Joe Biden leads all the Democrats running for the Democratic nomination for President….
Joe Biden leads Donald Trump in the race for Trump’s current job right now…
The Hill has a piece about how some people in each party do NOT want the Biden lead to be real…
After a couple rough spots?
He still owns the polls….
And the lead over EVERYONE.…
All the above said?
Ya always CAN have a surprise….
For Trump and the Republicans, the polls are easy to dismiss. The president’s chances for winning in 2016 were deeply discounted by experts and poll watchers, who gave him almost no chance.
Trump’s allies routinely point to the New York Times election probability tool, which on Election Day in 2016 began with a 92 percent likelihood of a Clinton victory but slowly ticked down throughout the night.
Republicans are optimistic that the stronger economy will propel Trump to another victory in 2020. They say they’ll have a big head start with general election fundraising and organizing as Democrats slog through the primary.
Those arguments resonate with some Democrats, who are worried their party will become complacent.
“The only thing we need to remember is that every single poll had Hillary Clinton winning and then she lost,” said one top Democratic strategist. “I don’t put any stock in any poll, especially right now. I think Trump starts off in a strong position. Can he be beaten? Yes. But we’ll be going up against a machine and a very organized force. Don’t believe anyone who tells you Joe Biden or any Democrat is winning in Texas. That’s crazy. Give me a break.”
But some Democrats say the totality of the polls is too much to ignore.
“We are beyond the ‘grain of salt’ phase on these polls,” said one top Democratic pollster. “These are not just small leads for Biden against Trump. They are substantial and confirmed in key states. While polls may move around they are relevant in that it shows Trump’s weakness in getting re-elected. He has lost key support that he had at the end of 2016 and there is no denying that.”
While Biden has been the Democratic frontrunner for some time, there is no guarantee that he will win the primary.
Some Democrats believe that Biden’s lead in the polls is superficial and that he’s running on the fumes of his universal name recognition.
Sanders’s campaign is irate, believing the media is overly eager to write his obituary by spinning the polls in an effort to pass the progressive mantle to Sen. Elizabeth Warren (D-Mass.), who has been climbing in polls….