He now forecasts Biden’s win could be above 25%….
Sanders chances of a win @ 3%….
Silver has mussed that a Biden win above his numbers could net Biden ALL of the delegates in the state and propel Joe Biden to the lead in the nomination delegate race…
One would also think that such a win combined with positive media coverage?
Would give Biden a substantial ‘bounce’ going into the Democrats Super Tuesday primaries…..
FiveThirtyEight: “As for the South Carolina primary, our forecast views Biden as the heavy favorite, to the tune of a 29 in 30 (97%) chance of claiming first place. The only other candidate who has a meaningful chance of winning is Sanders, who has a 1 in 30 (3%) shot — a Sanders win is plausible, but it would register as one of the bigger polling upsets we’ve seen in a primary.”
“Biden’s rise in South Carolina happened very quickly — a week ago, he had a 2 in 5 (40%) chance of winning, slightly behind Sanders’s almost 1 in 2 (46%) chance. Then a plethora of post-Nevada polls came out showing Biden leading in the state by double-digit margins.”….
Note…
Could Tom Steyer could sneak into a second place finish?
image…thehill.com
If you check most political sites today?
You will scant mention of Biden’s impending win….
Is the fix in for Bernie Sanders in the political media?
Mike Bloomberg is turning into Joe Biden’s Ralph Nader ….
He should drop out and help Biden if he wants to REALLY beat Donald Trump….
Tim Miller
Mike Bloomberg is ostensibly in this race to be the Bernie Sanders alternative and yet he’s still not spending money against Bernie on TV and his presence could allow Bernie to win in Biden’s two best big delegate Tuesday states – TX and NC. It’s madness.