in the U.S.
More than 39,042,000 people have completed vaccination, or about 11.76% of the population. Read more in our vaccination tracker.
Wash Post…Link…
NY Times….
The State of the Virus
Update for March 15
- Case numbers across the country are dropping steadily as the pace of vaccination continues to increase.
- More than 20 percent of people have received at least one dose of a vaccine. States continue to expand their lists of people eligible to get a shot.
- Much of the country continues to do quite well. Kansas is averaging about 260 cases a day, down from more than 2,000 a day in January. Oregon is adding around 320 cases each day, compared to more than 1,500 at its December peak.
- No large city is faring worse right now than New York City, where around 3,500 cases are being reported each day. The Miami area is also struggling.
- New Jersey and New York continue to lead the country in recent cases per capita, with other Northeastern states also near the top of the list.
- Some states that saw large declines earlier in the winter have been backsliding. Reports of new cases have increased 50 percent over the last two weeks in Michigan, though they remain well below the levels seen in December and January….
NY Times… Link…
As the U.S. makes headway against the virus, troubling trends persist in the Northeast.
As Americans celebrate a slowing spread of the coronavirus, including in many former hot spots in the South and the Midwest, trends in the Northeast have experts and public officials on edge.
In New York and New Jersey, new cases per capita are at least double the national average. New cases rates are raising concern in Rhode Island, Massachusetts and Connecticut, as well. And, as of last week, a variant of the virus that was first detected in New York City recently made up a growing proportion of new cases there.
The new variants have most likely undercut the city’s efforts to lower the rate of positive test results, city health officials said this week, though they added that the city’s strategy for curbing the spread of the virus has not changed.
Despite expansive vaccination efforts, the citywide seven-day average rate of positive test results has not been able to dip below six percent in months, according to city data. Still, officials have noted improvements in the trajectory of cases, hospitalizations and deaths….
More…
The fairly rapid decline in cases has pretty much stopped and we seem to be entering a period of essentially treading water with minor blips one way or the other.
I agree on the numbers could be misleading….
I also agree with the trend lines for hospital and deaths dropping dramatically ….
The overall trend has been down ward for everything which is good….
Certain area’s have larger infection numbers…’Hot spots’ …NYC and Miami along parts of Texas and Michigan with are mentioned by the NY Times graphic map….
With the good vaccine shot numbers things should? hold and decline again….
Gonna be wearing masks for a while I’d think…
Nate Silver
@NateSilver538
Perhaps instructive that, amidst a very sharp decline in cases overall as it’s now fully vaccinated 50% of its population, Israel also had a couple of plateaus that lasted 10-14 days at a time where its progress stalled out.
https://ourworldindata.org/explorers/coronavirus-data-explorer?zoomToSelection=true&time=40..latest&pickerSort=desc&pickerMetric=total_cases&Metric=Confirmed+cases&Interval=7-day+rolling+average&Relative+to+Population=true&Align+outbreaks=false&country=~ISR
Nate Silver
@NateSilver538
Replying to
@NateSilver538
I guess my somewhat nuanced takeaways here are that:
1) We should perhaps expect a bumpy landing, especially if there are inequities in who’s getting vaccinated
2) Nonetheless, a plateau or a small rise doesn’t necessarily portend a “4th wave”
3) Vaccinate, vaccinate, vaccinate
Actually the daily case numbers can be quite deceiving.
For one thing, many states report cases haphazardly.In effect their “daily number” may reflect several days.Then there’s the fact that many infected people either are asymptomatic or don’t bother to get tested and simply stay home till they feel better.
What I most notice is hospitalizations and deaths.Those numbers have been fairly steadily declining ,likely because most of those being vaccinated are older people who are most susceptible to being hospitalized or dying from the disease.