HIGHLY UNLIKELY…
Trump leads in polls for those states…
But the margin IS dropping against Harris…
Could Vice President actually carry either?
Nah….
Cause if Democrats was to get them?
The election would be a BLOW – OUT FOR the Harris/Walz ticket….
And the polls would be SERIOUSLY WRONG…..
Florida and Texas are within the margin of error in the presidential race between former President Trump and Vice President Harris,according to a poll released Friday.
The survey from Emerson College Polling/The Hill showed Trump leading Harris in Florida by 5 points, 50 percent to 45 percent, and in Texas by 4 points, 50 percent to 46 percent.
The results are a bit closer than what some other polling has found on the races but not completely out of sync with recent polls that have shown a tighter race in those states.
Not much independent polling from major institutions has been done on Texas and Florida since Harris became the Democratic nominee.
Winning either Florida, which Democrats had carried in 2008 and 2012 before the state voted for Trump twice in a row, or Texas, which Democrats have held increasing hopes about flipping blue in recent years, would be an uphill battle for Harris.
The forecast model from The Hill/Decision Desk HQ gives Trump an 83 percent chance of winning Texas and a 75 percent chance of winning Florida. But Florida is only rated as “lean Republican,” and some polls for both states have had Trump leading by single digits.
A Florida Atlantic University poll from last month had Trump’s lead in the Sunshine State at just 3 points, and a poll from two Texas universities had Trump leading in the Lone Star State by 5 points…
…
Flipping either Texas or Florida may be a stretch but would make Democrats’ path to 270 electoral votes easier and Republicans’ path considerably harder….
Yes. Texas is more likely, but even a close Harris loss could spell doom for Rick Scott in FL.
Texas ain’t voting for Harris
If it did?
Abbott would figure out a way to change the vote