Just one outfit…..
A new set of Bloomberg/Morning Consult polls finds Kamala Harris “has all but neutralized Donald Trump’s advantage on economic issues, fueling an upbeat showing for the Democrat in battleground states.”
- Arizona: Harris 50%, Trump 47%
- Michigan: Harris 50%, Trump 47%
- Nevada: Harris 52%, Trump 45%
- North Carolina: Harris 50%, Trump 48%
- Pennsylvania: Harris 51%, Trump 46%
- Wisconsin: Harris 51%, Trump 48%
- Georgia: Harris 49%, Trump 49%
Across all seven swing states, Harris holds a 50% to 47% lead over Trump.
(That NY Times/Siena Poll a few days ago?)
I commented, to some backlash, that Nevada may be slipping out of reach for Trump. Seems to be trending that way.
Saw a poll from a few days ago in PA where Harris was neatly replicating Obama’s 2012 victory over Romney in the state. If true, contrary to the silly people who say a certain VP pick has cost her the state and the election, it is game, set, and match.
I feel Nev and Ariz AND Pa WILL go to Harris….
No problem….
I see her best chance IS Ga….If we can get a clean count…..
That gets her to at LEAST 270…..
Ok…..
I think it was CG that asked me what percentage was i thinking that Harris would win?
It was 65% …..
I’m raising that to 75% now
Georgia is her weakest state by virtue of it being notoriously difficult to poll, getting minority turnout projections just right and all. Suburbs and even a few exurban enclaves have turned even more against Trump and should more than offset any erosion in support she sustains inside Interstate 285.
Ga is gonna be HOT MESS with the Black vote suppresion efforts….
But a clean vote should give Harris the state…