They found someone who got their 2024 election predictions Right

All the other guys had Harris putting a WIN….

The guy, Cornell University professor of government Peter Enns and his co-authors called it down to the swing states ….Beating ALL the OTHER guys, who I’m sure get paid MORE….

Enns prediction came down James Carville’s famous ‘It’s the Economy Stupid’….

President Biden WAS saddled with a feeling that economic things was not good. and his profile as a too old, weak and detached form the media…

The switch from Biden, to his Vice President left Harris, was simply TOO much their model predicted…..

 

In the end?

Donald Trump actually GOT what he wanted….

To BEAT Joe Biden AND Kamala Harris his replacemnet that again?

Harris, Could Not , and Did not , move to run aginst her boss, who even Democrats THEMSELVES did NOT want….

Add that to male support within the party voter base?

Harris HAD NO real chance in hindsight….

 

Enns is sure to become a busy guy as media and party officals seek find out what is in his crystal ball for 2026 and 2028….

It’s never toooooo early….

 

Enns first deployed the model in the 2020 presidential election, where it correctly predicted the outcome in 49 states, with the exception of Georgia. This year, Enns and his co-authors wrote that Harris, who took over as the Democratic nominee for Biden in late July, was on track to lose both the popular vote and the electoral college, including battleground states Michigan, Pennsylvania, Arizona, Nevada, Wisconsin, North Carolina and Georgia….

…

The forecast wound up being accurate, though, with ballot counting continuing in a few states, Trump seems set for a plurality victory in the popular vote, not the 50.3% majority they predicted….

…

“Given Biden’s low approval ratings and economic conditions, our model forecasted less than a one in 10 chance of a Biden victory if he had stayed in the race. Even after accounting for Harris’s approval ratings, which are notably higher than Biden’s, the Democrats face an uphill battle,” the authors wrote.

If Harris had a chance to overcome the disadvantages she entered the race with, Enns said it would have required convincing voters she would be a very different president than her boss – which it appears she failed to do.

“There’s some economic headwinds, there’s the Biden incumbency headwinds. And what I think that suggests is, given these headwinds that Harris faced, the optimal strategy would have been to differentiate herself more from Biden,” Enns said.

But the vice-president’s fate may have been sealed in the years that preceded her bid for the White House, when she failed to build the sort of public profile that would have pushed her approval ratings up to the level that she needed them to be…..

More….

Note….

More thought…..

Donald Trump IS selling economic policy moves that ‘experts’ WARN would make Biden’ economy issues look like Childs play….

Tariff/Import Taxes , Immigration Uncertainty, Government turmoil….

And?

The possible end of a tax policy from his admin …..

Are we praying for a 2028 Democratic Economic ‘bail out’ ALREADY?