There are more positives in the polling for Harris than Trump a little more than a week out from Election Day….
Undecided and persuadable voters have been swinging all election but in our final national poll about a week and a half out from the election — and while many voters are already voting early — Harris has a 10-point lead with this key group. Two weeks ago, Trump was up with this group by one percentage point….
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There’s some good news for Harris in this poll: She has closed the gap with Trump on who voters trust to handle the economy. Trump had a 13-point edge last month, that is down to just 6 percentage points in this poll….
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The top issue in the election, according to The New York Times/Siena College poll, is the economy, as it has been throughout the campaign. And Donald Trump maintains a sturdy if narrow advantage: 52 percent of voters trust him better on the issue, compared to 45 percent for Harris.
Abortion and immigration are both rated as the most important issue by 15% of voters — with almost inverse results. Kamala Harris is more trusted on abortion. Trump is more trusted on immigration….
image…Jamie Kelter Davis and Nicole Craine for The New York Times
Emerson polling, usually a sketchy outfit, has undecideds over the past weeks breaking to Harris 60-37.
The Times also points to Harris Leading in the early vote by a Good Margin……….
Again?
If u look past the headline?
Trump is NOT LEADING in this race…
He IS doing better than he was a month ago in the polls
But?
The fundamental’s STILL favor her…
Gonna be a rough niece week….
Pundits and reporters gotta find something to write…..
Democrats over at The Downballot(the successor blog to Swing State Project and Daily Kos Elections) are freaking out about Nevada’s early votes.
Of all the ‘Core 7’ states, that one is easily the most precarious. We’ll see if fears are well founded. Vegas hasn not yet reported the bulk of their early votes. The Reid Machine and the Culinary Union usually deliver.
I agree on ur view……
Except for the mentioned unions?
Nevada probably Is a Red state….
Unions may have trouble with Harris
But a LOT of of their members will vote Harris
Defections from the national have been reported in blue states
Why There Are Fewer Polls This Election
Semafor: “There’s less incentive to get involved thanks to a more sophisticated polling audience and greater costs of failure.”
“We’re now well over a decade into the era of the star election forecaster, led by Nate Silver and his rivals and proteges. His biggest influence may be teaching most news junkies to turn to curated averages of polls rather than fret over each one.”
“This has created a bit of a Heisenberg effect, in which observing something — in this case, that the best analysis comes from mixing together lots of polls with a sophisticated model —might actually change it. What’s the point of shelling out five-figures on a horse race poll if it’s just going to get tossed into an average by an audience trained to scoff at individual surveys?”
Harris rally in Houston tonight was a barn burner. She’s up there with Obama.
Nate Silver sneaks back to Harris probably wins Michigan and the election….
Harris IS gonna LEAD in the polling averages ALL THE WAY thru it appears…