The first Democratic Presidential Primary will kick off today….
(Polls must open at 11 a.m. or earlier and cannot close before 7:00 p.m.[35])
The voting is for 24 delegates …..
There have been n numerous polls out in the last 72 hours….
Bernie Sanders has led in every one of them…
The Pete Buttigieg has come in second in most…
The race seems to be for 3rd place which had Joe Biden there in some polls, but has Amy Klobuchar and Elizabeth Warren also in contention ….
New Hampshire , like Iowa, IS a small population state with scant minority population…
In the last few Democratic primaries?
The NH winner has NOT always gone on to take the nomination….
Oh, and Donald Trump has had a political rally in the state tonight to counter the Democrats primary vote Tuesday…
Bernie Sanders, the polling leader in the state, continued his series of big-draw events Monday night by holding a combined concert and rally with The Strokes and Rep. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez in Durham. It’s part of a big buildup to Tuesday’s primary night, with the top Democratic presidential candidates drawing larger and larger crowds throughout the state over the weekend leading into the final day of campaigning, which saw the candidates and their highest-profile surrogates hold dozens of events around New Hampshire on Monday.
Sanders and his supporters hope they are building toward another signature moment for his campaign, four years after New Hampshire gave Sanders his first primary win of 2016 — and a week after the confusing, muddled vote count in Iowa left the Vermont senator’s campaign frustrated.
But the polling that shows Sanders ahead also shows there are no guarantees: Pete Buttigieg has been rising fast behind him after their neck-and-neck race in Iowa, leaving Elizabeth Warren and Joe Biden further back in the latest surveys. Amy Klobuchar, meanwhile, has seen a fundraising boost and higher support in some polls since Friday’s debate at Saint Anselm College.
Here’s everything you need to know about Monday’s strategy, where the campaigns are/were and what they have been doing. Our reporters have fanned out across the state following all the top campaigns — so check back throughout the day as we update this story with key moments and new developments on the campaign trail….
*Voting information for those in New Hampshire....Here...
Note….
Bernie Sanders won the NH primary 4 years ago against Hillary Clinton, who became the eventual nominee to run against Donald Trump….
Hillary Clinton won the NH primary in 2008 against Barack Obama, who would go on to become the evenual nominee and win the Presidency…
Statewide results from Vox Tuesday night…Here
Image…Mother Jones
CG says
Bloomberg wins Dixville Notch Democrats as a Write-in! (Sanders and Buttigieg tied for 2nd with 1 vote)
Bloomberg wins Dixville Notch Republicans as a Write-in!
(Trump loses 1-0)
CG says
The story for all day tomorrow should be that Bloomberg beat Trump among Republicans…
CG says
Dixville Notch has been doing this for 60 years and someone wins both parties… as a write-in for both.
I guess that can happen when all the voters are in the same family.
CG says
Klobuchar wins Harts Location.
21 percent of Republicans vote against Trump there.
CG says
Thus far in the total NH vote, Biden is running behind Yang and write-ins.
CG says
Anti-Trump GOP vote in Hart’s Location is up to 25%
Ironic that Trump would do better in Hart than Dixville.
jamesb says
CNN POLITICS…
Amy Klobuchar wins the most early votes in the New Hampshire Democratic primary after residents of three tiny townships cast the first ballots of the 2020 election at midnight cnn.it/2vlftnF
Zreebs says
Wow – Look at all of these posts from CG about Dixville Notch.
jamesb says
Former New York City Mayor Michael Bloomberg pulled out a win early Tuesday in the small New Hampshire town of Dixville Notch, the first community to cast ballots in the New Hampshire presidential primary.
The billionaire businessman, a late entry to the 2020 Democratic primary race, had three write-in votes, according to USA Today, which added that they came from two Democrats and a Republican.
Sen. Bernie Sanders (I-Vt.), the leader in recent Granite State polls, and former South Bend, Ind., Mayor Pete Buttigieg split the other two votes cast in Dixville Notch….
More…
CG says
RT Television has projected that Tulsi Gabbard has won the New Hampshire Primary…
jamesb says
He, he, he….
The votes ur talking about are in the SINGLE digits!!!!!
jamesb says
Larry Sabato replied
Drew Savicki
@SenhorRaposa
Dixville Notch, always a contrarian. Dukakis got 0 votes there in 1988 and he won the New Hampshire primary by 17%.
Also?
As I point out in the post….
The NH Dem winner has LOST the nomination a few times in the last two decades…
jamesb says
Later….
jamesb says
Amy Klobuchar leads in NH as off 12:00 Noon….
jamesb says
Joe Biden will leave NH for South Carolina tonight….
He will then fly out to Nevada….
The two state primaries he hopes to ignite his nomination race….
CG says
Remember, Nevada is a CAUCUS. So that gives him an excuse to finish behind Yang there.
jamesb says
I hope then get their act together for the results in Nevada
jamesb says
First N.H. vote coming in….
Klobuchar in second to Sanders
Biden 5th place
10% in
jamesb says
Media start off herding early
tonight ?
Amy Klobuchar
CG says
Many thought the race would come down nationwide to Biden vs. Warren.
New Hampshire is about to eliminate both of them.
So, what we are looking at is Sanders vs. the ultimate survivor of Buttigieg vs. Klobuchar. Those two will be the story in the next couple of contests. Who will knock off the other?
And then Bloomberg will enter the ring officially once “buyers remorse” is rampant all-around.
jamesb says
He, he, he
ELIMINATE Both. in state that has less people voting then my county?
Nope….
Looks like a good night for Klobuchar so far…
It remains to be seen if this translates to anything in a big diverse state…
My bet is STILL Sanders bs Biden…
jamesb says
Breaking…
Yang is out….
Post coming a bit later
jamesb says
Ah CG?
One pundit is reporting maybe 4,000 voters to be be counted …..
4,000 and u have the race OVER?
Slow Down….
The REAL race starts in the morning…
Nevada, SC, Cali… and Super Tuesday….
jamesb says
Yang dropping out overshadowing Klobuchar running in 3rd place so far….
jamesb says
Klobuchar is running 2-1 ahead of Warren in 4th place and more against Biden in 5th…
jamesb says
Dave Wasserman
The three major center/left candidates so far (Buttigieg, Klobuchar, Biden): 53%
Sanders/Warren: 36%
But, the first group’s failure to consolidate is the best thing going for Bernie Sanders.
jamesb says
Harry Enten
These are just ugly numbers for Biden/Warren. But Biden can at least claim the state isn’t racially diverse. Warren is literally from next door.
jamesb says
In this small first voting state ?
The white moderate vote IS splintered between the ‘moderates’….
It will be interesting to see what happens in places where the demographics are much more diverse…
Biden is definitely NOT. or of it as some think ..
But he DOES seem to have a developing problem from two other Democrats that ARE decades younger then him…
jamesb says
Remember……
Despite the hysterics ….
Sanders trumped Hillary in N.H. and lost the nomination race….
jamesb says
I thought Biden would come in 3rd….
Don’t look that way for sure…
He KNEW. probably Thursday with his internal’s which is probably why he came off the campaign and reshuffled his staff and why he’s probably in SC and then going back to Nevada….
Klobuchar should be getting a money infusion…
I rate her chances not good against Biden and Sanders but probably better now then Buttigieg….
We’ll see….
jamesb says
Breaking …
Bennet out also..
CG says
Nobody gives a damn or is the least bit surprised that Yang is dropping out.
CG says
That’s fine. I’m calling. Biden and Warren are done.
Four left to compete.
If I am wrong, you can remind me of this. I’m rarely wrong though.
CG says
The ABC sitcom “The Connors” is doing a live episode that includes watching the NH Primary results from the actual ABC News team.
Zreebs says
James, Do you still think that a Biden will have a commanding lead after Super Tuesday?
jamesb says
YES….
Zreebs says
James, I checked my email but I still didn’t see where you made an attempt to find an agreeable day when you will take me to lunch after you lost our bet.
jamesb says
I’ll bet double or nothing sometime in the future on whatever…
We here ain’t paying for meals…
But keep trying😃…
Zreebs says
James, I am not interested in betting double or nothing ar this stage. First I have to be confident that you will honor your bet. Right now you sound like you are about as honorable on this as CG (who recently stated he is almost always right on his forecasts – but that is a different discussion) claimed that Cruz would beat Beto by 10 points and then tried to change the bet to be 9.5 points.
When you say “We here aren’t paying for meals” I interpret that to include YOU are not paying for meals – although I think we only agreed on one meal. Please clarify or let me know when we can make plans.
Zreebs says
James, I still haven’t received your reply. You must have replied to the wrong email or you spelt my name incorrectly. Please correct and re-send.
One possibility if your money is tight, there is an upscale supermarket nearby and you can bring your food stamps. They have a good luncheon area where we can enjoy a good meal. Let me know if you would prefer that option.
jamesb says
Latest NH….
CANDIDATE VOTES PERCENT MAP
Bernie Sanders 49,135 25.99%
Pete Buttigieg 44,804 23.70%
Amy Klobuchar 38,244 20.23%
Elizabeth Warren 17,937 9.49%
Joe Biden 16,197 8.57%
Tom Steyer 6,780 3.59%
Tulsi Gabbard 6,142 3.25%
Andrew Yang 5,318 2.81%
Other 3,058 1.62%
Deval Patrick 739 0.39%
Michael Bennet 672 0.36%
66.67% reporting (198 of 297 precincts) | 189,026 total votes
jamesb says
My mistake in claiming there would be 4,000 votes in total….
I took that number from somebody that obviously didn’t know WRF they where talking about….
My Bad!
jamesb says
Latest NH….
CANDIDATE VOTES PERCENT MAP
Bernie Sanders 63,083 25.80%
Pete Buttigieg 59,053 24.15%
Amy Klobuchar 48,672 19.91%
Elizabeth Warren 23,051 9.43%
Joe Biden 21,272 8.70%
Tom Steyer 8,489 3.47%
Tulsi Gabbard 7,925 3.24%
Andrew Yang 7,084 2.90%
Other 4,045 1.65%
Deval Patrick 998 0.41%
Michael Bennet 828 0.34%
80.13% reporting (238 of 297 precincts) | 244,500 total votes
(Biden less than 1% from Warren)
jamesb says
Latest NH….
arrow_drop_down
CANDIDATE VOTES PERCENT MAP
check
Bernie Sanders 66,028 25.86%
Pete Buttigieg 61,846 24.22%
Amy Klobuchar 50,367 19.72%
Elizabeth Warren 23,969 9.39%
Joe Biden 22,267 8.72%
Tom Steyer 9,016 3.53%
Tulsi Gabbard 8,250 3.23%
Andrew Yang 7,302 2.86%
Other 4,365 1.71%
Deval Patrick 1,080 0.42%
Michael Bennet 861 0.34%
83.16% reporting (247 of 297 precincts) | 255,351 total votes
(Biden gonna catch Warren?)
CG says
Bernie “bigfoots” Pete and comes out while his opponent is still speaking. Ah, politics.
I am not sure why Buttigieg spoke with only the flag as the background and not a group of people standing behind him. Maybe they couldn’t find enough diversity at the event
CG says
Biden is not going to catch Warren. Pete is not going to catch Bernie, but for people with money on any of this, maybe Tulsi catches Steyer..
CG says
Gabbard over a thousand votes ahead of Yang despite not being in the last few debates.
NH has always had some weird people. These are probably the Ron Paul voters.
CG says
Weld easily bests Patrick in the battle of ex neighboring Governors.
(Maybe Mitt got more write in votes, in both parties, than Patrick got on the ballot)
CG says
Buttigieg should mention that since 1984 (so in his entire life), the 2nd place finisher in NH has won the nomination in contested primaries 4 times, including the last two.
(The NH Dem winner has won 3 times since ’84 but one of those was Gore)
CG says
What’s more embarrassing?
That over the past eight years, both political parties in Iowa botched their Caucus?
Or the back to back winners in the NH primaries have been Bernie Sanders and Donald Trump?
jamesb says
Bernie Sanders WINS the NH 2020 Primary….
Democratic Socialist Dave says
former Mass. Gov. Deval Patrick suspends his presidential campaign:
https://www.bostonglobe.com/2020/02/12/metro/deval-patrick-suspends-presidential-bid/
¶ How did the also-rans do last night?
[from Bing search results]
24 delegates in New Hampshire
RACE CALLED
97.67% precincts reporting
Candidate
Delegates added
Votes
Percent of vote
Bernie Sanders
9
75,859
25.7%
Pete Buttigieg
9
72,126
24.44%
Amy Klobuchar
6
58,499
19.82%
Elizabeth Warren
0
27,241
9.23%
Joe Biden
0
24,831
8.41%
Tom Steyer
0
10,664
3.61%
Tulsi Gabbard
0
9,598
3.25%
Andrew Yang
0
8,268
2.8%
Deval Patrick
0
1,258
0.43%
Michael Bennet
0
962
0.33%
Cory Booker
0
154
0.05%
Marianne Williamson
0
95
0.03%
John Delaney
0
82
0.03%
Michael Bloomberg
0
0
0%
CG says
We know that Bill Weld got more votes than Deval Patrick, one of his successors. Did Romney get more write-in votes yesterday (combined in both parties) then Patrick got?