Joe Biden continues to lead the Democratic Presidential nomination sweepstakes race after the 3rd debate….And Donald Trump….
Elizabeth Warren seems to be just about displacing Bernie Sanders in second place by a small margin….
Trump vs Biden Real Clear Politics…
September 17, 2019
Biden by +11.5
National Democratic nomination…
Former Vice President Joe Biden and Massachusetts Sen. Elizabeth Warren have gained support since the summer in their fight for the Democratic presidential nomination and are beginning to separate themselves from the rest of the party’s sprawling 2020 field, a new Wall Street Journal/NBC News poll finds.
Mr. Biden was the top choice of 31% of Democratic primary voters, while Ms. Warren was favored by 25% in the poll, which was conducted after the party’s third primary debate, in Houston, last week. Vermont Sen. Bernie Sanders was the only other candidate with double-digit support, at 14%.
Mr. Biden and Ms. Warren were the only candidates whose support grew meaningfully since a July survey. But measures of voter enthusiasm for Ms. Warren have risen during the year while declining for Mr. Biden….
Poll on the 3rd debate winner….
Thirty-three percent of people said they were unsure which of the the 10 candidates on the stage won the debate, a figure more than a third higher than the 20 percent of Democratic voters who said former Vice President Joe Biden was the winner and did the best.
Sen. Kamala Harris (D-Calif.) came in fourth place, with 7 percent saying she did the best in the poll released Monday.
Former Texas Rep. Beto O’Rourke (D) and Sen. Cory Booker
Former Vice President Joe Biden and Sen. Bernie Sanders (I-Vt.) are tied for first place among Democratic primary voters in California, while home-state Sen. Kamala Harris (D) is running in a distant fifth, according to a new poll.
The Emerson University survey released Tuesday shows Biden and Sanders leading the pack in California with 26 percent support each, followed by Sen. Elizabeth Warren (D-Mass.) at 20 percent. No other candidate secures double-digit support in the poll.
Tech entrepreneur and political newcomer Andrew Yang notches 7 percent support in the survey, with Harris following at 6 percent support.
Former Rep. Beto O’Rourke (D-Texas) and South Bend, Ind., Mayor Pete Buttigieg (D) took sixth and seventh place in the poll with 5 percent and 4 percent support, respectively….
Former Vice President Joe Biden holds a 5-point lead over Sen. Elizabeth Warren among New York Democratic voters seven months before the state’s 2020 presidential primary, according to a Siena College poll published today.
Biden (22%), Warren (17%) and Sen. Bernie Sanders (15%) have emerged as the front-runners among New York Democrats, the poll found.
The three have opened a wide early lead in New York over Sen. Kamala Harris, D-Calif., who had the support of 4%, and Mayor Pete Buttigieg of South Bend, Ind., who is favored by 3%, the poll found. No other Democratic candidate topped 1%.
The poll, the first by Siena College to ask Democratic voters who they support for the party’s nomination in 2020, closely mirrors national polls that show Biden as the Democratic front-runner….
The two biggest parties are in a statistical dead heat five weeks from election day. An aggregate of polls that Abacus Data compiled puts Andrew Scheer’s Conservatives at 35 percent and Justin Trudeau’s Liberals at 34 percent — well within the margin of error. Two minority parties are also showing strong, with the New Democratic Party at 12 percent and the Green Party at 11 percent.
Liberal strongholds: We find two possible advantages for Trudeau within the topline numbers. First, the Liberals hold a 15-point lead in Quebec and a four-point lead in Ontario, where dozens of seat results will mostly decide the election.
Second, there’s a near-perfect split to Trudeau’s left: The Greens and NDP are virtually tied, which means progressive voters have no clear alternative to Trudeau if they want to beat the Conservatives. If Trudeau manages to keep progressive voters united behind him, and the big provinces in his column, he’ll be tough to beat.
Much can change over 40 days…