Pete Buttigieg is tied with the other two in first fresh poll out of Iowa and New Hampshire since mid December…
But he doesn’t have much hope once the primaries leave the small states of Iowa and New Hampshire…
We seem to have a repeat of 2016 again , with Bernie Sanders trailing the establishment candidate for the nomination….
Biden is rated best to beat Trump in the poling…
Elizabeth Warren is fading….
This IS just one poll….
JUST IN:
Iowa Poll 29 days before #IACaucus:
Bernie Sanders 23%
Joe Biden 23%
Pete Buttigieg 23%
Elizabeth Warren 16%
Amy Klobuchar 7%
Margin of Error: +/- 3.8%
NEW
Poll: A minority of New Hampshire Democrats think the Democratic frontrunners would probably win against President Donald Trump.
Joe Biden 36%
Bernie Sanders 33%
Elizabeth Warren 22%
Pete Buttigieg 15% #nhpolitics #FITN
It’s Not Just Polls That Show Biden and Sanders Leading
Harry Enten: “We have less than a month until the primary season, and it’s becoming more apparent that former Vice President Joe Biden and Sen. Bernie Sanders of Vermont are the candidates to beat. It’s not just that they are Nos. 1 and 2 in the national polling. It’s that each holds a lead on the two most important metrics beyond the polling: fundraising and endorsements.”
Politicalwire….
And in congruence with the above(and by popular demand)…
The Odds
(Fair and Balanced as Always)
Biden…48%
Sanders…32%
Buttigieg…9%
Warren…8%
Klobuchar…1%
Bloomberg …1%
Someone Else…1%
Thanks Jack….
You’ll be posted up in a bit….
Nate Silver
538 Iowa polling average with the YouGov poll included:
Biden 22.0 (+2.5)
Sanders 20.6 (+2.5)
Buttigieg 19.4 (+0.4)
Warren 13.3 (-0.2)
Klobuchar 7.0 (+0.6)
Since neither Joe Walsh nor Bill Weld will be on the ballot in the Illinois primary, I feel like my best option is to pull a Democrat primary ballot for the first time ever. Please pray for me as this will be quite difficult mentally and physically to do.
My main intent will be to vote against an incumbent in a more local race but of course there is also the matter of the Presidential primary and whatever influence I can have on it. It will be my intent to vote for Mike Bloomberg on the “beauty portion” aspect of the ballot. Now, interestingly enough, Bloomberg is not fielding any delegates in any of the IL CD’s, so I will leave that section blank strategically. Bloomberg is hoping to do well enough on the “popular vote” portion to win some delegates out of IL per DNC rules.
So, james is planning to vote for Biden in a primary and Zreebs and myself will plan to support Bloomberg in a primary (and Israel). The rest of you remain undecided.
I’ll save the sarcastic remarks.
I have tried to put myself in your position.If the President was aTrumplike character ,what would I do?
I very well might be contemplating voting Republican under the theory that the most important thing would be getting rid of the Trumplike figure,not only for the country but for the future of my party.
Your motivation may ,or may not ,be similiar .
Bloomberg is not on the ballot in S.C.As I have previously noted, I would consider supporting him if he was.While presently I don’t see him having much of a chance at the nomination(see my “odds”) ,his future will likely be determined by Bidens performance in the early primaries.
I know this is a difficult thing for you to do.It would be for me in the same situation.Hopefully it won’t be too painful.
The NJ primary is in June. So although I would vote for Bloomberg if the election were today, that could easily Change for a variety of reasons by June. Recall how four years ago I was for Lincoln Chafee at this time, but eventually voted for Sanders.
I’m leaning Biden.
But am also considering Buttigieg. And Warren. And Klobuchar, if she is still in the race when Missouri votes March 10.
No matter who wins the Democratic nomination he or she will have my unwavering support from the minute the nomination is clinched.
I can’t find the quotation now, but during the last General Election campaign, Boris Johnson in a BBC interview humorously appealed for Labour voters saying something like “if you go into the polling station and your hand quavers over the ballot… ”
Joe Biden has landed endorsements from several House Democrats representing some of the toughest battleground districts in the country as he works to prove his electability in swing states.
Biden’s presidential campaign announced on Sunday that it had won the backing from Reps. Conor Lamb and Chrissy Houlahan of Pennsylvania and Elaine Luria of Virginia — three centrists with military backgrounds — as he seeks a breakout moment in the purple state of Iowa next month.
All three of the House Democrats referred to Biden’s foreign policy experience, which the former vice president himself has repeatedly touted in the wake of the Trump administration’s killing of Iran’s top military commander last week….
More…