Trump’s Promise That You’ll get a BIG Tax Refund ?…..

You DO KNOW that Donald tends to Exaggerate and Lie on the Regular , Right?

Current IRS data seems to point about a 10% increase if you regularly get a refund…..

Would that be a ‘Lot’ for ya?

The IRS has released filing season data through March 6, 2026—a point that puts taxpayers just over a month away from the April 15 deadline. And while the filing season is moving steadily along, the numbers show that activity still hasn’t quite caught up with last year.

As of March 6, the IRS had received 60,719,000 individual income tax returns, compared with 61,429,000 at the same point in 2025. That’s a 1.2% drop in filings year over year.

KELLY PHILLIPS ERB

Processing totals tell a similar story. The IRS has processed 59,955,000 returns, down from 60,789,000 at this point last year—a 1.4% decline.

With about five weeks left in the filing season, the gap isn’t dramatic, but it suggests that some taxpayers may be waiting longer to file this year. Whether that reflects shifting filing habits, economic uncertainty, or simply timing differences is still unclear.

One important factor is that early filers tend to submit simpler returns—usually those claiming the standard deduction and mainly reporting wage income from Forms W-2. Returns that include business income, rental activity, or complicated itemized deductions typically come in later during the season. If this pattern continues, the IRS might still see a surge of more complex returns in the final weeks before the deadline…

…

While filing numbers remain slightly behind last year, refund amounts continue to move higher. The average refund is now $3,676, compared with $3,324 at this point last year—an increase of 10.6%.