Political Dog 101

Politics, News, Comments & Other Good Stuff....

Today has the 2019 off-year elections around the country….

By

Maybe the best way to view today’s elections in Kentucky, Mississippi and Virginia is that Republicans are playing defense — on favorable turf in the red states of Kentucky and Mississippi, and on much more challenging ground in Virginia.

As a result, a good night for the GOP will be if they can hold their losses to control of just one chamber in Virginia, and keep control of everything else.

And a good/great night for Democrats will be if they flip both chambers in Virginia and win the governor’s mansion in Kentucky….

More @ NBC News…

…

  • Kentucky and Mississippi will elect governors on Tuesday, with Democrats looking for upset victories in those two solidly Republican states.

  • In Virginia, voters will decide control of the state legislature, where Republicans have slim majorities in each chamber. If the G.O.P. loses, Virginia state government will be under full Democratic control.

  • Polls are open from 6 a.m. to 7 p.m. in Virginia; 6 a.m. to 6 p.m. and 7 p.m. in Kentucky, depending on the location; and 7 a.m. to 7 p.m. Central Time in Mississippi.

  • There are also political offices and referendums on the ballot in Maine, New Jersey, New York, Pennsylvania and Colorado on Tuesday….

More @NY Times…

 

 

Recent Posts

Reader Interactions

Comments

  1. The Mayors of New Bedford Fall River, Taunton, Attleboro and several other Massachusetts cities are being elected today, as are City Council seats in Boston (4) and Providence, RI (1).

  2. I am fully admitting that I really actually want to see the Democrat win the KY Governorship tonight (and I’d take Mississippi too even though I did not predict that outcome). This continues to be a very odd feeling for me as a Republican but I cannot fight the feeling.

    I also likely just jinxed them both to defeat.

    You folks let me know whenever you find yourself rooting for a Republican to win a race.

    • I would be greatly surprised to see the Democrat elected in Ky. and believe that the chances of the Democrat winning in Mississippi at less than 5% or so.

    • Today is election day in NJ. But none of the candidates from either party excited me one way or the other. So I just did not vote. Not quite the same as rooting for a Republican, but I am not rooting for a Democrat either.

    • Oh, this could be glorious to watch the Trump bootlickers suffer! So close to getting there…

      Come on Jefferson County! Come on Louisville! Hold those votes until the end!

        • Good job! I don’t expect much out of Kentucky other than bourbon, but this is a nice change.

          No one could have hugged tighter to Trump than Matt Bevin. I fully expect Trump to Tweet tomorrow morning that he was a Never Trumper, ran a bad campaign, etc etc.

              • Over on twitter some are calling this for Beshear based on the outstanding counties….
                93% counted still the 20k or so margin…

                • Republicans sweep all other Kentucky statewide races, including electing an African-American as Attorney General to succeed Beshear.

                  But Bevin, the Trumpiest of candidates saw huge margins in the suburbs turn on him.

                  Take heed Republicans. .. take heed!

            • It’s all about Him:

              NOVEMBER 4, 2019 / 9:12 PM / UPDATED 18 HOURS AGO

              Trump urges Kentucky ahead of state vote: Send impeachment Democrats a message

              Steve Holland

              LEXINGTON, Ky. (Reuters) – Under siege in an impeachment inquiry, President Donald Trump urged voters in Kentucky on Monday to send Democrats arrayed against him in Washington a message by voting for the re-election on Tuesday of the state’s Republican governor.

              Trump’s speech to thousands of supporters was an explicit attempt to make the governor’s election in Kentucky a referendum on his presidency as he tries to survive an impeachment probe in the Democratic-led U.S. House of Representatives.

              “Tomorrow, Kentucky has a chance to send the radical Democrats a message,” Trump said.

              Kentuckians need to re-elect Bevin, said Trump, or else pundits will say: “Trump suffered the greatest defeat in the history of the world. … You can’t let that happen to me.”….

              https://www.reuters.com/article/us-usa-election-trump/trump-urges-kentucky-ahead-of-state-vote-send-impeachment-democrats-a-message-idUSKBN1XF070

  5. Saw this somewhere online–“Since Trump took office, Democrats have flipped governorships in: Kansas, Nevada, New Mexico, New Jersey, Illinois, Maine, Wisconsin, Michigan, and now, Kentucky”

    • Over the years, I’ve seen some when 37 governors are Democrats and a dozen of so are are Republicans, and others with the exact opposite balance (not counting independents).

      Governorships, I think, flip between parties on a rather different calendar from Presidents and Congressional majorities, although (like the White House) the stretches tend to be eight years long (an incumbent is re-elected once, but the opposition wins the next election).

      Virginia & New Jersey elect governors in the year after a presidential election, while Kentucky, Louisiana & Mississippi elect them in the year before a presidential election. About 10-12 elect governors in presidential (or Summer Olympic) years (e.g. Vt, NH, — with 2-year terms — and Washington) and the about three-dozen states (again inc. Vt & NH) halfway between Presidential elections (or FIFA World Cups & Winter Olympics).

      The partisan pattern may have changed with the nationalization of politics.

      Corey may very well have a better grasp of the current patterns.

      • I just know that the Kentucky result has foretold the next year’s Presidential election since 1991.

        Four years ago, Bevin was a somewhat surprise winner and it likely told something about votes leaving behind Democrats and voting for Trump the next year.

        Now Bevin is a somewhat surprise loser, and the warning signs for Republicans of that factor ending should be taken seriously.

        However, I do not exactly see the likely Dem nominee of coming across as moderate as Beshear did. (People say that the more conservative Democrat who lost in the primary would have beaten Bevin by double digits)

        Beshear ran a smart campaign. He did not call Trump voters, “deplorables.” He featured them in his ads saying they still like Trump but were going to support Beshear.

        • The Democratic nominee will in all likelihood be more liberal than Beshear for the same reason than any GOP nominee would likely be more conservative than Larry Hogan or Charlie Baker.

    • Alaska had an independent governor who I think was pretty much Republican (most Indys in that state are) and now they have an actual Republican.

      • The Independent Governor was elected after the Democrat dropped out to support him. He was elected as the defacto Democrat in 2014

  7. I bet Trump never eats KFC again.

    He better cancel his trip to Louisiana now, The Democrat is already favored to win there and Trump will not want to be blamed. Plus, he would then have to give up Popeye’s too.

    • …and also forsake beignets, muffalettas, jambalaya, chicory coffee and Hurricanes.

      (But I forgot that the current Chief Magistrate prefers fast food.)

  8. In a special election Democrats flipped a Missouri House district in the once Republican bastion of west St. Louis County.

%d