That from CNN’s Harry Enten, Five months out from midterm voting, that will actually start before November 3rd….
CNN’s chief data analyst Harry Enten on Sunday stressed that Democrats are in the “strongest position” in decades, as polling suggests party members are more “certain to vote” than Republicans in November.
“I dare say it’s a historic position heading into a midterm election,” Enten said in a clip shared to CNN’s YouTube channel.
The data chief teed up his argument by highlighting polling that “really just jumps off the screen”: Consumer sentiment, or a combination of current and future economic outlook, hit an all-time low last month, per the University of Michigan.
Enten added that the figure is “fueling” Democrats “on the most simple of questions” in the polls: Which party do you identify with?
On that question, Democrats — at this point in the midterm cycle — hold a lead of 13 percentage points over Republicans when independents who lean toward one party or the other are brought into the equation, per Gallup.
That Democratic lead tops that of 2006, when the party “easily” took back the U.S. House and gained six Senate seats that November, Enten stressed.
And, with the party faring better than the GOP by 7 percentage points on a generic House ballot, Enten argued that Democrats are “running well ahead” of numbers needed to control the House in the face of redistricting battles.
Later in the segment, he pointed to ABC News/Washington Post/Ipsos pollingshowing that 75% of Democrats (and those who lean that way) are “certain” they’ll vote in November while 67% of Republicans (and those leaning GOP) indicated the same….
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