But we may have a call early this morning as Joe Biden closes in on Donald Trump’s lead in Pennsylvania and Georgia votes….
While Trump has close on Biden in Arizona and Nevada ?
Biden STILL leads in those two state by tens of thousand s of votes….
President Trump’s attack on the legitimacy of the 2020 election Thursday evening was the most dramatic effort so far to undercut public faith in the contest.
It comes as his Democratic opponent Joe Biden looks increasingly likely to be projected by networks as the election’s winner. The former vice president holds leads in some key states and is gaining on Trump in others….
…
Biden is projected by some news organizations, including Fox News Channel, to already have won 264 electoral college votes — just six short of the 270 needed to claim the presidency. That means that projections of Biden as the election’s overall winner could come soon….
Update….
We have Van Jones @ CNN and Andrea Mitchell @ MSNBC crying on the air….
Fox News has also joined in confirming the call….
GOPer talking heads on the tube are off in trying to recover….
New Open Thread……
Nate Silver
@NateSilver538
Replying to
@NateSilver538
Replies here suggest the average person (not my followers, but the friends/associates of my followers) thinks it’s a toss-up. Makes sense, especially since the media has been exceptionally careful/pious about not wanting to get ahead of the story.
anyeveryall
@anyeveryall
Replying to
@NateSilver538
Based on numbers of outstanding votes, where they’re coming from Biden has it with PA alone.
May get AZ, def NV, GA is closest race where Biden may not survive later mailings/provisional of approx 28K. N.C. not enough info to know anything but predictions by media.
Biden’s Arizona lead goes back up…..
Dave Wasserman
@Redistrict
Even these small batches are meaningful in AZ.
Quote Tweet
The AZ – abc15 – Data Guru
@Garrett_Archer
Coconino county posted 5,713 ballots. Breakdown:
Biden: 2,953 (51.7%)
Trump: 2,568 (45%)
Coconino is a liberal county, home to Navajo Nation tribal land and Flagstaff. (also, the Grand Canyon from the postcards.)
Trump is now trailing Biden by 47,052 ballots in the state.
Alternate Universe….
Trump Was Surprised Mail Ballots Favored Biden
Washington Post: “Though aides had tried to prepare Trump that mail-in ballots would likely favor Biden, he was ‘genuinely taken aback,’ in the words of one campaign adviser, as the votes rolled in for his opponent, the former vice president.”
“Instead of reflecting on whether his rhetoric throughout the campaign demonizing mail-in ballots could have helped cost him the election, the president has taken the results as a vindication on his views of the process.”
If Trump world thinks they will be saved by the judges?
They are sadly mistaken….
Over the last few days the judges have ruled agains any attempt to NOT count votes….
Postal Service Processed 150K Ballots After Election
“More than 150,000 ballots were caught in U.S. Postal Service processing facilities and not delivered by Election Day, agency data shows, including more than 12,000 in five of the states that have yet to be called for either President Trump or his Democratic challenger, Joe Biden,” the Washington Post reports.
“Despite assurances from Postal Service leaders that agency officials were conducting daily sweeps for misplaced ballots, the mail service acknowledged in a court filing Thursday that thousands of ballots had not been processed in time, and that more ballots were processed Wednesday than on Election Day.”
NBC News: Judge orders further sweeps of Postal Service for undelivered ballots.
Behind a paywall in the NY Daily News….
F–k you, we did a good job’: Polling guru Nate Silver defends election predictions amid backlash
Polling guru Nate Silver, founder and editor-in-chief of the FiveThirtyEight website, didn’t mince words responding to critics who are accusing him of misleading voters with election predictions that seemed much more favorable to Joe Biden.
“If they’re coming after FiveThirtyEight, then the answer is f–k you, we did a good job,” he told Galen Druke, host of the website’s Politics Podcast…
More @ MSN….
I’m out…..
Hoping the morning greets me with a “W”……
Where is the “reporting” on the bald faced lies that such Republican luminaries as Newt Gingrich, Lindsay Graham, Bill Bennett and the Republican National Committee are spreading in a blatant effort to incite violence?
The world awaits your expert dissecting of how the Republicans are “distancing” themselves from Trump!
Republicans are either parroting Trump’s lies, staying stone silent, or providing tepid vanilla comments about the subversion of Democracy.
Al Gore and George Bush should hold a press conference and provide everyone with a civics lesson. The problem: Many people, especially the uneducated Republican base, don’t know how any of this works and are willing to believe the most ridiculous lies.
Just wrote a big check to the registration project that will seek to re-register over 200,000 Georgians illegally purged from the rolls this year. Are special elections tough, they sure are. But with a demotivated Republican base we just might have a shot. We’re organizing a virtual California fundraiser for the Georgia special, I will keep you posted.
Good Morning….
We ARE THERE….
Joe Biden just took the lead in Pennsylvanian
by 5,587 votes….
What a beautiful thing to wake up to…
Oh, and Georgia is going for Joe and I hold out hope for NC. Joe ran an almost flawless campaign. What a relief.
It will now take Republicans exactly 60 seconds to become deficit Hawks again.
And Lady G is delighted to return to DC so she can fight Nancy’s radical agenda.
Thank you Stacey Abrams and the Spirit of John Lewis.
Biden’s leads could bring him in at OVER 300EV’s this cementing his wining from any legal challenges …
Post coming…
Oliver Darcy
@oliverdarcy
New: Fox News is instructing its talent not to call Joe Biden the “President-elect” when the network calls the race, according to two memos obtained by
@brianstelter
and me. The memos say Fox should “stay away” from using the description.
New media term for their people that does the vote data….
‘Decision Desk’…..
CNN reports that Trump White House people are in disbelief….
Trump World is slowly beginning to become aware that their guy is gonna LOSE….
The Bull Shit IS beginning wear off and they are somewhat in shock….
Their world’s ARE coming apart…
Republican lawmakers have been quiet and saying wait for the votes to be counted….
Democratic get out the vote against Trump and the virus has pushed MORE Democratic votes to be cast….
Sarah Mucha
@sarahmucha
The Biden campaign responds to reports that Trump has no plans to concede: “As we said on July 19th, the American people will decide this election. And the United States government is perfectly capable of escorting trespassers out of the White House.” From
@AndrewBatesNC
Tango Lima
@TL_TangoLima
Replying to
@sarahmucha
@NicolleDWallace
and
@AndrewBatesNC
CONSTITUTION OF THE UNITED STATES OF AMERICA
AMENDMENT XX
Ratified January 23, 1933.
Section 1.
The terms of the President and the Vice President shall end at noon on the 20th day of January…; and the terms of their successors shall then begin.
Bloomberg
@business
NEW: Larry Kudlow says on CNBC that he expects a “peaceful transfer of power” should President Trump lose re-election https://trib.al/PNmmsBK
Trump is done in Nevada….
Bloomberg@business
Replying to
@business
Biden’s lead in Nevada has doubled with the newly released tallies.
He’s now ahead of Trump by 22,076, according to the latest AP figures, up from 11,438 last night https://bloom.bg/2U1KNRy
Arizona ….Biden +40K
Georgia….Biden +1,584
Pa………Biden +9,700
More Pa. votes coming shortly…..
Dave Wasserman
@Redistrict
If Biden’s leads hold in Arizona, Georgia, Nevada and Pennsylvania – and now there’s little reason to to think they wouldn’t – the president would need to somehow overturn the result in at least three states to win reelection.
Pa…..Biden. +12,390
Biden numbers will continue to climb with maybe 100,000 still out…..
Nevada does NOT have 50,000 votes left in Clark County….
They only have 30,000 out…..
Biden is up by +20,000….
So?
This about daily dumps of votes…
THIS IS JUST Clark County..
Bloomberg
@business
NEW DATA: The latest results from Nevada show Biden leading by 20,542 votes, or 1.63 percentage points, nearly three-quarters of a point up from his margin from Thursday #Election2020 https://bloom.bg/3eBUwYm
I wonder when Pat Robertson is going to announce that God was wrong?
Then again, maybe them damn Democrats got to God!
This may sound terrible of me to say but I’m glad Rush Limbaugh lived long enough to see Trump lose.
A Certain surrealism is gripping the news media.
While the talking heads essentially concede the fact, no one seemingly wants to forthrightly state they obvious…
That Joseph R Biden has been Elected President of the United States.
Trump will be the only President who lost the popular vote twice
He’s also the first major party nominee to lose the popular vote back to back since Adlai Stevenson
He’s already a little over four million behind and California has millions more to count.
He could end up losing the popular vote by 6-7 Million or more.
John Quincy Adams and Benjamin Harrison also
However, Trump did not have a father or grandfather as President.
D’Oh!
Well in over 100 years at least.
Republicans have now lost the popular vote in 7 of the last 8 elections.
Getting above 47% is a major major problem. And it will increasingly be tough for them to win the electoral college with those kinds of numbers. However most think there’s nothing wrong.
Just look at the immature post by Madison Cawthorn “Cry more libs” when he was elected to Congress.
What an embarrassment!
Losing the popular vote (without facing extinction or merger) 7 times out 8 is, I think, a a record.
I think that he runner up (you don’t win silver; you lose gold) would be the Democrats losing the popular vote in five of the six elections between 1860 and 1880 (all but 1876), and six of the eight elections between 1896 and 1932 (all but 1912-1916,).
Scratch that slightly: the Democrats lost the popular vote in all but two of the
eight) nine elections from 1896 to 1932. Even in 1912, Wilson won fewer votes (6.3 million) than the sum of T.R.’s (4.1) and Taft’s (3.5).And that was with Democrats using the law to disenfranchise a whole lot of Americans who would have likely voted heavily against them.
Well, to be fair, that’s less true of 1860-1880, with fewer Southern states after 1860 being in the Electoral College, and before the deconsruction of Reconstruction (with the connivance,or at least connivance, of the GOP that had enacted the 15th Amendment).
But it’s certainly true of 1896-1932.
What about women before 1920?
CNN 5:07 EST…..
Georgia…Biden….+4,263
Pennsylvania ….Biden…+14,541
Nevada…Biden…..+20,137
Arizona….Biden……+39,769
(Gains for Biden in Ga, and Pa….slight drop in Arz that is still 39k+ FOR Biden…..)
The media is now being hounded about NOT making ‘the’ call….
6:37 EST…CNN…
Biden down to. 4,175 Ga
Joe Biden up to 14,923 in Pa.
Biden up to…22,657 Nev
Biden down to ….39,070 Arizona
Nate Cohn
@Nate_Cohn
New Clark County ballots expand Biden’s lead in Nevada. I am not aware of a reason to believe that Trump can overcome his deficit in the state
Supreme Court Orders Pennsylvania Ballots Segregated
The Supreme Court issued an order in the Pennsylvania case, but it’s not what the Trump campaign wanted, NBC News reports.
Justice Samuel Alito repeated the guidance from the Pennsylvania Secretary of State that post-Tuesday mail ballots must be segregated, but did not direct them to stop counting….
Politicalwire
Judges ain’t doing what Trump wants….
A federal judge on Friday rejected Republican congressional candidates’ lawsuit seeking to change signature verification procedures used for processing ballots in Nevada.
Judge Andrew Gordon of the U.S. District Court for Nevada said that the injunction sought by two GOP candidates in Clark County, the most populous county in the state, would needlessly delay the vote counting that has become the subject of national attention in recent days.
“The public interest is not in favor of disrupting the completion of the processing and counting of the ballots,” Gordon, who was appointed by former President Obama, said at the end of a two-hour hearing Friday evening….
More…
CNN…9:50 EST…..
Biden up to to. 4,289 Ga
Joe Biden up to 27,130 in Pa.
Biden up to…..22,657 Nev
Biden down to ….29,861 Arizona
We’ll have a big gain for Biden ion Pa. coming to post….
Casey the Senator from the state thinks that Biden’s lead could be close to 100,000 votes…
The channel’s aren’t gonna venture a call un til WTF knows????
There are roughly 100,000+ outstanding provisional mail in ballots to be counted …
The last vote dump had military Allegheny Co.mail in ballots that where 6 to 1 Biden….
The blue collar Senator/VP guy from Pennsylvania beats the NYC Real Estate guy parading as a bad model President, eh?
Trump chief Staff Meadows has the virus
Biden gives his speech….
‘we’re gonna win this race’…..
Post coming on it….
Trump shoukd have a response shortly
At this rate we may not have a call until Pa. says ther’ve countered EVERY ballot…
Morning All….
I’m take Joe’s advice and be patient…
His speech last night was on point…
CNN 3:22 EST…..
Georgia…Biden….+1,603
Pennsylvania ….Biden…+13, 709
Nevada…Biden…+20, 137
Arizona….Biden…+40, 954
Biden to speak out tonight…..
This is the popular vote for Democrats between from 1968-2004
43,38,50,41,41,46,43,49,48,48
They got 50 once, barely. These streaks are hardly unique for either party.
The question is will Republicans dust off their “autopsy report” from 2012 that detailed their problems winning in a diversifying America. Or will they point to slightly higher rates among Hispanic (mostly Cuban) and some African-American men as proof that they don’t need to change?
The last Scott….
Well, Scott did say since Adlai Stevenson.
Other back-to-back major-party losers include Tom Dewey (1944 & 1948) and William Jennings Bryan (1896 & 1900; also 1908), but like Adlai (and unlike J.Q, Adams & B. Harrison) they never became President.
Hayes lost the popular vote in 1876 but was not renominated in 1880 (nor had he been nominated in 1872).
Henry Clay (under different labels) lost three times (1824, 1832 & 1844), but not consecutively; while Thomas Pinckney (Fed. 1804 & 1808) didn’t have a popular vote worth talking about either to lose or to win.
His approval NEVER got over 50%….
absolutely Jack….
They are are all looking at each other and probably waiting for AP….
More philosophical is the question of whether Donald Trump’s party is the same as the Grand Old Party that was founded in 1854..
Both I and Jared Kushner (among others) have described Trump’s nomination and election as a hostile take-over of the Republican Party.
It WAS….
And his son is bitching WTF ain’t they pushing harder for him?????
All the major networks ,except Fox, have declared Biden President Elect.
The Associated Press has also declared Biden President Elect.