Democrats getting in line to get Back a US House Majority next Election….

From Larry Sabato’s shop…..

Reaction to Trump’s actions WILL most likely help Democrats win the US House  in the 2026 Congressional Elections…

The historical cards are also in their favor….

It is possible that in a little more than a week’s time, there will be a federal government shutdown. A March 14 deadline for Congress to keep the government open through a continuing resolution looms, and while Republicans have a narrow majority in the House—218-214 at the moment, with two Republican vacancies in Florida that will be filled on April 1, and a new Democratic vacancy following the sudden death of Rep. Sylvester Turner (D, TX-18) on Wednesday morning—they very well may not be able to produce the level of party unity required to pass the CR on their own.

Democrats, meanwhile, may have to decide whether they want to provide majority Republicans with votes to keep the government open. As Politico’s Rachael Bade reported earlier this week, Democrats are wondering whether they should, particularly as House Republicans have rebuffed their efforts to use the CR to assert congressional authority in the face of Donald Trump and Elon Musk’s “DOGE” cuts.

If there is a shutdown, there will be a blame game, too. At a basic level, Republicans would appear to be responsible, given that they control both chambers of Congress and the White House, even though Republicans struggle to maintain party unity in the House. That said, if there is a CR that gets nearly-unanimous support from House Republicans and no support from House Democrats, or if the CR is blocked from passage in the Senate by a Democratic filibuster, perhaps the Republicans could pin the shutdown on the Democrats.

It’s worth remembering that we are in March of an odd-numbered year—the next federal election is more than a year and a half away. We doubt a shutdown now would have any bearing on the midterm, regardless of which party the public would blame more for it.

Beyond that, even if House Democrats were to take a public relations hit from a shutdown—again, this is all hypothetical—there is a longer-term trend that very well could insulate them in their next election: Opposition party incumbents rarely lose in midterms….

More…

Note….

This WOULD have a NY Rep. Hakeem Jeffries AS Speaker folks