I don’t believe this even if comes froma reliable polling outfit….
It’s gotta be a outlier?
Cause if it isn’t?
Could we be seeing a Harris blowout Win?…
A new Des Moines Register/Mediacom Iowa Poll “shows Vice President Kamala Harris leading Donald Trump 47% to 44% among likely voters just days before a high-stakes election that appears deadlocked in key battleground states.”
“A victory for Harris would be a shocking development after Iowa has swung aggressively to the right in recent elections, delivering Trump solid victories in 2016 and 2020.”
“The poll shows that women — particularly those who are older or are politically independent — are driving the late shift toward Harris.”
Said pollster Ann Seltzer: “It’s hard for anybody to say they saw this coming. She has clearly leaped into a leading position.”
…
More on the poll….
Both White House candidates have heavily campaigned in the seven battleground states. Neither has campaigned in Iowa following the conclusion of the party’s primaries, the Register noted. The last time a Democratic nominee won Iowa was former President Obama in 2012.
“Age and gender are the two most dynamic factors that are explaining these numbers,” Selzer said.
Harris leads Trump among women independent voters by 28 points, 57 percent to 29 percent, while the GOP nominee was ahead by 10 points among independent men voters, 47 percent to 37 percent, according to the poll.
The vice president has an advantage among those aged 65 and above. She leads Trump by 35 points, 63 percent to 28 percent, among senior women. Her lead is significantly smaller among senior men, beating Trump 47 percent to 45 percent, according to the survey….
Here’s the post…
It’s gotten EVERYBODIES ATTENTION❗️
Not only a blowout win, but one even I understated. Because I didn’t think Iowa was doable. Now I’m looking at Ohio as the final domino to fall.
Guys, just keep the focus on the “Blue Wall.”
As the saying goes, anything else is gravy/aka MAGA tears.
Please check this post again …Bottom addtional info from the Hill with the link included…..
Atlas Intel shows Trump ahead by 2 to 6 points in every swing state. Some pollsters are going to have horrible grades. We will know soon enough I suppose.
Will do…
AGAIN….
They UNDER estimated Trump vote in 2026 and 2020….
They are probably adjusting to OVER estimate now….
Across the board?
Harris seems ahead in Wisconsin, Pennsylvania, Minnesota , Michigan…..
Tight in Georgia, North Carolina , Nevada and Arizona…
This IS a Better place for harris than Trump….
ESPECIALLY with her reported LEAD in Early voting….
He, he, he?
Imagine That?
Iowa?
Republican sources are pushing back saying that their data shows them up by 5 points in Iowa.
Ok, if that is the case in Iowa, Harris probably wins the election.
Ha, ha, ha…..
What qwas they Gonna say?
So they don’t believe the +10 Trump Iowa number?
Whew!….
This IS CRAZY!
Trump plus 5 is what I expected the Selzer poll.
Well?
We’ll see what’s cooking….
Harris has to be REALLY enjoying her Saturday Night!
Democrats ahead comfortably in TWO Iowa Congressional races, statistically tied in a third, and up by an extremely underwhelming margin in the other.
https://www.desmoinesregister.com/story/news/politics/iowa-poll/2024/11/03/iowa-poll-democrats-preferred-over-republicans-congress-nunn-baccam-miller-meeks-bohannan-hinson/75988058007/?taid=67275b3d7904180001a8d8af&utm_campaign=trueanthem&utm_medium=social&utm_source=twitter
So?
Iowa IS actually down ballot Democratic?
This year, it is.
Emerson poll has Trump up 10% points in Iowa…..
The DesMoines Register poll was a Multi Candidate one….
Emerson had someone else 1%…..
Undecided 3%