Karmala Harris wants to be the underdog….
She isn’t….
She IS LEADING Donald Trump in the National and Electoral State vote right now…..
RCP Average8/5 – 8/28——48.146.3
Harris+1.8
ABC News/Ipsos8/23 – 8/27RV—5046
Harris+4
Wall Street Journal8/24 – 8/281500 RV2.54847
Harris+1
Rasmussen Reports8/22 – 8/281893 LV3.04648
Trump+2
Quinnipiac8/23 – 8/271611 LV2.44948
Harris+1
Reuters/Ipsos8/21 – 8/283562 RV—4541
Harris+4
Yahoo News8/22 – 8/261194 RV—4746
Harris+1
Morning Consult8/23 – 8/257818 RV1.04844
Harris+4
CBS News8/14 – 8/163258 LV2.15148
Harris+3
Emerson8/12 – 8/141000 RV3.05046
Harris+4
FOX News8/9 – 8/121105 RV3.04950
Trump+1
Pew Research8/5 – 8/117569 RV1.44645
Harris+1
…
| Aug 25 – 29 | Outward Intel. (-) | 2191 lv | Harris +6% | 50% | 44% | 4% | 1% | 1% | 0% | |
| Aug 24 – 28 | Fabrizio/GBAO (B-) | 1500 lv | Harris +2% | 47% | 45% | 1% | 1% | 1% | ||
| Aug 21 – 28 | IPSOS (B) | 3562 lv | Harris +4% | 45% | 41% | 6% | ||||
| Aug 23 – 27 | Quinnipiac (B+) | 1611 lv | Harris +2% | 49% | 47% | 1% | 1% | |||
| Aug 25 – 27 | Suffolk University (B+) | 1000 lv | Harris +5% | 48% | 43% | 2% | 1% | 1% | ||
| Aug 23 – 25 | Big Village (C+) | 1511 lv | Harris +7% | 48% | 41% | 5% | 1% | 1% | ||
| Aug 25 – 27 | YouGov (B+) | 1368 rv | Harris +2% | 47% | 45% | 0% | 1% | |||
| Aug 22 – 27 | YouGov (B+) | 1200 rv | Harris +2% | 44% | 42% | 6% | 0% | 1% | 1% | |
| Aug 23 – 25 | Echelon Insights (C-) | 1031 lv | Harris +2% | 47% | 45% | 3% | 0% | 1% | 1% | |
| Aug 21 | Redfield & Wilton (C-) | 1500 lv | Harris +3% | 47% | 44% | 3% | 0% | 0% | ||
| Aug 19 – 21 | RMG Research (C-) | 2404 lv | Harris +2% | 48% | 46% | 5% | ||||
| Aug 19 – 21 | The Bullfinch Group (-) | 1000 rv | Harris +8% | 47% | 39% | 5% | 1% | 1% | 1% |
(The polling outfits have ratings in ( ) )
…
Harris 292. Trump 230
Ties16
Harris Campaign Runs as the ‘Clear Underdogs’
“Despite gaining a post-convention edge in polls, Jen O’Malley Dillon, chair of the Harris-Walz campaign, says in a memo out Sunday — ‘The State of the Race 65 Days Out’ — that her candidate is the underdog,” Axios reports.
From the memo: “Make no mistake: we head into the final stretch of this race as the clear underdogs. Donald Trump has a motivated base of support, with more support and higher favorability than he has had at any point since 2020.”
More: “Vice President Harris will face Trump on the debate stage, where we expect him to be a formidable opponent. In 2020, the election came down to about 40,000 votes across the battleground states. This November, we anticipate margins to be similarly razor-thin.”
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Harris and Co. IS leading but should BE clearly worried about making sure they get voter turnout NEVER the Less….
And the strongest margins since we HAVE been put on notice that GOPer’s are thinking about ways to sfigure out a Trump win from LOSING to Harris…
Things change everyday…..
Here’s one the read backs…..
Decision Desk HQ@DecisionDeskHQ
Decision Desk HQ Presidential Forecast (9/4):
Probabilities:
🟦 Harris: 56% (-1 since last week)
🟥 Trump: 44%
Electoral College Forecast:
🟦 Harris: 241
🟥 Trump: 219
🟨 Tossups: 78
Average Electoral Vote Projection:
🟦 Harris: 276
🟥 Trump: 262
Tossups:
🟨 Arizona: 51% Trump
🟨 Pennsylvania: 53% Harris
🟨 Wisconsin: 58% Harris
🟨 Georgia: 59% Trump
🟨 Nevada: 64% Harris
🟨 North Carolina: 65% Trump
https://elections2024.thehill.com/forecast/2024/president/