PLEASE check this out….
Republican lawmakers maybe carrying the water for Donald Trump…
But I keep finding other Republicans that aren’t….
…from The Hill Op-Ed by John LeBoutillier…..
The new year will have two main storylines: the impeachment trial and the November election. Looking at these chronologically, here are some predictions on how both could turn out:
- The Senate impeachment trial — which two weeks ago seemed to be a slam-dunk whitewash for Donald Trump, engineered by Senate Majority Leader Mitch McConnell (R-Ky.) — now is the year’s biggest wild card. No one knows where this thing is headed.
- Do you recall in the Indiana Jones movie “Raiders of the Lost Ark” when the Nazis opened the Ark of the Covenant on a remote Mediterranean Island? At first, all they found in it seemed to be some harmless, ancient sand. But then odd things began happening: Electrical machines stopped working; spirits appeared and turned from “beautiful” to deadly. Soon, every bad guy was dead and only Indiana Jones and his partner survived.
- This impeachment trial will be similar: All sorts of political spirits will be unleashed. Already, three GOP senators are (slightly) breaking away — Lisa Murkowski (R-Alaska) and Susan Collins (R-Maine) are questioning the McConnell-led process, and now James Lankford (R-Okla.) has dared to criticize Trump’s character. Neither of these events would have happened before the House impeached Trump.
- The daily tracking polls are moving — albeit slightly — against Trump. In the MSN daily tracking poll, those who favor the president’s removal from office have grown since the Dec. 18 impeachment, to 55 percent; those opposed have fallen, to 40 percent.
- If there are compelling witnesses at the Senate trial, the polls might move toward 60 percent for removal. Then, all bets are off….
Meanwhile, former Vice President Joe Biden will have a very good February; Democratic voters — after sampling Sen. Elizabeth Warren (D-Mass.), Sen. Bernie Sanders (I-Vt.) and South Bend, Ind., Mayor Pete Buttigieg — will return to Biden because of the one thing they care most about: defeating Trump in November. Biden is consistently ahead in the polls versus Trump — and Trump is spooked by Biden, which is why he orchestrated his Ukraine squeeze play and got impeached for it.
- Biden is the perfect anti-Trump candidate: decent, experienced, honest, kind. His contrast to Trump is clear as day. He will indeed be the Democrats’ nominee.
- The very first phone call Biden makes to ask someone to be his running mate will be to Michelle Obama. He knows a Biden-Obama ticket would be unbeatable — but, alas, Mrs. Obama has no interest in holding elective office.
- She and her husband will, however, campaign tirelessly for the eventual Joe Biden-Kamala Harris ticket; they will go to cities and suburbs and significantly increase Democratic turnout.
- The general election will see the highest voter turnout — in excess of 60 percent — since the last time we had such a bitterly divided nation, in 1968.
- Trump will lose massively in the popular vote and narrowly in the Electoral College.
- Why? Because, for three years, he’s made absolutely no effort to reach out to other voters; instead, he’s insulted anyone who dared to disagree with him.
- He either forgot or never understood that politics is the art of addition, not subtraction.
- Yes, he has a fiercely loyal base that he can count on — but there are not enough of those voters to win in an election where all the anti-Trump voters (women, young people, minorities) will make certain this time to vote instead of staying home as they did in 2016.