The Democratic primary vote, which is ranked – choice if Cuomo does NOT clear a 50% outright win, HEAVILY Favors former NY State Governor Andrew Cuomo over Zohran Mamdani for a win by the final round….
Winning the Democratic primary is tantamount to winning the fall general election in DEEP BLUE New York City…
NY Times list of Democratic primary polls
These are the latest polls of the New York City mayoral primary including simulated ranked-choice results for the first and final rounds of voting. Polls from “select pollsters” meet certain criteria for reliability and are shown with a diamond.
| POLLSTER | 1ST ROUND | FINAL ROUND* | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| New poll from
HarrisX
conducted June 11 to 22 |
Cuomo +19 | N/A | ||
| New poll from
Emerson College
conducted June 18 to 20 |
Cuomo +3 | Mamdani +4 | ||
| poll from
Manhattan Institute
conducted June 11 to 16 |
Cuomo +13 | Cuomo +12 | ||
| poll from
Center for Strategic Politics
conducted June 13 to 16 |
Cuomo +8 | Cuomo +4 | ||
| poll from
Marist College
conducted June 9 to 12 |
Cuomo +12 | Cuomo +10 | ||
| poll from
Honan Strategy Group
conducted June 5 to 9 |
Cuomo +17 | Cuomo +12 | ||
| poll from
Expedition Strategies
conducted June 3 to 7 |
Cuomo +12 | Cuomo +12 | ||
| poll from
Public Policy Polling
conducted June 6 to 7 |
Mamdani +5 | N/A |
Most polls of the New York City Democratic primary for mayor show Andrew Cuomo with a lead over his opponents in the hypothetical first round of voting, though the race appears to be tightening. Few polls have him immediately clearing the 50 percent threshold needed to win without the race going to ranked-choice voting, but in most surveys that simulate the ranked-choice balloting process, Cuomo clears 50 percent in the final rounds of voting. Zohran Mamdani, Cuomo’s closest challenger, has been gaining, and one recent poll showed him clearing 50 percent in the final ballot.
Considering the RCV aspect and people deciding late whom to rank 2nd thru whatever, the most recent poll should be considered the best snapshot.
It shows that Mamdani (soon to be nicknamed by Trump as Madmani) beats Cuomo when it gets down to the final two. It will be several days before we know the final result of the final two because they can’t count in a timely manner. Extend the drama though.
NYC could be in for a way way race between Mamdani (D), Sliwa (R), Adams (I-Incumbent) and Walden (I) and compared to the three others (not to mention Cuomo’s baggage), one of those candidates looks significantly better by comparison. Can a D nominee really win a multi-candidate field with very low support among African-Americans and Jewish-Americans?
If your 3 way occurs?
The Big Apple IS SCREWED.,,,,
There is NO GOOD choice in that…..
The Democrats need to mov the center …,.
A Socialist Kid is a recipe for going BACKWARDS….
The media hyped Harris
Now they’re rooting for ANOTHER mistake
You drove the car into ditch
Does NYC want to do it again?
My citation from today’s NY Times blog stuck in moderation.
https://www.nytimes.com/2025/06/24/nyregion/nyc-primary-day.html
This is what the New York Times’ election-day running blog said today:
And the winner is …
Cue a weeklong drum roll, probably.
Once Primary Day polls close at 9 p.m., the Board of Elections will begin counting the million-plus votes in the Democratic mayoral primary. But don’t expect a winner to be declared by night’s end.
Under the city’s ranked-choice voting system, a candidate needs 50 percent or more of the first-place votes on primary night to win. If no one hits that threshold — and polling suggests that no one will — everything goes on hold for a week while mail-in ballots trickle in. Then we’ll reconvene next Tuesday for the start of the ranked-choice elimination process.
In 2021, Eric Adams won, narrowly holding onto his primary night lead during the ranked-choice process, which saw Kathryn Garcia leapfrog Maya Wiley into second place.
This year, left-leaning Democrats vowed to work together to elevate their top candidate, Zohran Mamdani.
In an Emerson College poll released Monday, Andrew Cuomo led after the first round of voting. But Mamdani pulled ahead in the eighth round, topping Cuomo by 3.6 percentage points — matching the poll’s margin of error. It is the first major survey that shows a path to Mamdani winning.
Could that happen in real life? Here are some numbers to watch as the night goes on.
Trip Yang, a Democratic political strategist who is not associated with any mayoral campaign, said that Cuomo would have reason for optimism if he ended the night with an eight-to-10-point lead, but should worry if he was leading by five points or less.
Another potential benchmark is whether Cuomo — and, to a lesser extent, Mamdani — reaches 40 percent after the first round. That would leave a small and achievable gap to close to get to the 50 percent threshold in the final round.
All of this is to say, if you’re hosting an election night watch party, maybe hold off on the Champagne.
https://www.nytimes.com/2025/06/24/nyregion/nyc-primary-day.html
U up.,,,
Thanks
Cuomo HAS LED in the polls all the way through……
I’ve posted the recent good outfit polls from The NY Times….
I could be wrong
But?
I find it hard to to believe a 30’s Socialist promising‘free’ stuff would be the Mayor of New York City…..
People paying HIGH TAXES ain’t going to vote for giving away‘free’ stuff THEY paid for with their tax dollars
NYC Polls close @ 9:00PM
Cuomo is done for.
Who knows? Maybe Eric Adams gets another term.
If NYC has any sense whatsoever, it will rally behind Jim Walden.
Adams IS Done…..
U can’t have the same voters go for Mandami AND Adams….
I have to think that a whole lot of D primary voters will simply never vote for Mamdani.