Harris continues in a better place than Trump…
GEORGIA
- Trump 48%, Harris 47% (CNN)
MICHIGAN
- Harris 49%, Trump 45% (UMass Lowell)
- Harris 47%, Trump 46% (Washington Post)
- Trump 48%, Harris 47% (Mitchell Research)
NORTH CAROLINA
- Trump 47%, Harris 45% (UMass Lowell)
- Harris 48%, Trump 47% (CNN)
PENNSYLVANIA
- Harris 48%, Trump 47% (UMass Lowell)
This post will be updated as needed throughout the day.
There are some brutal polls being rolled out today. The hope for people who want to see Trump lose is that the polling error is similar to 2022.
Yo?
DONALD TRUMP LOST in 2020‼️😳
Incumbent parties lost the last two times. People have been angry at the people in power for a while now. That is not a good trend for the current incumbent party.
I would argue that if not for Hurricane Sandy, the incumbent party would have lost the last four Presidential elections, heading into this one.
Yeah it was Hutticane Sandy. Not that Mitt 47% Romney was a bad candidate.
The 47 percent remark came to light in September. In October, Romney soundly beat Obama in the first debate and went ahead of him in the polls, so that issue was already overcome.
Right before the hurricane, it looked like a slight Romney lead. Then, all the polling before the election stopped. Romney had to stop campaigning. Obama got to be President and had Chris Christie falling all over himself to praise him. I think it changed things, but we will never know, and it is irrelevant to the 2024 situation right now.
Trump lagging with early votes of seniors in Pennsylvania– constituency that has supported GOP pres candidates in the Keystone State since 2004
https://www.politico.com/news/2024/10/31/trump-lagging-early-votes-seniors-pennsylvania-00186612
Trump is ‘lagging’ in most of the early voting….
Republicans are convinced. Absolutely convinced that they are crushing it on the early voting. In polls released though, people who have voted early are more likely to have voted for Harris. We do not know how that compares to 2020 though when far fewer Trump supporters voted early and were discouraged from doing so at the time.
We have not seen a poll of early voters from Nevada, but there seems to be a lot of evidence to suggest Republicans are outpacing Democrats and Democrats are concerned. There is a lot of talk about the African-American vote being down from 2020, especially in North Carolina.
The people who are actual Democrats should be as scared and worried about this thing as i am. There are so many unknowns.