Most Americans feel the man IS doing a terrible job as President this time….
He HAS lost the small support from Democrats and Independent voters that where stupid enough to help re-elect him….
President Trump’s disapproval rating hit its highest level since the start of his second term in office, according to the latest Economist/YouGov poll.
The survey, conducted over the weekend, shows 55 percent disapprove of the way Trump is handling his job, compared to 41 percent who approve.
The most recent poll marks a slight shift from the prior week, when 53 percent disapproved and 42 percent approved of the job he was doing as president. The week before that saw the same results.
Trump started his second term with 49 percent approval and 43 percent disapproval.
Trump saw lower support in mid-June, when 40 percent approved of his handling of the presidency, but only 54 percent disapproved at the time — short of the record 55 percent in the latest poll.
The overall dip in approval since Trump took office has been driven largely by falling support among Democrats and independents.
In the poll conducted in late January, Trump’s approval rating among Democrats was at 12 percent. Today, only 3 percent approve of the president.
A similar shift exists among independents, 41 percent of whom approved of the president right after he took office in January, compared to just 29 percent today.
Republicans, meanwhile, see virtually no change in their level of support for the president. When Trump took office, 94 percent approved of his handling of the job — similar to the 92 percent who approve today…..
…
Present Trump has had STEADY Disapproval poll numbers with some showing in the double digits….
POLLSTER | DATE |
APPROVE
|
DISAPPROVE
|
SPREAD |
---|---|---|---|---|
RCP Average | 6/22 – 7/14 | 45.3 | 50.7 |
Spread-5.4
|
CNN | 7/10 – 7/13 | 44 | 56 |
Spread-12
|
Morning Consult | 7/11 – 7/13 | 47 | 50 |
Spread-3
|
Economist/YouGov | 7/11 – 7/14 | 43 | 54 |
Spread-11
|
Rasmussen Reports | 7/8 – 7/14 | 47 | 51 |
Spread-4
|
Harvard-Harris | 7/6 – 7/8 | 47 | 49 |
Spread-2
|
RMG Research* | 6/30 – 7/10 | 50 | 47 |
Spread+3
|
Quantus Insights | 6/30 – 7/2 | 47 | 49 |
Spread-2
|
Yahoo News | 6/26 – 6/30 | 45 | 54 |
Spread-9
|
I&I/TIPP | 6/25 – 6/27 | 44 | 45 |
Spread-1
|
Emerson | 6/24 – 6/25 | 45 | 46 |
Spread–1
|
NPR/PBS/Marist | 6/23 – 6/25 | 44 | 53 |
Spread-9
|
Quinnipiac | 6/22 – 6/24 | 41 | 54 |
Spread-13
|
Manu Raju
@mkragu
uly 10-13
Summer Year 1 Approval
Kennedy ‘61 75%
Eisenhower ‘53 69%
Bush ‘89 66%
Carter ‘77 62%
Obama ‘09 61%
Reagan ‘81 60%
Nixon ‘69 58%
Bush, ‘01 57%
Biden, ‘21 50%
Clinton, ‘93 45%
Trump, ‘25 42%
Trump, ‘17 38%
We finally have enough new surveys to have a good idea of the effect of two major events – the bombing of Iran on June 22, and the passage of the megabill on on July 3.
And the verdict is…nothing, pretty much. According to the G. Elliott Morris polling average, Trump was at 44% approval on June 22; continued to fall to 43%, and then sat right there up to today. The Cook Political Report finds even less change. Nate Silver? He has more of a continuous slump and just a bit more overall loss. But that appears to be that the other two registered some slumping before June 22 that Silver’s methods don’t have, perhaps in response to previous major news story – confrontations over deportation in Los Angeles during the two weeks before the Iran strike….
…
What we can say with some confidence is that Trump is unpopular, and that this appears to be either personal — people just don’t like him — or the effects of his various scandals and unpopular policy positions. It is true that this time around, unlike in 2017, people are reporting unhappiness with the economy, but it’s just as likely that’s an effect of Trump’s unpopularity than it is from inflation, which remains tame, or unemployment, which remains low….
More…
We shouldn’t be too sanguine — and I think that Jack (and maybe Corey) will back me up — about these numbers, because several fascist régimes (e.g. Germany’s) have supplanted parliamentary democracies with significantly less than 50%. I would still be concerned about Trump polling anywhere above 40%.
What happens is — and we’ve seen this already in the U.S. — is that when the dark-right populist -personalist movement so dominates the right-hand end of the spectrum, establishment conservatives tend to fall in line, because they prefer the demagogue to the liberal-left (let alone Communism).
In Canada the Progressive Conservative Party unavoidably lost ground among right-of-centre voters, starting in the Social Credit homeland of Alberta and progressing eastwards through Ontario and Quebec, until the remaining PC’s had to give ground and (listening to their base) merge with the Reformers into what has become the present Conservative Party of Canada.
And ,of course, GOP moderates have progressively (or regressively) lost support among Republicans in successive elections since 1964 (60 years ago) — after the fall of McCarthyism — while drawing new members upset over civil rights and immigration.
This isn’t inevitable: traditional conservative or centre-right parties have so far defeated challenges (despite the sentiments of their bases) from far-right, xenophobic and nationalist parties in Britain (Nigel Farage), France (the National Front) and Germany (the Alternative for Germany).
No I don’t take these numbers that seriously.
With the split in the country nowadays, “approval “ of any President is likely be in the forties.Indeed a President with an over 50 approval rating has become a rarity of late.
And James has no credibility at all when offering his “ analysis “ of Trumps approval rating.Going on nine years now we have been treated to his assurances that Trump was “ finished.”No one of any substance can take him seriously.
His latest gambit is saying “ wait” for Trumps imminent collapse .
I imagine that on Jan 19 2029 as Trump prepares to leave the White House ( hopefully) we will be treated to another one of his favorite pronouncements… “told ya so.”His uh “ wait’ will be finally over.
Well?
As the piece points out?
The President DOES seem to have lost the margin that got him his job back…..
And?
If the ‘polls’ are correct!
He and his buddies’ SRE driving their party into a 2026 Midterm Ditch……
On my ‘wait’ thing?
People do NOT tear up so much and walk
Away unharmed……
Trump’s Chaos Protocol will come back to help Democrats
When it happen’s
I WILL say
‘Told ya So’
As to James reply above?
All I can say is uh
Told ya so!
Wheeeeee!!
Love Ya Jack!
I should perhaps add that in 2017, Steve Bannon stated the view I’d also had: that Trump and MAGA had executed a “hostile takeover’ of the Republican Party.
Bannon nailed it….