There is only a remote chance for an immigration policy change coming from Congress right now….After January 2019?…Things WILL change….
While moderate Republicans and Democrats in the House are for it….
Conservatives are vehemently against keeping the DACA/Dreamers here…
We are watching how the moderate’s Republicans are trying to maneuver a vote in the house against their party leaders’ wishes….
Republican leaders had hoped that reaching a compromise would stop moderate members from employing a rarely used procedural move called a discharge petition to force a vote on four immigration bills. As of Thursday, the petition was three GOP signatures away from reaching the needed 218.
“Obviously time is of the essence if we want to have a legislative process that we can control,” Ryan said. “What we are doing now is reaching consensus on how to address those four pillars. … I realize they are only three away.” Ryan wouldn’t say what tangentially changed during the two-hour meeting.
Turlock Republican Rep. Jeff Denham, a leader of the petition effort, said moderates had held back on collecting the last few signatures needed to give negotiations time.
But because House rules limit when such measures can be voted on, the group now says it will give negotiations until Tuesday to reach a deal, and then proceed with the petition.
House members have proposed more than half a dozen bills to address the status of hundreds of thousands of people brought to the country illegally as children, but it remains unclear whether any can pass. President Trump ended the Obama-era Deferred Action for Childhood Arrivals program last fall and told the House and Senate they had until March 5 to find a solution through legislation.
The Senate brought up and failed to pass several bills, but the House never voted on legislation of its own. Ryan promised a solution in March but has also said he doesn’t see the point in trying to pass an immigration bill that doesn’t include Trump’s priorities, and which he won’t sign.
via twitter….
AP Politics
@AP Politics
BREAKING: A leader of moderate House Republicans says they’ve tentatively accepted conservatives’ offer to help Dreamer immigrants.
Paul Ryan call your office!
Actually though,Ryan is right.
So the House passes a bill?
It has to make it through the Senate ,then Trump has to sign it.
Who really thinks that’s going to happen.?
Despite what you read here, most Republicans are scared to pass any bill because they fear Trump and his cultists wrath.
This is nothing more than Republicans in swing districts trying to cover themselves from attacks by Democrats by showing that they tried to do something.
I don’t blame them but it’s not going to have any real effect on the limbo these people find themselves in.
I read the immigrationnthing the way I have posted here….
The ‘moderate’ GOPer’s in places that support the Dreamers and some form of immigration reform WANT. Action,…
If they need to have the Dem’s to help them ?
So be it….
I also think that some conservative GOPer’s in places that need cheap immigrant labor will have no problem voting for the Dreamers and some form of immigration reform….
Then their is the wall and more border cops money
Democrats have signaled that they ARE ok with giving Trump SOME. Wall money in exchange for DACA and some reform….
The Senate WILL move on this….
Soooooo?
In the end?
Ryan may have NO choice but to go along with
This ….
We’ll see how it plays
But ME?
I would NOT be the least bit surprised with a deal coming
Especially if the Republicans are smart enough to understand that with Pelosi running the House?
Things will be VERY DIFFERENT….
And yes
Immigration is NOT a critical issue in some places
But it IS in others
The moderates would not be pushing this hard if it wasn’t important to them and that jobs
Update….
via twitter….
AP Politics
@AP_Politics
A House moderate says a tentative deal with conservatives has emerged to help young immigrants stay in the U.S. legally; a conservative says, not so fast.
Update….
Playbook: “The push to craft a GOP immigration bill in the House is not going well, to say the least. The GOP leadership — including House Majority Leader Kevin McCarthy — hosted a meeting yesterday between moderates and conservatives in the Capitol to try to craft a compromise to avoid a wide-ranging, bipartisan immigration debate that would come to the floor this month.”
“We spoke to a bunch of people after the meeting, who tell us this surprising nugget: the pathway to citizenship is not the thorniest issue at the moment. Interior enforcement — and how far Republicans should go on that front — is a big point of disagreement. That’s not to say the other items are all solved.”
“Meanwhile, the discharge petition is really spooking Republican leadership at the moment. The prospect that the Dream Act could pass the House a few months before the election could deeply split the leadership.”
Politicalwire…
Of course Jack is completely right. This discharge petition has been around for awhile now, and all the House Democrats have signed it. But, they still cannot get enough Republicans to sign to bring the bill to the floor. Ryan will never bring this bill to the Floor for a vote, never. So, it a petition or nothing.
Now, the bill the House would be considering is essentially what, if I recall correctly, the Senate has passed before (in last term). And, of course, the bill would bring a much needed discussion to both Chambers on immigration.
But, it won’t happen because there are not enough moderates in the House GOP caucus to trigger a vote (even though they are simply traditional conservatives who represent districts with lots of immigrants).
So, this isn’t about horse trading over a bill, it isn’t about a wall or any other issue. It is about, as Jack points out, the fact that the Republicans in the House (and Senate) are afraid of Trump and the Republican base and will never bring the bill up.
He, he, he
Of COURSE Jack is Right!
He, he, he
I mean when is Jack NOT right?
( when he isn’t OF COURSE!)
I’ll wait and see….