The Daily Kos Elections Morning Digest is compiled by David Nir, Jeff Singer, Stephen Wolf, and Carolyn Fiddler, with additional contributions from David Jarman, Steve Singiser, Daniel Donner, James Lambert, David Beard, and Arjun Jaikumar.
● House: Daily Kos Elections is pleased to announce our initial House race ratings for the 2018 election cycle. All 435 seats in the House are up for election this fall. Including vacancies, Republicans hold 240 seats while Democrats hold 195, meaning Democrats would need to pick up a net of 23 seats in November in order to gain control of the chamber.
Our full chart rating the competitiveness of each contest is below, with Democratic seats in blue and Republican seats in red. (One seat that pits a Republican incumbent against a Democratic incumbent due to redistricting is listed in purple.) These ratings are also visualized in this map, which shows each congressional district as equally sized. (You can find a traditional map here.) We currently rate 97 races as potentially competitive.
These ratings represent our attempt to forecast the outcomes of this November’s elections, using the best information we have available. As circumstances warrant, we’ll issue changes in these ratings from time to time. To keep up with any changes, please subscribe to our free newsletter, the Daily Kos Elections Morning Digest, which we send out each weekday. And for a comprehensive overview of how our ratings work, please check out our detailed methodology statement.