Joe Biden continues to lead the Democratic Presidential nomination sweepstakes race after the 3rd debate….And Donald Trump….
Elizabeth Warren seems to be just about displacing Bernie Sanders in second place by a small margin….
Trump vs Biden Real Clear Politics…
September 17, 2019
Biden.…52.6
Trump…41.1
Biden by +11.5
National Democratic nomination…
Former Vice President Joe Biden and Massachusetts Sen. Elizabeth Warren have gained support since the summer in their fight for the Democratic presidential nomination and are beginning to separate themselves from the rest of the party’s sprawling 2020 field, a new Wall Street Journal/NBC News poll finds.
Mr. Biden was the top choice of 31% of Democratic primary voters, while Ms. Warren was favored by 25% in the poll, which was conducted after the party’s third primary debate, in Houston, last week. Vermont Sen. Bernie Sanders was the only other candidate with double-digit support, at 14%.
Mr. Biden and Ms. Warren were the only candidates whose support grew meaningfully since a July survey. But measures of voter enthusiasm for Ms. Warren have risen during the year while declining for Mr. Biden….
Poll on the 3rd debate winner….
Thirty-three percent of people said they were unsure which of the the 10 candidates on the stage won the debate, a figure more than a third higher than the 20 percent of Democratic voters who said former Vice President Joe Biden was the winner and did the best.
Twelve percent thought that Sen. Elizabeth Warren (D-Mass.) had the best performance, and 9 percent picked Sen. Bernie Sanders (I-Vt.).
Sen. Kamala Harris (D-Calif.) came in fourth place, with 7 percent saying she did the best in the poll released Monday.
Former Texas Rep. Beto O’Rourke (D) and Sen. Cory Booker
California….
Former Vice President Joe Biden and Sen. Bernie Sanders (I-Vt.) are tied for first place among Democratic primary voters in California, while home-state Sen. Kamala Harris (D) is running in a distant fifth, according to a new poll.
The Emerson University survey released Tuesday shows Biden and Sanders leading the pack in California with 26 percent support each, followed by Sen. Elizabeth Warren (D-Mass.) at 20 percent. No other candidate secures double-digit support in the poll.
Tech entrepreneur and political newcomer Andrew Yang notches 7 percent support in the survey, with Harris following at 6 percent support.
Former Rep. Beto O’Rourke (D-Texas) and South Bend, Ind., Mayor Pete Buttigieg (D) took sixth and seventh place in the poll with 5 percent and 4 percent support, respectively….
New York…
Former Vice President Joe Biden holds a 5-point lead over Sen. Elizabeth Warren among New York Democratic voters seven months before the state’s 2020 presidential primary, according to a Siena College poll published today.
Biden (22%), Warren (17%) and Sen. Bernie Sanders (15%) have emerged as the front-runners among New York Democrats, the poll found.
The three have opened a wide early lead in New York over Sen. Kamala Harris, D-Calif., who had the support of 4%, and Mayor Pete Buttigieg of South Bend, Ind., who is favored by 3%, the poll found. No other Democratic candidate topped 1%.
The poll, the first by Siena College to ask Democratic voters who they support for the party’s nomination in 2020, closely mirrors national polls that show Biden as the Democratic front-runner….
Canadian Election….
The two biggest parties are in a statistical dead heat five weeks from election day. An aggregate of polls that Abacus Data compiled puts Andrew Scheer’s Conservatives at 35 percent and Justin Trudeau’s Liberals at 34 percent — well within the margin of error. Two minority parties are also showing strong, with the New Democratic Party at 12 percent and the Green Party at 11 percent.
Liberal strongholds: We find two possible advantages for Trudeau within the topline numbers. First, the Liberals hold a 15-point lead in Quebec and a four-point lead in Ontario, where dozens of seat results will mostly decide the election.
Second, there’s a near-perfect split to Trudeau’s left: The Greens and NDP are virtually tied, which means progressive voters have no clear alternative to Trudeau if they want to beat the Conservatives. If Trudeau manages to keep progressive voters united behind him, and the big provinces in his column, he’ll be tough to beat.
Much can change over 40 days…
image…news.yahoo.com
jamesb says
Here’s another poll to add…..
Biden maintains his lead in Iowa….
Warren right behind him…
Former Vice President Joe Biden and Sen. Elizabeth Warren (D-Mass.) lead a new poll of likely Iowa caucus-goers by a wide margin as Sens. Bernie Sanders (I-Vt.) and Kamala Harris (D-Calif.) fade.
The poll was conducted for Focus on Rural America, a Democratic group run by former Lt. Gov. Patty Judge (D) and Iowa political strategist Jeff Link. It found Biden on top among likely caucus-goers with 25 percent of the vote, virtually tied with Warren, who took 23 percent.
South Bend, Ind., Mayor Pete Buttigieg clocks in with 12 percent of the vote, finishing ahead of Sanders and Harris.
Sanders took 9 percent, while Sen. Amy Klobuchar (D-Minn.), who is trying to make a charge in the neighboring state, took 8 percent….
More…
(If Warren had the same lead the headline would be screaming ‘she leads Biden in Iowa’…Ole’ Joe gets NO respect…)
jamesb says
And another with Warren in the lead….
A new Iowa State University/Civiqs poll in Iowa shows Elizabeth Warren leading the Democratic presidential race with 24%, followed by Joe Biden and Bernie Sanders tied at 16% each.
Key takeaway: “Almost a third (31%) of those surveyed said they do not want Biden to win the nomination, followed by Sanders (23%) and Williamson (12%).”
Politicalwire…
jamesb says
It appears that Warren IS in second place now ….
Several polls have her ahead of Sanders…
A new Economist-YouGov poll finds Joe Biden leading the Democratic primary field with 25%, followed by Elizabeth Warren at 19% and Bernie Sanders at 15%.
No other candidate gets double-digit support. Pete Buttigieg is next with 8%, followed by Kamala Harris at 5%….
Politicalwire…
(This is just a tracking poll)
jamesb says
The new Fox Poll has Biden STILL leading…
And Sanders in SECOND place….
It’s increasingly more important to Democratic primary voters to beat President Donald Trump than support their favorite candidate — and former Vice President Joe Biden is widely considered the candidate most likely to give them the White House.
That’s a major source of strength for Biden, who continues to lead the Democratic field, albeit at a new low.
Biden captures the support of 29 percent of Democratic primary voters, according to a new Fox News Poll. That’s down 2 points since last month and down 6 points since May, when he was at a high of 35 percent support. His current 11-point lead is down from a high of 19 points in June.
Sanders climbs back into second with 18 percent (up 8 points since August), followed by Elizabeth Warren at 16 percent (down 4), forming the clearest top three candidate tier seen in this race to date….
More @ Fox News….
(This poll is now in this post also….)