If they won all of them?
They’d have a gain of 38 seats from the current US House number….
Won’t be 60, 50 or even 40…..
But it will enough to put Nancy Pelosi and Democrats in the drivers seat in the US House come January…
On Thursday, Democrat Jared Golden beat Maine Republican Rep. Bruce Poliquin, marking the 33rd seat pickup for Democrats in the 2018 election.
There are seven races in the House left uncalled — all are Republican-held seats; Democrats lead in five of the seven. If they win all the races where their candidates are winning at the moment, Democrats will net 38 seats. If they lose them all — which is very unlikely — they will hold at a 33-seat gain.
In an interview Wednesday with the conservative Daily Caller website, President Donald Trump insisted that by his aggressive last-minute campaigning across the country he had saved House Republicans from seat losses that could have numbered into the 70s. “I think I did very well,” he concluded.So did he? As compared to history?
Not really, is the answer.
There’s no question that Trump did not suffer the massive seat loss that his immediate predecessor — Barack Obama — did in his first midterm election in 2010. In that election, Republicans netted an astounding 63-seat gain, the largest since Democrats lost 72 House seats in the 1938 midterms.
But more broadly, the 33 seat loss (at least) by Republicans in 2018 places this election firmly in the upper echelon of House-seat losses by a president’s party in modern midterms….
Note…
As of this posting Democrats have gained 36 Republican held seats….
Dave Wasserman
The streak remains alive: since 1992, in situations when a president’s party has attempted to defend an open House seat the president failed to carry two years earlier, that party has gone *zero* for 31 trying to defend the seat (including 8 GOP losses this year)….
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