There where actually 12 Special elections yesterday….
The one in the forefront was the AZ-08…..
Debbie Lasko (R) came away with a win…..
But the media view of the results was not the win itself….But WHAT the win seems to say….
Donald Trump carried the House district that Trent Franks (R) left by 21 %points ….
Lasko won last night by only 5 %points…..And the GOP spent a lot of time and money there….
Predictions of a ‘wave’ election casting out the current Republican majority in the House and a possibility of trouble also for Republicans in the US Senate are looking more possible ….
It is now reasonable to say out loud that Donald Trump’s performance as President has embolden Democratic voters to come to polls in even local , state and Congressional election’s in larger numbers….Midterm elections traditionally have less enthused voters…Maybe not this time….Add that to the historical vote against the President in the White Houses’s party and you have a BIG worry for the Republicans who see their party leader clueless to the political landscape below him falling away….
Democratic candidates have exceeded expectations in each special election since President Trump took office, which included dramatic wins for Rep. Conor Lamb in Pennsylvania and Sen Doug Jones in Alabama….
Debbie Lasko (R) won a special election to fill the seat vacated by Rep. Trent Franks (R-AZ) by 53% to 48%, in a district won by President Trump by 21 points in 2016.
Nate Silver: “The outcome represented a 20-point swing toward Democrats relative to the district’s FiveThirtyEight partisan lean, which is derived from how the it voted for president in 2016 and 2012 relative to the country… If Republicans are winning by only 5 points in this sort of extremely red district in November, dozens of more competitive seats will flop to Democrats — more than enough for them to take the House.”
David Wasserman: “There are 147 GOP-held House seats less Republican than #AZ08. It’s time to start rethinking how many of those are truly safe in November.”
Top Republicans have conceded for months that they’re likely lose the House in November’s midterms. But some well-wired operatives now tell Axios that President Trump may face his real nightmare: losing the Senate, giving Democrats both ends of the Capitol, and one-third of the government.
Why it matters: It’s not just that Democratic dominance at the Capitol would speed impeachment proceedings and trap the White House in a thicket of oversight probes and hearings. Twin losses would be a massive repudiation of Trump and his brand of Republicanism, just as he embarks on his reelection.