Here’s a look at the latest polls from Real Clear Politics….
These ARE the numbers , not the media narrative….
Iowa…
| Poll | Date |
Warren
|
Biden
|
Sanders
|
Buttigieg
|
Harris
|
Klobuchar
|
Steyer
|
Booker
|
Gabbard
|
O’Rourke
|
Yang
|
Williamson
|
Spread | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RCP Average | 9/13 – 10/11 | 22.7 | 19.3 | 16.0 | 12.0 | 5.3 | 2.7 | 2.3 | 2.3 | 2.3 | 2.0 | 1.7 | 0.7 | 0.7 | Warren +3.4 |
New Hampshire…
| Poll | Date |
Warren
|
Biden
|
Sanders
|
Buttigieg
|
Harris
|
Yang
|
Steyer
|
Gabbard
|
Klobuchar
|
Booker
|
O’Rourke
|
Ryan
|
Spread | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RCP Average | 9/17 – 10/11 | 28.0 | 24.3 | 13.3 | 9.0 | 4.0 | 3.0 | 2.7 | 2.3 | 2.3 | 1.3 | 0.7 | 0.5 | 0.3 | Warren +3.7 |
Nevada…
| Poll | Date |
Biden
|
Warren
|
Sanders
|
Harris
|
Buttigieg
|
Steyer
|
Yang
|
Booker
|
Gabbard
|
Klobuchar
|
Williamson
|
O’Rourke
|
Spread | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RCP Average | 9/19 – 9/26 | 22.5 | 18.5 | 18.0 | 4.5 | 3.5 | 3.5 | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 0.5 | Biden +4.0 |
South Carolina…
| Poll | Date |
Biden
|
Warren
|
Sanders
|
Harris
|
Buttigieg
|
Booker
|
Steyer
|
O’Rourke
|
Yang
|
Bennet
|
Williamson
|
Klobuchar
|
Spread | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RCP Average | 9/21 – 10/11 | 39.5 | 15.8 | 11.3 | 5.3 | 3.5 | 2.8 | 2.8 | 1.3 | 1.0 | 0.8 | 0.8 | 0.8 | 0.8 | Biden +23.7 |
California…
| Poll | Date |
Biden
|
Warren
|
Sanders
|
Harris
|
Buttigieg
|
Yang
|
O’Rourke
|
Booker
|
Castro
|
Gabbard
|
Klobuchar
|
Steyer
|
Spread | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RCP Average | 9/13 – 9/25 | 23.8 | 22.0 | 21.0 | 8.8 | 4.8 | 4.8 | 2.8 | 1.5 | 1.5 | 1.5 | 1.0 | 0.7 | 0.5 | Biden +1.8 |
Texas…
| Poll | Date |
Biden
|
O’Rourke
|
Warren
|
Sanders
|
Harris
|
Buttigieg
|
Castro
|
Yang
|
Klobuchar
|
Booker
|
Gabbard
|
Ryan
|
Spread | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RCP Average | 7/9 – 9/9 | 26.8 | 16.5 | 15.8 | 13.3 | 6.5 | 4.3 | 3.3 | 1.8 | 1.5 | 1.3 | 0.8 | 0.8 | 0.5 | Biden +10.3 |
Massachusetts…
| Poll | Date |
Biden
|
O’Rourke
|
Warren
|
Sanders
|
Harris
|
Buttigieg
|
Castro
|
Yang
|
Klobuchar
|
Booker
|
Gabbard
|
Ryan
|
Spread | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RCP Average | 7/9 – 9/9 | 26.8 | 16.5 | 15.8 | 13.3 | 6.5 | 4.3 | 3.3 | 1.8 | 1.5 | 1.3 | 0.8 | 0.8 | 0.5 | Biden +10.3 |
image…OutsidetheBeltway.Com
If anything, the media narrative is that Biden is the front-runner, while the numbers show a specific opponent being ahead of him in Iowa and New Hampshire.
If that comes to pass, then Warren is John Kerry and Biden is merely Howard Dean, because that is really the only time that has ever happened before.
However, Warren has raised a lot more money than Biden.
You DID check the numbers in the OTHER states, Right CG?
My view continues to be Warren is good in the first two mostly white states and then Biden sails into the nomination…
The polls show this in this post…
You and media could be VERY disappointed…
Trump isn’t on Biden’s case because he’s worried about Warren…
That would be beyond unprecedented.
And it has nothing to do with what I want. I am open in preferring Biden as President over Warren. I just do not really see it happening for him in the primaries if she takes the first two states.
Trump is most worried about Biden. That is why is he trying to get foreign governments to “get him.”
i will add to the Democratic numbers that Trump’s polling bounce a little but average about the same at around 40%…..