ALL of the above ARE in President Biden’s lap….
THAT means it’s also in Vice President Harris’s lap…..
A trio of new trials — a devastating hurricane, expanding conflict in the Mideast and a dockworkers strike that threatens the U.S. economy — are looming over the final weeks of the presidential campaign and could help shape the public mood as voters decide between Democrat Kamala Harris and Republican Donald Trump.
How events shake out — and how the candidates respond — could be decisive as they claw for votes in battleground states.
The sitting president, Joe Biden, is still the steward of a U.S. economy and foreign policy at this tumultuous moment and may well bear ultimate responsibility for how they play out. But how Harris and Trump approach the three disparate issues could have rippling impact on how Americans perceive their two choices this November.
“Unfortunately, there are going to be events like this, and this is where you see the leadership of a president show up,” White House press secretary Karine Jean-Pierre told reporters on Tuesday. “I think this should send a message to Americans: It matters. It matters who sits behind the Resolute Desk.”
The New Open Thread Is HERE…..
I sent the Harris ccamapign my donation….
Morning………
I wonder how Keith thinks things are going a month out….
Biden needs to invoke Taft Hartley.
The last thing Harris needs is a new burst of price increases right before the election.Maybe they wouldn’t hit that soon.Why take the chance though?
Interesting……
Here in the NYC metro area?
No effect at all
Gas and consumer prices and sales no effect
I give the strike 2 weeks before he HAS act
Well I wouldn’t expect an immediate reaction.
Yeah it will take a few weeks.
One of my favorite pastimes is reading comments from the various “ focus groups “that spring up,particularly around election time.
They serve to remind how gullible or downright ignorant many voters are as to how government works or even what various government officeholders actually do.
I was reading one the other day wherein a young lady said that she “ blamed” Trump for Jan .6 although she thought the election was not “ fair!”Of course she was unable to articulate in any manner how exactly it was “ not fair.”
A lot of focus participants often blame Harris for things they claim Biden did ,apparently unaware the the VP has no particular role in forming administration policy.Accordingly ,except for pure speculation or rumors ,we really don’t know how much or how little Harris or any other VP had as such.
One participant said he was for Trump as Biden ( and by inference Harris,see above) was too much a big spender,apparently unaware that Trump was no shrinking violet when it comes to larding out money for his favorite policies.
I did enjoy one guys take on that favorite word of politicos, “ issues.”As he said , accurately in my view, that the only “ issue” right now is are we going to turn the government over to Donald Trump and his merry band of cheats and thieves.
Sometimes when you read this stuff it’s amusing .Then again when you realize that many of the uninformed views often expressed in these groups is much more indicative of the state of the electorate than some of us would like to think?
It’s scary!
Melanie Trump has come out as a rabid Pro Choice advocate over the abortion issue,even going so far as rejecting any compromise on the issue.
How will this affect the almost universal support for her husband among anti abortion advocates? My guess? It will have little effect ,although it might help explain Trumps inconsistent wobbling over the issue of late.
They are just too locked in to back off now.
Of course they won’t support Harris, however some of the more zealous might take a walk on Election Day.
Will generate a lot of talk but likely little effect overall,
Biden said this week that he does not believe in Taft-Hartley,. He would have to flip-flop if this becomes a political worry.
He should flip flop.
I mean it isn’t like it’s going to affect him politically.
Nobody seems to much care about flip flopping anymore anyway.( see Jed Vance and Don Trump)
Will Democrats worry about pissing off the labor unions though?
Like on other matters, they are in the position of needing to tread carefully around interest groups.
Yeah that’s a problem.
However, inflation ,in my view, is much more a problem than the feigned outrage of the ILA.
While inflation has fallen dramatically it still remains a major concern of the general electorate.There are a lot more of them than ILA members.
In a race as close as this? In my view, rising prices ,which has been the focus of attacks on Biden administration and already has had some deleterious effect on Harris , but have faded somewhat of late ,does not need to be revived as a major issue this close to the election.Further ,as we all know ,this labor dispute eventually will end in some kind of compromise, the bold talk of the ILA leadership notwithstanding.
CG?
Ten seconds after Nov 5th?
Joe Biden WILL envolk the ‘Back to Work’ order if needed….
60,000 union workers vs 330 MILLION American’s?
For conspiracy theorists, the union boss leading the strike has a lot of ties to Trump
https://www.newsweek.com/harold-daggett-salary-trump-connection-us-port-strike-1962260
CG?
Trump people one would assume would LOVE the hurt of a supply crisis …..
‘Weaponnize’ the US Economy AGAINST the incoming Harris admin….
A federal judge is letting the restraining order against Bidens student loan forgiveness expire. Tens of millions will be getting loan relief just before the election.
Post coming on the strudent loans….
And in the category of “ can you believe this?”
No more obfuscating by Jed Vance! In answer to the question,Did Trump win the election in 2020?Jed speedily relied “yes!”
WOW! didn’t see that coming!
Vance is a smarmy lying prick.
Ron Howard owes us all an apology for giving this fake populist weirdo a platform.
CG was trying to say Vance was legit….
Donald Trump IS Crazy…..
Vance HAS to BE Crazy like he HAS BEEN….
The debate ‘dance’ ain’t getting it…..
Huh?
Please stop referencing me in such a confusing and I believe inaccurate fashion. It is quite weird.
He does that to me all the time.
Like he’s answering me about something I never said
He, he, he…..
Ok guys….
I won’t DIRECTLY hold ya to your comments….
Cow manure
Here’s what you can do …
When you post one of your alleged “answers?”
Post with it my post to which you claim to be responding ,not your uh “ interpretation “ but the actual words I said.
He, he, he…..
OF COURSE Jack!
Vance Now Says Trump Won the 2020 Election
He wouldn’t answer the question at the vice presidential debate this week, but Sen. J.D. Vance was just asked if Donald Trump won the 2020 presidential election and he said: “Yes.”
That video is clearly from 2022.
The word IS she’s coming out with her book….
We KNOW she’s been taking it it on the chin during the camapign with her man pictured up with the GOPer’groupies’…..
Interesting article in Washington Post as to Melanie Trumps pro choice abortion stand, noting that the past four Republican First Ladies all,to varying degrees took a pro choice position.All,except Betty Ford, waited until their husband was out of the White House to express their view however.
Betty Ford was noted for her outspokenness .In a 1975 interview on60 minutes she called Roe” a great,great decision.”
Although her views were well known in the White House,Nancy Reagan waited until 1994 to declare “ I believe in a woman’s choice”
Reagan’s Chief of Staff Jim Baker said Nancy convinced Reagan not to personally appear at a March For Life.In later years Nancy became a champion of embryonic stem cell research.
In 1994 Barbara Bush in her memoir while decrying the number of abortions said that it was “ a personal issue- between the mother,father and doctor.”
Laura Bush said in her 2010 autobiography that it was “ important “ that abortion remain legal.
Strikes over
https://www.cnn.com/2024/10/03/business/port-strike-union-deal/index.html
Mets move UP to Philly!
Morning everyone
She’s going to win……
Republican Congresswoman Marjorie Taylor Greene says Democrats can control the weather and caused Hurricane Helene to inflict the extensive damage in Florida, the Carolinas and Georgia..
Damn we Democrats are smart as Hell!
These idiot gives no meaning to the term “ Georgia cracka.”
Someone made the aces point that if we could actually control hurricanes, Mar A Lago would be the first target.
No doubt SE
Morning everyone…..
Vance may have danced
But Trump is scared and going full blown CRAZY
His handlers have been reminded it’s HIS campaign to fuckup
The local GOP party in my town at a rally this morning. They had a decent amount of people, but they’re not going to take my area in the town.
They will take the county though
Ok
The local Democrats are gathering to go out canvassing also…
Or just rallying?
I don’t have the time to stick around
Morning everyone
NY Mets start off One UP on Philly!
Wash Post….
What’s changed: We haven’t seen a lot of high quality polling this week, but the polls that have come out haven’t changed our averages by much. Vice President Kamala Harris continues to lead nationally, as well as in Pennsylvania, Michigan and Wisconsin. Donald Trump leads in Arizona and Georgia. North Carolina and Nevada are both virtually tied.
Harris is leading in 4 of the 7 battleground states that are most likely to determine the outcome of the election.
If she was Right?
Democrats would own the House
When she said “they”, she didn’t mean the Democrats.
She meant “the Jews.”
Everyone knows this.
Sam Seder does solid work destroying the disgraceful interview CBS Mornings did with Ta-Nehisi Coates.
https://m.youtube.com/watch?v=iEnFpdYAEk0
Not really related to this story, but Paterson would be a more viable NYC Mayor candidate than Cuomo. https://www.nytimes.com/2024/10/05/nyregion/david-paterson-governor-new-york-attack.html
Paterson IS NOT a factor for the 2025 NYC Mayor race….
The push over the last week has been to urge Adams NOT to step down….
This even as more people step down from his admin with the FBI ALL up the group…..
Even the NY Times wrote a piece doubting the Feds case….
The US Atty is advertising more charges to come….
SE?
How may pols get re-elected after being charged with crimes?
Heck we have a convicted knucklehead felon running for President AGAIN….
The word IS a solied Andrew Cuomo is lining up a run for Big Apple Mayor….
NY Giants WIN……
Philly beats the Mets….
Morning everyone
28 days till November 5
Harris Leads
Let me know if you have anything of yours you want featured here CG….
Department of Justice launches evaluation of 1921 Tulsa Race Massacre
The Justice Department has launched a historic federal review of the 1921 Tulsa Race Massacre, one of the worst incidents of racist terror committed against Black Americans in U.S. history.
The department plans to release a report by the end of the year that will analyze the massacre “in light of both modern and then-existing civil rights law,” Assistant Attorney General for Civil Rights Kristen Clarke announced Monday.
The federal examination comes more than 103 years after the Tulsa Race Massacre began on May 31, 1921. Over the course of two days and nights, White mobs attacked residents of the all-Black community of Greenwood, a neighborhood in Tulsa so prosperous it was called Black Wall Street.
The mobs killed as many as 300 Black people…
More…
Morning……..
27 days out from Election Day…..
Harris holding her lead…
Kamala Harris just said that a difference between her and Joe Biden is that she will have a Republican in the Cabinet.
I was glad to hear her say that and be able to make the distinction with Biden. I think this is a smart political promise.
She gets points, eh?
Haven’t had that for some time
However, most of the focus is over her initial answer when she was asked if she would have done anything different than Joe Biden and said “nothing comes to mind.”
Ten minutes later in the “interview” after a commercial break or two, she offered up the Republican in the Cabinet difference.
I am under no illusion than the Republican in the Cabinet would be in anything than say Veterans’ Affairs or possibly Energy. It won’t be a very high level Cabinet post. If I get vetted, I will say so after the fact.
Was the last one the Sec of Defense?
Media Q&A’s present opening’s for picking at her
It’s the reason she has just started to do them this late
You do know what business she has chosen to be in for decades now? You do know what job she is running for?
And she was on “The View.” They have openly endorsed her. They literally stated they were speaking to her in order to help her get elected. Sunny Hostin was not trying to put her in a “gotcha” moment. She should have had a better answer to the Biden question, for if nothing else, to prevent it from getting in the news cycle.
Again though, I do like that she promised to put a Republican in the Cabinet. Before Biden, every recent President has had at least one member of the other party in their Cabinet. I sure thought Biden would do the same and he did not.
CG?
Didn’t Trump want Fox?
The question was a effort to get a answer that would lead to putting her against her boss…
She was smart enough to dance before going back
She is getting absolutely hammered for her initial answer. The fact of the matter is that Biden continues to be a drag on her candidacy. She should have at at least answered the Cabinet response right away instead of 10 minutes later.
And no, Harris is not going to put anybody who has been a Republican in recent decades as SecDef, though I wish she would of course.
Mitt Romney said he won’t endorse Harris this year because he wants to have a role in reshaping the Republican Party post Trump..
That’s a laugh.
Mitt is 77 years old. He’ll be dead before the Republican Party wants anything to do with him again.
Him and CG will both be gone before that happens.
CBS rebukes their least talented reporter over shameful conduct during a recent interview.
https://www.nytimes.com/2024/10/07/business/media/coates-dokoupil-cbs-mornings.html
SE?
This IS Pure Bull Shit….
The Timnes line IS we back Israel….
Ta-Nehisi Coates,a Black Guy has focuses on the hurt the Palestians HAVE suffered….
Comparing their situation to American Black’s racial bias…
(Trump lumps ANYONE of color into a lower status in his mind and comments)
He and his interviewer NOT get crazy….
Tony Dokoupil , who is Jewisg, IS on the hot seat for his interview in which he challenged the auther for his critcal views in his book….
I have no idea what either of you two jokers are trying to say here and I think that is a good thing. These posts are probably a huge reason why so few people visit this site or post here. Attacking a reporter for being Jewisg (whatever the hell that is) is pretty low but validates what I already know about you on this topic.
I did not see this CBS interview, but anybody serious who did thinks that any criticism of the job of the interviewer for asking actual questions of a guest is way off base
Asking honest questions about the premise of Coates’ points is fair game and are important to understanding this complex issue. Ambush interviews are not.
As to another point, I’m happy to be associated with such a great song: https://m.youtube.com/watch?v=dV3AziKTBUo&pp=ygUbdGhlIGpva2VyIHN0ZXZlIG1pbGxlciBiYW5k
Clowns to the left of me, jokers to the right for years now.
That being said, all of Steve Miller’s music is absolute crap.
I know “Stuck in the Middle” is by a different group.
Music is purely subjective. Not everyone will share my belief that Tom Petty, Mark Lanegan, and Miller are the great American songwriters.
You might enjoy a feature on the website Stereogum by the writer Tom Breihan called, “The Number Ones.” In 2018, he began reviewing every number one song from the Billboard Hot 100 since its inception in 1958. There is a very active comment section after each article in which people discuss all sorts of matters related to each song and other musical stuff. I came across this a few months ago and am reading one entry a day, and am almost at the end of 1968.
Me ,being a child of the sixties ,was fortunate to actually see some of the legendary rock stars of the era .
As I explain to younger folks,when I saw them they weren’t “ legends.”They were just performers whose music played daily on the am dial of the radio( usually transistors).
A sampling of some of the people I saw live…Janis Joplin ,Jimi Hendrix, The Beach Boys ( when they were really beach boys and Brian Wilson was still playing live with them)Jerry Lee Lewis,The Drifters,The Temptations,The Four Tops,The Fifth Dimension Ray Charles, The Four Seasons, Blood, Sweat and Tears, Chicago ( then known as the Chicago Transit Authority : Herman’s Hermits, Grand Funk Railroad, and many more.
Great memories of a much simpler time.
I remember the music conversations well. Didn’t you say the best concert you went to was the Amboy Dukes with Ted Nugent? I know we both agreed he didn’t musically mature beyond that band.
I’ve only ever been lucky enough to see Tom Petty side man Mike Campbell’s band twice, with Willie Nelson on the same bill the second time.
I only saw Jimi Hendicks…….
He DID play the guitar….
Also, see what Keith Olbermann has to say about his wife Katy Tur. Deeply unflattering. He was far more circumspect(yet no less fair) about Olivia Nuzzi, as that case would demand.
Most of the people in media are just vapid eggheads, sadly.
When in doubt?
Go after the messenger?
Romeny ain’t got the ‘Ball’s’ Chenecy HAS….
Nuff said….
Easier when the messenger needs to learn what spell-check is.
https://www.thefp.com/p/cbs-marks-october-7-by-admonishing-tony-dokoupil
A worthwhile debate is being had on the left about whose support we should accept, vis a vis solidarity with the innocent victims of the war in Gaza. This man(to say nothing of Musk and Alex Jones) are the perfect examples of who shouldn’t be invited into the tent:
https://m.youtube.com/watch?v=vNA6MCzyCSg&pp=ygUYUm9nZXIgd2F0ZXJzIGRvY3VtZW50YXJ5
agreed
Biden IS on boad with getting rid of Hamas and Hezbollah ….
But the COST in destruction is driving him Up a Wall and costing to lose sleep….
Harris is along for the ride right now with her boss…
Hamas IS hiding among civilians…
THAT ain’t working….
Not reported?
But some in Gaza ARE happy to see Hamas being Knee Capped…
THAT IS a Reality….
I keep pointing out…
The devistation left behind is sure to help generate radicalised Arabs that WILL go after Israel….
Local terrorist act’s IN Israeli ARE in the rise already….
It is a nuanced issue I try to not comment on because I have everything to learn. Like most foreign policy matters, frankly.
Good Morning
26 days out from November 5….
People ARE voting already
Media is playing things both ways
So they can be Right no matter what…..
I expect Harris/Walz to OUT PERFORM expectations….
Dreams are weird
I dreamt I had sliced up 5 or 6 fist sized hard boiled eggs for one sandwich. When I woke up, my stomach was about to fall out my rear end.
Stomach and Brain ARE attached, eh?
It’s amazing how attached everything is. I will never fail to marvel at how stubbing your toe or jamming a finger results in worse pain than just about anything else. Nerve endings and all. Whereas heart attacks can sometimes go unnoticed.
The Human Body IS a very complex machine…..
Vice President Kamala Harris has raised more than $1 billion in less than three months as a presidential candidate, according to three people with knowledge of her fund-raising haul.
While other presidential candidates, together with their parties, have passed that threshold before, the sheer speed with which Ms. Harris and her affiliated party committees raised the sum is notable. And it’s more than former President Donald J. Trump has announced raising in all of 2024.
More…
Ventured around Hayesville and Murphy in Western NC today. Dark red areas, and yet in Hayesville there are many signs for Harris/Walz, Josh Stein, Congressional candidate Caleb Rudow(who I donated to this morning), and row office candidates. More than there ever were when I went through this time in ’16 and ’20. Over towards Murphy, it’s all Republicans except for the Supreme Court Justice Allison Riggs, a more Liberal Justice who is coasting on incumbency even though she was appointed last year.
Looking very good so far. And Asheville/Buncombe County has put in place a new contingency plan vis a vis early voting, so they’ll be getting their citizens out to the polls as best as they can.
SE?????????
Don’t say such things!
Some here don’t want to accept that Harris IS LEADING in National and enough states to win the sweepstakes……
They don’t want to remember 2020
They stuck back in 2016
Gonna be a rough one on November 5 if AP calls FOR Harris!
They gonna right with the GOO non-believers??????
Harris IS WINNING RIGHT NOW….
Ain’t afraid to say THAT right now….
Mets BEAT the Phillies ‼️
Going to the Playoffs!
Trump just CONFIRMED my ‘there will be NO MORE Debates’ proclamation here….
Trump Says He Won’t Debate Again
Donald Trump reiterated — in an all caps post on Truth Social — that he won’t do another presidential debate with Kamala Harris.
I told ya so
In the Arizona Senate debate, Kari Lake keeps calling IVF, “UVF.”
Lake is like 10% points behind…..
She’s gonna be 0 for 2….
Morning everyone
25 days out and Harris is STILL projected to win in most if not ALL of the election models…..
Yea it’s close
But she’s AHEAD
Trump is losing his mind in public and going to places he’s going to lose
Different polls show different results. For the bellyaching about Quinnipiac’s polls, there’s several others showing her retaining her advantage.
There will be a lot of static in the last weeks. For those of us who work one way or another to achieve the good result, concentration is important.
Indeed…..
Where are these polls from the 7 battleground states that are currently showing Harris ahead?
Every single one of those 7 states appears to be tied. Every one. Yes, that is better than being definitively behind in them, but Trump has made a polling comeback in all of these states over the past two weeks.
Punch in “Harris Trump Polls” into the Google search bar and scroll through headlines.
I have seen all the polls from those seven states that come out every day. Over the past week plus, every single one of them is statistically tied, with the possible exception of a couple showing Trump slightly ahead in Arizona.
Decision Desk HQ
Decision Desk HQ Presidential Forecast (10/10):
Probabilities:
🟦 Harris: 52% (-2 since last week)
🟥 Trump: 48%
Electoral College Forecast:
🟦 Harris: 226
🟥 Trump: 219
🟨 Tossups: 93
Average Electoral Vote Projection:
🟦 Harris: 272
🟥 Trump: 266
Tossups:
🟨 Wisconsin: 50% Harris
🟨 Pennsylvania: 51% Harris
🟨 Arizona: 55% Trump
🟨 Michigan: 61% Harris
🟨 Georgia: 62% Trump
🟨 Nevada: 64% Harris
🟨 North Carolina: 64% Trump
🟥 New Hampshire: 74% Harris
elections2024.thehill.com/forecast/2024/…
For those here disputing my comments about the status of things……
What you post completely disputes what you say about the status of the race.
The inexplicable thing is that you do not realize it. I think all of us probably do you a disservice as a person (not to mention ourselves) by trying to have substantive discussions with you.
Incredible.
He simply doesn’t see what is right in front of him.
Thanks SE..,.
U might go over to Race to the WH , which isn’t a right leaning like RCP……
The last NYTimes….
Doubt this ends up as much of a scandal, but interesting no less.
https://www.dailydot.com/debug/nancy-mace-rental-home-isle-of-palms/?amp
In the era of Donald Trump?
There is really no such thing as a “ scandal” anymore.
Scandal’s ?
They occur
But only the media cares…..
As to Mace?
Her district was specifically gerrymandered ,after the Joe Cunningham upset in 2018 ,to be a Republican district.Republican voters don’t give a damn about stuff like this.Her opponent Moore is conducting a low key campaign that has no chance of success.
Cunningham,meanwhile ,after losing his Congressional seat and a hopeless bid for Governor in 2022,has now opened a personal injury law firm.
I have taken your word for it and no longer consider her seat(or Norman’s in the Charlotte Metro, as his opponent is weak) a pickup opportunity. My list of such has shrunken by a considerable amount and will probably continue to do so.
Additionally, I am close to pounding the gavel on Jon Tester’s race. Increasingly cannot see a path for him.
Florida, Texas, that one Nebraska seat, and even Missouri have better odds than holding Montana.
Comment in moderation.
General thrust of the “lost” comment is I increasingly don’t see a path for Jon Tester in Montana. Indeed, there are four Senate targets for Democrats more feasible than holding his seat.
What’s the fourth after FL, TX, and NE? Are you going to say MO?
I just posted my final 2024 Race of the Day. I see a 51-49 Republican Senate Majority next year.
Yes. That’s not too likely, admittedly, but still a better chance than Tester.
I’m inclined to think the Dem’s COULD retake the House…..
Cruz and Scott ain’t gonna lose….
‘Lost’ IS UP….Sorry…
Post time!
And yea…..
And crew cut Tester seems to be on his way to unemployment…..