I HAVE Been saying Trump IS in Trouble….
While Harris can get above 50% in National and State polls….
Trump cannot get above 50%….
Vice President Harris has a slight lead in each of the key “blue wall” states that could be critical to her path to the presidency, a new poll found.
The Marist Poll released Friday showed Harris leading former President Trump by 3 points in Michigan and 2 points in Pennsylvania and Wisconsin. The results are a slight improvement for Harris in Pennsylvania and Wisconsin and slight decline for her in Michigan, compared to Marist’s poll in September, but she maintained her advantage across the board.
Still, all of these results are within the margin of error.
The three blue wall states may be Harris’s simplest path to winning the White House, as they have played a key role in both of the past two elections in 2016 and 2020. She is polling better there than the Sun Belt states and would likely win the election if she takes all three next week.
In her strongest state, Michigan, Harris leads Trump with 51 percent to 48 percent. Her lead was at 5 points in September.
But she improved her margin among independents from 2 points to 6 points, the same margin that President Biden carried Michigan independents by in 2020.
Harris leads in Pennsylvania with 50 percent to Trump’s 48 percent, an uptick from when they were tied in September at 49 percent each. The Keystone State saw a significant shift in independents, with Harris taking a 15-point lead among them, compared to Trump’s 4-point lead in this group in September…
Marist poll post is here…..
Completely factually untrue.
There are seven swing states. Trump is almost certainly ahead at this point in Arizona and Georgia. They still should be expected to be close.
North Carolina looks very much like a tie right now, which could be good news for Democrats.
There have been a couple fairly decent polls the last couple of days for Harris in regards to Michigan and Wisconsin, but others which still show a tie.
Pennsylvania and Nevada are very much true tossups. Some show ties there while some others are showing Trump ahead.
Ok….
Change made to ‘Blue Swing States’…..
Harris WILL win Pennsylvania….
And the Presidency….
Again, nothing but pom-poms. I hope you are right in this case. It is tied, so you have about a 50-50 chance of being right, but you do not have a good track record on these things at all.
Your track record sucks too. And bring a cheerleader against Nazis is a good thing. Your parents ate a jell of a lot smarter than you.
I have a great track record as it relates to general election predictions. All very much documented.
And Scott again, I do not know what you are talking about or why you are bringing up family members. The fact that you know I already voted means that you read my blog entry from last Saturday, so based on that, as well as a response I gave you earlier today, you probably can be able to tell who I voted for. But it is inappropriate for you to even ask or make assumptions. The Harris campaign has spent a lot on messaging telling people, including Republicans, that they never have to let anyone know.
Yet, it makes you act unhinged and angry at me, just as it did four years ago.
Some people have a very firm idea of who they want in their tent and who they don’t. Some on my side(one in particular) have given me the online evil eye ever since I voted for HRC eight years ago and subsequently moved leftward in the ensuing years.
Rashly, I was all ready to put you down for Trump. Then I read some of your last comments and thought “Did I miss something? Am I the fool once again?” So I skimmed your blog post once again, and there it was. My answer, and not the one I was looking for either. Humbled. Truly.
Arizona and Georgia were also “blue” swing states.
Might as well change it again to “Blue Rust Belt States.”
Georgia is Purple….
While I am confident in what I see in most of those states, Nevada is looking quite dicey. Indeed, I now wonder if the R Senate candidate Sam Brown is doing better than polls show.
And that’s dicey just in this election. It’s definitely going into the R column in future cycles, and may soon vote to the right of Utah(which itself is glacially going the way of Colorado).