For Trump…What do the Drop in Poll’s Say?

Could Donald be digging himself DEEPER into a hole for himself and the ‘Party’?

In the tables to come, you will find five sets of poll questions about Trump’s approval rating on immigration, his approval on deportations, approval of Trump sending in the Marines and National Guard to Los Angeles, approval of the protests in LA themselves, and a question on which law-enforcement agency people preferred to be sent to the city.

And here are the two big takeaways from the data I’m about to show you:

• Americans split about protesters, but oppose Trump’s response more
• Trump’s approval ratings on immigration and deportations slide into the negative

Here is all the data — all the relevant polls published this week — in one shareable spreadsheet screenshot:

I’ve published the raw data behind this table, including links to each poll, here.

The takeaway: The Trump administration is underwater in 11 out of 12 poll questions related to immigration, deportations, and the LA protests this week. The only poll to come up with positive results for the administration is a YouGov/Economist surveyasking whether people approve, broadly, of how Trump is “handling the issue of immigration.” At +4, that represents a 3-point decline from the +7 reading in YouGov’s poll last week.

One event that may impact the polling to come: Late Thursday evening, a federal judge in California blocked Trump’s federalization of the California National Guard.

Trump’s immigration approval falls

In our Strength In Numbers average of issue approval polls from many different firms, Trump’s net approval on handling immigration has fallen from +5.1 to -1.3 over the last week. This represents the fastest decline in his rating since the dip after press coverage of Kilmar Abrego Garcia peaked in April….

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Here’s one final wrinkle:

According to the Post/GMU crosstabs, the more closely Americans are following the news in LA, the less they like the idea of soldiers on city streets. Net approval for Trump’s actions is 17 points underwater among the 34% of people who say they are paying “a lot of attention” to the protests, versus +27 among people who aren’t.

This is either a sign of composition effects in the survey data — Democrats have selected into paying attention to the news, and they are automatically predisposed to opposing Trump — or a warning sign for the administration.

More…