Candidates: Damon Linker over at the Week talks about how the Democrat’s 2018 successes might wind up causing them problems in 2020. As the Democrats are expected to make gains in 2018 by a combination of juicing Progressive turnout, winning White-collar Clinton Republicans and regaining some of the blue-collar Trump Democrats, gathering all of these widely divergent voters into a coherent political coalition is going to be considerably more difficult in 2020 when the Democrats have to nominate a single standard-bearer for President than in 2018 when they can afford to be running as a more malleable “Party of opposition”.
Exit Polls: The AP had announced that it was moving away from the traditional exit poll and towards a more elaborate voter survey. There has been growing concern over the validity of the exit polls lately, both in terms of selective self-reporting and due to the growing number of voters who vote early or by mail. While this will hopefully leave us with a more accurate picture of the electorate, it will also make it harder to compare trends to previous years…..
The RRH also has a summary of last nights elections….