Democrats need to hold on to some US Senate seats while grabbing at least 3 from Republicans….
The chances are rated by most as 1 in 6 for this to occur and I myself thing Democrats would need a miracle …
They DO happen once in a while though…
Republicans, who hold a narrow 51-49 majority, have a much stronger chance of hanging on in the run-up to Election Day, when they have only one vulnerable incumbent, Sen. Dean Heller (Nev.), on the ballot.
Even with a promising GOP map, Doug Heye, a strategist and former spokesman for the Republican National Committee, said the battle for the Senate wasn’t likely to feature many “blowouts anyways,” meaning several races may very well be decided in the remaining days.
The overall showdown is being fought against a backdrop of deep polarization, political violence and racial animus that’s left a degree of uncertainty heading into Tuesday.
“It comes from underwhelming candidates in some cases and a polarized population in a lot of states,” Heye said. “In other cases, you have candidates who match up against each other pretty well.”
Democrats face a much narrower, but not impossible, path to winning back the Senate. Historically, the GOP should lose Senate seats during the first midterm of a Republican presidency, but Democrats are playing defense in 10 states that Trump carried in 2016, and where he remains popular.
They’ll need to run the table — flipping two GOP seats and holding on to their own vulnerable incumbents — if they want to win the Senate.
Democrats argue that the political atmosphere is trending in their direction as their candidates focus on issues like health care and protections for people with pre-existing conditions, areas where they feel they have an advantage because of GOP plans to repeal ObamaCare.
But they face growing headaches in states like North Dakota, where Sen. Heidi Heitkamp (D) is trailing her GOP challenger, Rep. Kevin Cramer, by more than 11 percentage points, according to an average of polls by RealClearPolitics.
In a sign that Republicans feel they are poised to pick up the seat, Trump has no plans to visit North Dakota in the waning days of the midterm campaign.
Democrats, however, aren’t counting Heitkamp out. She was down almost 6 points in 2012 before eking out a 1-point victory…..