It’s becoming a solid and bit unsettling news every week….
Joe Biden IS crushing Donald Trump in the national poll numbers….
Biden is also doing MUCH better in even the state polls form 4 years ago from Hillary Clinton….
Biden has NEVER trailed Trump….
Trump was even or slightly led Hillary several times during their campaign and was less than 3% points ahead of Trump on this date 4 years ago….
Biden is currently almost 9% points of Trump and climbing….
I read that Trump internal polling goes along with the Real Clear Politics average…..
I join other pundits in forecasting Trump’s support to0 pick up before the3 election…Polls aARE just polls…They aren’t hard votes
But?
If things continue like this up to September ?
Donald Trump just has TOO higher hill to climb….
And he isn’t gonna do much by hope his success the last time magically shows up again….
Ah?
Biden ain’t Hillary….
President Donald Trump’s bad poll numbers are getting worse.
The latest data point: A new ABC News/Washington Post poll released Sunday shows Trump 15 points behind former Vice President Joe Biden among registered voters, 55 percent to 40 percent.
The margin is closer among likely voters, 54 percent for Biden and 44 percent for Trump, but whichever margin you look at, the survey is the fifth consecutive high-quality national poll — those conducted by live phone interviewers — to show Biden ahead of Trump by 10 points or more. Of the nine such polls conducted since the second half of June, Biden has led Trump by double digits in seven of them.
The surveys conducted over the past month put Biden in an enviable, evenhistoric position. He has a greater advantage over the incumbent going into the final few months of the campaign than any challenger since Bill Clinton, who seized the lead in the summer of 1992 after third-party candidate Ross Perot dropped out.
Trump’s poll numbers — so stagnant for the first three years of his presidency — have taken a significant hit as a result of his handling of the coronavirus pandemic. Meanwhile, Biden’s long career has left him fairly defined already, as the Trump campaign has begun a barrage of attacks ads on TV nationally and in swing states. And while Trump voters are more enthusiastic about their candidate, Biden voters are also highly interested in voting — if only to oust Trump from the Oval Office.
Here are four things to know about what the polls show right now…
Nate Silver
@NateSilver538
One other thing to be aware of is that most national polls currently are conducted among registered voters, while most state polls are among likely voters. So unless you’re accounting for that, you may overestimate the state poll vs. national poll gap.
So then, why is One polling method better for national and a different polling method more appropriate for states?
More support coming on board for Joe Biden….
A top left-leaning Muslim American group that previously endorsed Sen. Bernie Sanders (I-Vt.) during the 2020 primary is now endorsing former Vice President Joe Biden, the presumptive Democratic nominee.
The Associated Press reported Monday that a letter sent out by Engage Action, the largest Muslim American political group in the country, called for voters to support Biden’s campaign against President Trump and featured other endorsements from prominent Muslim Americans including Rep. Ilhan Omar (D-Minn.), a Sanders supporter….
More…
After Bernie Sanders had dropped out, my DSA comrade and Squad member AOC — unlike DSA’s irresponsibly sectarian National Political Committee — unequivocally and emphatically endorsed Joe Biden on “The View” last April (on my birthday), not only eschewing third-party efforts but pleading for an earnest campaign effort for Biden:
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez Endorses Joe Biden: ‘Absolutely’ Must ‘Rally Behind Our Democratic Nominee’
By Tommy Christopher
[Mediaite]
Apr 15th, 2020, 12:06 pm
Progressive New York Democratic Congresswoman Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez delivered an unequivocal endorsement of former Vice President Joe Biden’s candidacy, saying that voters “absolutely” should “rally behind our Democratic nominee in November.”
On Wednesday’s edition of ABC’s The View, host Whoopi Goldberg asked AOC if she’d “be able to do the same thing” as Bernie Sanders and endorse Biden, and whether “it’s time to have a conversation with Joe?”
“Absolutely,” she replied, adding that “the stakes are too high when it comes to another four years of Trump.”
Her remarks went beyond having a “conversation” about endorsing Biden, though, as AOC went on to say “I think it’s really important that we rally behind our Democratic nominee in November,” and argued explicitly against voting third party.
While she expressed some room for Biden to shift in “a more unifying direction” on policy, Ocasio-Cortez was unequivocal about the choice for voters.
Whoopi Goldberg: Last week Bernie suspended his campaign and endorsed Joe Biden, and now are you going to be able to do the same thing, given the fact that everyone’s initial thought is to get you know who out of the White House and get some semblance of intelligence back in. Do you think it’s time to have a conversation with Joe?
Ocasio-Cortez: Yeah, absolutely, I think right now just, the stakes are too high when it comes to another four years of Trump. My community especially has been so impacted, and it’s for a lot of communities, this is an issue of life and death.
We’ve had kids in cages, we’ve had a pandemic response that happened way too late that has cost us lives, we have people that don’t have access to critical care that they need. I think it’s really important that we rally behind our democratic nominee in November.
Joy Behar: So Congresswoman, some progressives are suggesting that with Bernie out of the race, they’ll vote third party. That would be a catastrophe in my opinion. What do you say to those people? And also part two, Biden has made some efforts to appeal to progressives, like lowering the eligibility age for Medicare to 60 and expanding student debt forgiveness. Is that enough?
Ocasio-Cortez: So I think that they are connected questions. I think what’s really important is that we do realize that at the end of the day one of these two candidates are going to be elected president of the United States. It’s either going to be Joe Biden or it’s going to be Donald Trump.
And I think it’s important to communicate from empathy, I know for a lot of people this was not the outcome that they may have wanted and this was not the choice that they wanted to make. But ultimately, when it comes to those two, I don’t think it’s particularly close in terms of, in terms of what communities will be made more vulnerable.
What I also think is really important is that the way to, I think, move in a unifying direction is that unity isn’t a feeling, it’s a process, and I think that Biden can go further.
I think that it’s not necessarily enough, lowering Medicare to 60, by 5 years, is still more conservative than what Hillary Clinton proposed in 2016. Hillary was talking about lowering it to 50 four years ago, and so I think there is certainly room, I think that there’s going to be room on issues like immigration, Puerto Rico, health care, climate change, and I think that it’s healthy to do that.
I think what we shouldn’t do is recreate this dynamic where we are kind of finger-wagging and nagging people into voting, because it’s not a way of generating enthusiasm. I think one thing that we can do is improve the policies that we have as a party, to tell young people, to tell all sorts of people ‘We see you and we have a plan for you, and we’re going to create hope for all sorts of communities in the United States.’
I saw an article on Politicalwire that John Kasich may be endorsing and speaking in support of Biden during whatever virtual event is replacing the DNC next month.
If true that is huge.
Yes I commented on that on another thread.
If Kasich does this,then such is a real profile in courage.
Unless it’s all a ruse and Kasich is going to launch that long rumored third party bid!! (jk)
Trump will probably ask Barr to send the FBI and Senate to investigate Kasich
Let’s try that again so James can delete my previous post:
The United States Attorney for the Southern District of Ohio (Columbus), a career prosecutor named David DeVillers, will no doubt make all kinds of very noisy demands related to John Kasich’s service as a Governor and Senator. They’re highly unlikely to achieve anything beyond Donald Trump’s mantra that his critics (i.e. opponents, i.e. enemies, i.e. traitors) have said and done things far, far worse than he. [Lock him up !!]
Do NOT rest easy on Biden’s ‘leads’ in the polls folks….
President Donald Trump and presumptive Democratic nominee Joe Biden have at least one thing in common — neither trust the polls in Michigan.
Virtually every poll taken since Biden won Michigan’s 83 counties in the Democratic primary has shown the former vice president with a growing lead over Trump. At least two House Democrats, U.S. Reps. Debbie Dingell, D-Dearborn, and Elissa Slotkin, D-Holly, have advised the Biden campaign not to take the state for granted, warning that polls had similarly shown Trump had an uphill battle before he narrowly won Michigan in 2016….
More…
The same could be said for any “battleground “ state.
There is no reason to believe Biden is taking Michigan or any of these states “for granted.”
The daily worry over Biden’s good polls…
Joe Biden’s commanding advantage in the race for the White House shows no sign of abating. He led by 15 percentage points in an ABC News/Washington Post survey of registered voters on Sunday, and he has held nearly a double-digit lead in an average of polls for more than a month.
The last time a candidate sustained such a large advantage for so long was nearly 25 years ago, when Bill Clinton led Bob Dole in 1996.
Biden’s Polling Lead Is the Biggest of Any Candidate in Decades
But as Mr. Biden’s margin endures well into its second month, it becomes harder to assume that it is just another fleeting shift in the polls. Perhaps the lead is not just different in size and length, but also in kind. It’s possible the nation’s political stalemate has been broken, at least for now, by one issue: the president’s handling of the coronavirus pandemic…
More…
Again?
If this was to happen on Election Day?
Biden blow out….
But I have my doubts…This would be too good to be true?
Biden Leads In Georgia
July 22, 2020 at 12:15 pm EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment
A new Garin-Hart-Yang (D) poll in Georgia finds Joe Biden leading Donald Trump in the presidential race, 47% to 43%.
In the U.S. Senate race, Jon Ossof (D) is just ahead of Sen. David Perdue (R), 45% to 44%.
It’s really way too early to get any kind of handle on these red states like Georgia.
What can be said is that there appears to exist sufficient discontent with Trump and ,by extension, Republicans in general to continue to observe closely how things play out there and in other red states.
My view remains that ,if this virus is still rampant come Election Day then some of them will indeed be “in play “ and that would be very bad news for Donald Trump and the Republican Party.