We’re HERE Folks…..
Election Day 2024…..
Harry/Walz vs Trump /Vance….
The pollsters and pundits calling a ‘toss-up’ …..
The polls themsleves show a very slight Harris lead….
The early vote also shows a Harris lead…..
It’s up to actual voters today….
The media has been selling gloom and doom on the day….
There is fencing going up around the nation’s White House….
This dog does NOT smell all the craziness ….
Post 2020 general election?
There have been hundreds of election’s….
Virtually NO problems…
Of course people are still going to jail for their election action’s back in 2020/2021….
One would think people got the message….
All the major channel’s will be covering the voting….
AP and channel’s will giving results and calls….
The critical states will be Pennslyvania, Wisconsin, Michigan and North Carolina ….
Georgia IS a wild card , but GOPer’s down there ARE gonna try to steal the elction for Trump in broad daylight…
I will coming on here with up date’s late in the evening and I invite my regulars to add updates here also….
Swing States Closing Times….
Timing: Pennsylvania and Wisconsin are two of the biggest battlegrounds — Pennsylvania has the most electoral votes of any swing state — but we likely won’t know who won those states for several days because of how they process their ballots. Plus, Arizona and Nevada have a lot of mail-in ballots, which could delay their results. Be patient and trust the system!
Georgia: Polls close at 7 p.m.
North Carolina: Polls close at 7:30 p.m.
Pennsylvania: Polls close at 8 p.m.
Michigan: Most close at 8 p.m., but some close at 9 p.m.
Arizona: Polls close at 9 p.m.
Wisconsin: Polls close at 9 p.m.
Nevada: Polls close at 10 p.m.
(All times Eastern)
⌚List of every state’s poll closing time
⌚ Expected times for swing state results
image…The Tennessean
Trump is officially leading the election 1-0
Oh crap, now its 2-0.
Kamala Harris has officially gotten her first ever vote to be President.
Well, there are some Biden 2020 voters switching to Trump in Dixville Notch. They must have a thing for the oldest possible candidate they can vote for.
Dixville Notch splits 3-3.
Activate the lawyers.
The six folks there need to settle this on the shuffleboard court.
FWIW, Ayotte wins Dixville Notch 5-1. Trump only held 50 percent of Haley primary voters.
From Dixville, we can extrapolate that Haley voters(from the pre-Super Tuesday states, at least) split about 50-50 between the two. Good result.
A 3-3 tie in Dixville Notch..
There are 0 registered Democrats–4 GOP and 2 independents.
In the primary Nikki Haley won all 6 votes.
Four years ago Biden won Dixville Notch 5-0 and then somehow, someway, someone decided to move there apparently.
People that live in the Dixville Notch ski resort must automatically always vote for the oldest candidate in Presidential general elections.
W defeated both Gore and Kerry, Obama beat McCain and deadlocked with Romney, and Clinton beat Trump. So, good theory, but not quite.
In the precinct, that is.
The inventor of the latex condom used to live in Dixville Notch, fittingly enough, and he always used to get to cast the first vote.
Condom?
Cast??
Hahahahaha!!!
He lived to be 101.
And Bob Dole WAS a spokesman for Viagra. Probably how he lived to 98.
I saw online a photo of the “average Dixville Notch voter.” It is the picture of Biden wearing the Trump hat.
There are MAGA Republicans online predicting Trump wins every swing state plus VA, NH, and NM, Republicans win 58 Senate seats, including New Mexico and Virginia, and somehow net 10 House seats.
Too bad this isn’t the old P1 days and SE could interact with them.
I have got the headline.
“Hung Jury in Dixville Notch”
Rain and storms in Southern Missouri and Northern Arkansas could have the effect of depressing turnout in those hugely Republican areas and making MO in particular closer than it would otherwise be. Not going to give Harris a win, but every vote not in Trump’s column helps.
Voting locations around my way have no lines, no static……
That’s thru midday…..
I REALLY DO NOT think there will be trouble like the media has been selling
I agree
Bad weather in Red states will not help Harris
Bomb Threats at Polling Places Came from Russia
“Several non-credible bomb threats that briefly disrupted voting at two Georgia polling places originated from Russia,” CNN reports.
Said Georgia Secretary of State Brad Raffensperger: “We’ve heard some threats that were of Russian origin. I don’t know how to describe that that’s viable – we don’t think they are, but in the interest of public safety, we always check that out, and we’ll just continue to be very responsible when we hear about stuff like that. We identified the source, and it was from Russia.”
A Georgia poll worker was arrested Monday for allegedly mailing a letter threatening other poll workers with rape, a “beatdown” and a bomb threat….
Weather post in moderation.
Harris’ campaign has knocked on over 100K doors today and several hundred thousand more(conservative estimate) over the weekend. In the lost cause of a Senate race in Utah, the Democratic candidate there has contacted one million voters in that state. The D operation from coast to coast is firing on all cylinders, plus several they didn’t know they had.
By contrast, Captain Kirk and Elon’s Musk are doing their best to make Mitt Romney’s Project Orca look like a stroke of genius by comparison.
Trump NEVER had a serious ground game
Musk, like me Trump , is making money off the gullible suckers
In 2016, he had state parties to back him up and, come 2020, a multi-billion dollar operation run from the White House.
This time, the state parties are hollowed out and he’s not President anymore. Hence why he’s ventured into the “Wonderful World of Crypto” for perhaps his biggest monetary grift yet.
According to Twitter on line reports….
There are long lines of college students lined up to vote FOR Harris in Pennsylvania
I wonder if the ending of “The Sopranos” mirrors how the election ends. Tony Trump sitting in a diner with his family, and the election concludes as swiftly as him looking up and
A vote of confidence?
Shares in Trump Media Halted
Shares in Donald Trump’s social media company have been halted amid a sudden and steep selloff, CNN reports.
Politicalwire
Exit Polls incoming.
State of the Country
Enthusiastic 7%
Satisfied 19%
Dissatisfied 43%
Angry 29%
America’s best days are
In the future 61%
In the past 34%
Biden approval
Approve 41%
Disapprove 58%
Trump REALLY SACRED??
Trump Claims ‘Talk’ of ‘Massive Cheating’ in Philadelphia
Donald Trump on Truth Social: “A lot of talk about massive CHEATING in Philadelphia. Law Enforcement coming!!!”
Politicalwire
Wow!Didnt see that coming!
He, he, he
Not everyone has bought into the guys bullshit
Ok frame of reference?
James, CNN Exit Polls.
The number regarding America’s best days is a good harbinger for the Harris campaign IMO. People may feel beaten down, but they don’t feel helpless.
So Trump’s America is a shithole ain’t going his way?
Probably not.
Trump is already claiming “massive cheating in Philadelphia”. ..
Issues that matter most
Democracy 35%
Economy 31%
Abortion 14%
Immigration 11%
Foreign Policy 4%
Harris voters
67% for their candidate
29% against the other candidate
Trump voters
80% for their candidate
17% against the other candidate
Harris qualities
Good judgment 35%
Cares about me 28%
Ability to lead 21%
Brings needed change 13%
Trump qualities
Ability to lead 41%
Brings needed change 39%
Cares about me 9%
Good judgment 7%
Those 29% have “good judgment.”
Good luck to America. I will be staying away from the internet tonight.
REALLY CG?
Going to watch on tv. I will probably be home late. Maybe I will have stuff to say then.
I do not think there is any way a winner will be called tonight.
They do NOT have wait for the finished count
They actually seldom due
They track the vote counts by county
And can make a call
The final counts could take weeks
I think Harris will eventually win the popular vote by about 2 percent, at worst, but it may be that close. However, that means Trump will probably have the popular vote lead all night. She will move ahead when all the California votes trickle in days and days from now.
A two percent popular vote lead sounds dicey for 270 but it may be that the nation is just becoming more divided in general and Trump is gaining in places like CA and NY that are irrelevant as well as in places like FL and TX. The swing states will wind up more closely mirroring the nation as a whole.
Assuming these exit polls are accurate and representative it sounds like 50-48 for Harris.
Economy
Excellent 5%
Good 28%
Not so good 35%
Poor 32%
Inflation has caused
Severe hardship 21%
Moderate hardship 53%
No hardship 24%
Family’s financial situation is
Better than 4 years ago 24%
Worse than 4 years ago 45%
About the same 30%
Biden at 41 % Job Approval in the exit polls is proof that he would not have won.
George Clooney may be Time’s Man of the Year.
100%
Biden just wasn’t the right person
Trump will be crying about him dropping out forever
Harris has been ahead of Trump from the start…
Trump’s favorability among white voters is down to 49 now from 57 in 2020. Up four points for Latinos to 42 and 4 points among black voters to 14. Sounds like bad news for him with the white voters unless there are just a lot more “double haters” than four years ago.
The other post I did this afternoon is about a man who IS facing a possible defeat and a rough road off of that prospect….,.,
Remember
Hillary was NOT popular
Kamala IS and Trump HAS BAGGAGE he did NOT have before
There is no evidence that Kamala is widely “popular” with the electorate.
There still has to be a way to get around an incumbent with 41 percent JA. That is a tough thing to do. That is a lot of baggage that Al Gore did not have in 2000 or GHWB did not have in 1988.
Remembering 2004 I try not to put too much stock in exit polls.
That said if this holds it’s not where Republicans want to be tonight.
Democracy out weighing Economy……
It is possible that Republicans are going to think they are where they want to be “tonight” based on what the popular vote will probably show and also the absentee ballots from Nevada that will probably come in days from now and maybe change the outcome there.
WSJ is saying data suggests a younger and more female electorate. 54 female 45 male 1 “other.”
That sort of gender spread would be very bad news for Trump
As James would say, ruh roh.
Trump had the ball’s to ask’Why don’t women like me?’
The guy has had a consistent woman‘problem’
Even though some women WOULD do almost anything he asked
Alito 5 should share the blame…..
Their ruling has galvanized a HUGE pushback against the states clamping down on women
First swing states have closed
Reports of high turnout in Pennsylvania urban populated area’s……
Democrats causally optimistic
Pwire
First call’s
Trump Ky and Ind….19 EV’s
Harris Vt. ….3 EV’s
7:00 pm closed
vir, Vt, SC, Ga
7:30 pm closed
WV,NCand Ohio
8:00pm closing
Michigan
Pennsylvania
The EV count now
Trump 23
Harris 3
Trump gets WV……
Harris will catch up with 8 pm states,..
Much and Pa
And she is leading in the early count in N.C.
Harris 35 EV’s
Trump 95Ev’s
Trump .,,,Fla, TN,
Harris..,,Maryland , Vt , DC
Ok ..,,,
Trump 95 EV’s
Ind, Ala, Miss,SC, Fla, WV, ky, Tn, Okl
Harris 35 EV’s
Vt, Del, Ct . MD, RI
Harris 71 EV’s
Trump 101 EV’s
Harris picked up Ill
Senator’s
Sanders
Scott
Jim Justice. WV
9 pm is going to be to bring Harris more votes
Harris 99 EV’s
Trump 120 EV’s
Harris will be catching up with the Blue States
Harris…. 99 EV ‘s
Trump …. 177 Ev’s
Ain’t gonna be a Harris blowout folks
It IS. Gonna come down to Pennsylvania, Michigan, Wisconsin and longshot North Carolina…..
One thing IS APPARENT…….
American’s are Not Really Ready for a Woman President……
They’ll take a crazy , crooked old timer first
Democracy
Secure 25%
Threatened 73%
Confident in a fair and accurate election 68%
Not confident 31%
Harris voters by 8-1 margin more Confident than not
Trump voters not confident by a 52-47 margin
71% concerned about violence, 27% not.
Harris supporters made their decision
Before September 80%
In September 7%
In October 6%
Last week and last few days 3% apiece
Trump supporters made their decision
Before September 81%
In September 6%
In October 5%
Last week 4%
Last few days 3%
Electorate is 4 percent more white than in 2020.
Could be tough to accurately gauge that with a first wave of exit polls.
I would find it hard to believe the final deciders broke 2-1 for Trump.
In terms of votes cast, Democrats and Republicans tied at 39-39 and 22% unaffiliated in Iowa, with women out voting men by 10%. Selzer was right.
Two percent of voters have a favorable opinion of both Trump and Harris. Who are those people?
All the other data related to favorability of the candidates and “feelings” if elected seem to back up my 50-48 hypothesis.
Deep dive into the exit polls.
https://www.reuters.com/world/us/results-nevada-exit-poll-us-presidential-election-2024-11-05/
I think Harris will end up notching between 292 and 325 electoral votes(assuming the blue wall holds, and PA right now looks good), maybe match or slightly low-ball Biden’s popular vote margin. NC looks far stronger than GA at the moment.
Win or lose, my predictive ability is trash. That is clear. I got within the ballpark in 2014 and 2022, and that’s it.
Yup SE…….
U hurting……
She CAN. Pull this out
But it WILL BE CLOSE like the polls suggested
She ain’t winning Ga…..
She might get N.C.
She desperately needs Wis, Mich, Minnesota and Nev, and Arizona
Can move past the 99 EV’s?
NY Times election needle slightly Trump right now
Trump 198
Harris 109
Not looking good for Harris
Only thing left
pa, Wis , Michigan?
Trump ….198
Harris…..112
Trump 210 EV’s
Harris 113 Ev’s
I think she will win PA…where all the votes still need to be counted are mostly Harris districts…so that should be positive…MI is close and WI is slipping…
Trump …213 EV’s
Harris….179 EV’s
Things close a bit..
Trump IS doing better than expected
She needs EVERY SINGLE STATE she can get
The polls were Right
It’s that close
Hogan loses
Schiff going to the Senate
Trump …230 EV’s
Harris. 179. EV’s
Trump projected to win N.C.
He’s only 40 EV’s out
We knew it would be close….
But it IS. Uncomfortable seeing America looking like it’s choosing a crazy, criminal, sexual predator and fraudulent individual to be President again…..
There IS something very wrong with this….
One can only hope that Democrats can gain a majority in the House
The polling wasn’t that far off after all….
Trump… 230 EV’s
Harris….187 EV’s
I’m out for the night
I’ll deal with it in the morning…
Trump … 230 EV’s
Harris….205 EV’s
As expected…..
Businessman and former Navy SEAL Tim Sheehy (R) has defeated third-term Sen. Jon Tester (D) in Montana, expanding the Senate Republican majority set to take over next year…
Not expected?…
…businessman Bernie Moreno defeated veteran Sen. Sherrod Brown (D) in Ohio, giving Republicans at least a 52-seat Senate majority, depending on the outcome of races in Michigan, Nevada, Pennsylvania and Wisconsin….
More…