Even in the middle of people under virus social restrictions and Donald Trump ‘s gaffs everyday in his virus updates in the media?
He holds on to support base…
“He’s not God. He can’t foresee the future or see that the virus can do this or that,” said Kerr, who voted for Trump in 2016 and plans to again in November. “He’s doing the best he can with the information that he gets.”
Continued support from voters like Kerr could prove critical to Trump’s re-election bid – especially because the regions where the president has drawn support often overlap with those most vulnerable to the pandemic, a Reuters analysis shows. The analysis found one in five of Trump’s 2016 voters live in areas where health and economic factors heighten their risks from the coronavirus. Kerr is among 30 voters interviewed by Reuters who live in such at-risk metropolitan areas in Florida, Ohio and West Virginia and who voted for Trump in 2016 or support him now.
The interviews, along with the latest Reuters/Ipsos polling data, show stalwart support among Trump’s political base amid the worst public health crisis in a century, with a rising U.S. death toll that has now surpassed 12,700, predictions of an economic depression, and the U.S. stock market’s biggest first-quarter loss in history. But neither has Trump enjoyed the dramatic gains in popularity that past presidents have sometimes seen during crises, when patriotism often runs high – illustrating a hardening of the bitter partisanship that has been the hallmark of his administration.
Before the pandemic, the president had trumpeted a soaring economy and record-low unemployment to woo the moderate and independent voters he needs to win the election – especially in key battleground states such as Wisconsin, Pennsylvania and Florida. That pitch evaporated in the pandemic, making perceptions of his emergency response all the more crucial. Recent polls in Florida and Wisconsin showed Trump trailing Biden by between three and six points.
Perceptions of crisis response have had a pivotal impact on the popularity of past presidents. The experience of George W. Bush – the last Republican president, also a polarizing figure – provides a vivid example of partisanship breaking down in some of the nation’s darkest times. Bush’s approval rating soared to more than 90% after the Sept. 11, 2001 terrorist attacks, according to Gallup polling. But that figure fell below 40% after Hurricane Katrina in 2005 and bottomed out at 25% during the 2008 financial crisis, helping Democrat Barack Obama beat Republican challenger John McCain in that year’s election.
Trump’s approval rating, by contrast, has remained steady throughout his presidency and has ranged between 40% and 44% since the onset of the U.S. coronavirus crisis in early March, buoyed by the support of 85% of Republicans, according to the latest April 6-7 Reuters/Ipsos poll. That job rating makes November’s election highly competitive, experts say, though the political landscape could shift as the pandemic continues to claim lives and jobs. (For a graphic of the poll results, see reut.rs/39TtJm4)….
Is this a surprise?
I did a post yesterday on this.
The idea that Joe Biden or any Democrat(or any Republican for that matter) is going to shake significant numbers of voters loose from Trumps base is a pipe dream and makes assumptions that in my view aren’t valid.
Biden needs to expand the electorate ,particularly among minorities.If he’s willing which I presume he will be Obama can assist greatly here.That will drive the Cultists wild(hatred of Obama has been one of the driving forces in Trumps movement and its earlier predecessor the “Tea Party”).Since they’re going to be with Trump anyway,in his words,”what have you got to lose?”
Yes U HAVE made this point since Trump got elected ….
The MUST for Biden is the Obama states that defected to Trump….
Yes and I will continue to make it.
A new Survey USA poll shows those who strongly disapprove of how Trump is handling the Coronavirus jumped from 25-38% from two weeks ago.
Jack mentioned Biden expanding the map and the minority vote.
As the death toll from this virus is disproportionately hitting African-Americans I can’t see Trump increasing his numbers with that group, and many urban African-Americans in cities like Milwaukee, Detroit, Philadelphia, who sat out in 2016 will be angry enough to turn out this year.
I agree with your point Scott which just emphasizes the issues Trump HAS with minority voters…
Now Democrats HAVE TO get those voters to VOTE against Republican efforts to stop them…
For Hillary?
The margin of her loss was 70,000 or so votes in only a few states…
And if she had increased her minority vote just a fraction (it was way down from 2012) she would have won.
That’s where Bidens efforts need to be now .As to those White non college voter who supported Trump?He will get some who are mad at Trump for various reasons, but the vast majority of them are going to stick with Trump.
That’s why I favor Kamala Harris as his running mate.
I have no idea why he would choose Watren or Klobuchar.
Kamala Harris or Gretchen Whitmer would be my top choices for VP at this time. Dark horse would be Rep. Val Demings of FL.
Whitmer is the only one of those three who is white, but I think she could have appeal both with suburbanites and African-Americans. The latter due to her rabid defense of the heavily African-American citizens in the coronavirus hotstpot of Detroit metro
Meanwhile,a new Gallup Poll shows that conservatives ,who consume Fox News, mostly believe (57%) that the coronavirus is no worse than the flu.
Even Trump has been off that kick lately.
Actually my college roommate’s wife told me yesterday that she refuses to shelter in place, “this is all a liberal hoax.” She also told me in the same conversation that “it’s Nancy Pelosi’s fault, she distracted Trump with impeachment.” Logic was never her thing.
She’s fucking nuts of course, but most Republican women are on some level. But, she’s animate that she will vote for Trump. She will crawl through broken glass to vote for the Great White Hope. There may be a downturn in their turnout, but they ain’t leaving him.
Republicans proved that they will do anything necessary to win this election, including putting voters in harms way in Wisconsin in the most egregious voter suppression effort I have ever seen. One that was endorsed by the Republicans on the Supreme Court. Mitch McConnell must be so proud.
Keith that isn’t surprising, if you watch ten minutes of Fox News you will start hating Democrats too…Shit…I watched it for five minutes last night and they were going after Dr. Fauci…I mean come on, the guy is a great New York Grandpa and your attacking him, what the Fuck is wrong with these people…
So apparently some in Trump’s inner circle are telling him his daily ramblings aren’t helping him as his poll numbers drop. I can’t imagine that goes over very well. The surest way to get this narcissist’s attention is to mention polls, but any discussion of him having less air time is sure to be shot down.
Maybe those advisers could remind him that he was actually toned down in the last days of the 2016 election. My guess is that Trump himself figured he was going to lose and had sort of checked out of the campaign and was focused on his next steps. Monetizing his grievance with a FOX News clone to complain about all things President Hillary.
However, ironically Trump has now mythicized his 2016 win in such a way that he thinks all of the rallies and bluster was what gave him his unlikely narrow win. More likely it was staying out of the spotlight while Comey’s letter took center stage and just enough people said “what the hell–why not?”
In short, anyone who tells him to step back a bit is likely to be given the bum’s rush, despite poll numbers and electoral history backing them up. Oh well, that’s what you get when you cast your lot with a raging narcissist.