I know everyone cannot get over Donald Trump come out of nowhere win…
But even his win was seen by some late polling two years ago…
For Democrats right now?
Joe Biden IS way ahead in the polls…
We’ll see if Kamala Harris or Julian Castro get a ‘bump’ in their number….
Both are in the second tier right now …
Charlie Cook’s place says that’s about right…..
Yes, 25 candidates are running for the nomination. But, only five to six of them are serious contenders for the nomination. The RealClearPolitics average shows that five candidates combined—Vice President Joe Biden, Senators Bernie Sanders, Elizabeth Warren, Kamala Harris and South Bend Mayor Pete Buttigieg—take between 71 percent to 76 percent of the vote in national and early state polling. Nothing that happened in these two debates changed that math. Senator Cory Booker and former San Antonio Mayor Julian Castro performed well in their Wednesday night debate. But, strong enough to break into the double digits—or overcome any of those five? I don’t see it.
Will it rearrange the order of the top five? Maybe. But, not fundamentally. Biden came in as the frontrunner and took a lot of incoming flak on everything from his age, to his record on race, to his support for the Iraq war. He looked good on some things (he easily swatted down Rep. Eric Swalwell’s ham-handed generational attack) but was shakier on race (Harris attacked him on his past record on busing and two Democrats commented to me post-debate that his “states rights” answer on busing was terrible). Overall, however, he took a lot of punches but didn’t take on water.
Where we might see some movement is with Harris who put in the strongest performance of any candidate over the two nights. …
image…cyldefintchreport.com
If Harris and Castro don’t get any good sized bounce?….A LOT of media people along with the two are gonna be disappointed….
He, he,he…
So is CG…..