Folks?
Nevada Polls are a bit of ALL over the place…
While Sanders SEEMS in the lead…
OTHER poll’s throw some doubt….
Political Polls
@Politics_Polls
#Nevada Beacon Research/
@TomSteyer
Internal Poll (2/12-15):
Sanders 24%
Biden 19%
Steyer 18%
Buttigieg 13%
Warren 10%
Klobuchar 7%
…
Political Polls
@Politics_Polls
#Nevada
@DataProgress
Poll,
Among Hispanics:
Sanders 64%
Steyer 8%
Biden 7%
Klobuchar 7%
Warren 5%
Buttigieg 4%
Gabbard 2%
Among Whites:
Sanders 28%
Warren 18%
Buttigieg 18%
Biden 12%
Steyer 11%
Klobuchar 11%
Gabbard 2%
…
Political Polls
@Politics_Polls
#Nevada
@Telemundo
Poll, Among Hispanic Voters:
Biden 34%
Bernie 31%
Buttigieg 7%
Warren 6%
Klobuchar 5%
Steyer 3%
Bloomberg 2%
Political Polls @ Twitter….
New SC Poll
https://www.usnews.com/news/elections/articles/2020-02-19/joe-biden-bernie-sanders-tied-in-south-carolina-poll
Biden and Sanders both 23
Steyer 20
Buttigieg 15
Obviously, things are headed in a clear direction for Biden.
If Buttigieg finishes a close second (or actually wins SC) though, he is a major force nationwide.
Steyer winning SC would be hilarious. It would be akin to how Steve Forbes somehow won AZ in 1996. That would just make things closer to a brokered convention though.
The full 1996 comparison might have to be made in the future, but right now it easily looks like Elizabeth Warren is playing the role of Phil Gramm.
People thought Bob Dole was way too old at 72 and 73. Heck, he’d only be the fourth oldest person on stage tonight.
At this point in 1996 the delegate leader for the GOP was probably Nazi sympathizer Pat Buchanan.
Proof that Trumpism was alive and well in the Republican Party long before Trump.
Well, Buchanan won the Louisiana Caucuses on 2/6 (Dole did not take part), then Dole won Iowa on 2/12. Tomorrow will be the anniversary of the NH primary won by Buchanan.
Two days later, Forbes took Delaware which Dole did not take part in and the following Tuesday he won Arizona, while Dole took both Dakotas and I believe ran the table after that, although I think Buchanan won the Missouri Caucus, dominated by Scott’s right-wing college classmates.
Ha ha! I remember the 1996 Missouri caucus. I didn’t take part but Buchanan winning caused the state GOP to scrap them in 2000 in favor of a primary.
Of course they had a primary in 2012 and that wacko Rick Santorum still managed to win so maybe it wasn’t such a great idea after all.
And that 2000 primary was the only Republican Presidential one I voted in–for John McCain. Bush won the GOP race here as did Al Gore the Democratic primary. Bill Bradley overwhelmingly carried Jefferson County–where he was born and raised. Still odd to me that that county could have produced a Rhodes Scholar.
Trump was calling Buchanan a Nazi publicly in 1999.
so let history reflect that Buchanan won (narrowly) only one contested race in 1996 (and in his entire political career)
He was feeling very cocky after NH, went to Arizona, put on a black hat and started firing guns over his head. The party came to its senses and rallied around Dole.
There would be no stopping Trump two decades later. Will there be any stopping Sanders?
Looking back, the powerful Joan Rivers endorsement of Steve Forbes played huge in Arizona, especially in the Plastic Surgery Community.
There is a developing feeling among Democrats I talk to in SC that Biden is at best 50/50 to win here and ,even if he does, it will be by a very narrow margin.
Obviously,if he doesn’t win,his campaign is effectively over.A narrow victory?I guess he can still go on ,but what would be the point?
All this talk about him being in “good shape” for Super Tuesday is so much bunk.Biden is not in “good shape” anywhere.
Biden comes in third in SC. I am calling it here. It will be his highest ever showing in a Presidential contest so he can exit national politics on a high note.
Biden WILL win SC…
The margin WILL matter…
I’m on for Biden 2nd in Nevada …
Again…
The margin WILL matter….
Sanders UNDER performed in Iowa AND NH….
Same in 2016….
We’ll see in Nevada, SC and Super Tuesday…
Well if you think Biden is heading for a”big” victory here?
Then your continuing self delusion has reached new levels.
He is steadily dropping in every poll.The news reports here are replete with comments as to the softness of his support and the lack of enthusiasm for his candidacy.
So if you really believe that the “margin “ matters?Its already over.
At best he wins a narrow victory.
I’m hoping for a nomination for Biden….
No Big victory
Yes he could come in third behind Sanders and Steyer.
Steyer oddly seems to have a “strategy” whereby a victory in S.C. would catapult him into Super Tuesday as a major candidate .
My view is a narrow “win” here would be viewed as an aberration ala Forbes victory in Arizona 24 years ago.
Agreed on Steyer….
Would a President Steyer only wear that one tie? Does he think he is running for President of Scotland?
Were Scotland ever to achieve independence from the UK, it’s almost certain that she would keep the UK’s current monarch as her own, i.e. become a dominion within the Commonwealth like Canada, Australia & New Zealand, rather than elect a President of her own.
In fact the Commonwealth of Australia would be far more likely to become a republic, as this is the position of one of her two main political parties, the Australian Labor Party. [For the main reason why, check Wikipedia for “Gough Whitlam” or “Sir John Kerr”, the Governor-General who fired Whitlam as PM.]
]Compulsory pedantic asides.]
Another new SC poll
https://thehill.com/homenews/campaign/483690-biden-leads-sanders-by-single-digits-in-south-carolina-poll
Biden 23
Sanders 21
Steyer 13
Warren and Buttigieg both 11
I guess they don’t get Minnesotans there.
Black vote
Biden 40 Sanders 20
Not sure the whole field but they have Buttigieg up to 16
Biden is only polling 11 percent among white voters.