Nate Silver over @ FiveThirtyEight has been checking the numbers reported*….
Nate Silver
@NateSilver538
Replying to
8 states have fallen by 10-25% from their peaks. This starts to count as real progress. These are:
AL
CO
MI
NV
PA
TX
WV
WI
Nate Silver
@NateSilver538
8 more states have fallen 25-50% from their peaks:
FL
ME
MO
NY
OK
OR
TN
SC
Nate Silver
@NateSilver538
Can you find some patterns here? Sure. Fortunately the states with the very worst outbreaks (NY, MI, LA) are getting better. Weather may be a factor. Density may matter. Some states that never issued stay-at-home orders are having issues. But it’s weird & idiosyncratic data.
*Silver is using ‘reported’ numbers….
Everyday we have a reporter reminding us that the we actually have NO idea what the ‘real’ numb era are since the virus infections started way sooner then the num bars began to be counted and there could be hundreds of thousand that could have had the virus and never knew so…