It’s an outlier…..
The race IS close….
But Harris STILL HAS a slim lead……
@Nate_Cohn
Trump 48, Harris 47 in the latest New York Times/Siena College national survey
POLLSTER DATE SAMPLE. MOE
HARRIS (D)
TRUMP (R)
SPREADRCP Average8/22 – 9/6——48.146.7
Harris+1.4
NY Times/Siena 9/3 – 9/61695 LV—4748
Trump+1
Emerson9/3 – 9/41000 LV2.94947
Harris+2
Rasmussen Reports 8/29 – 9/41838 LV3.04647
Trump+1
Morning Consult 9/2 – 9/411414 LV1.04946
Harris+3
I&I/TIPP 8/28 – 8/301386 RV2.84845
Harris+3
Wall Street Journal 8/24 – 8/281500 RV2.54847
Harris+1
Quinnipiac 8/23 – 8/271611 LV2.44948
Harris+1
ABC News/Ipsos 8/23 – 8/27RV—5046
Harris+4
Yahoo News 8/22 – 8/261194 RV3.04746
Harris+1
From Politico….
As the Times notes, this is the first time Trump has had at least a nominal lead in a “major nonpartisan national survey” in about the last month. In The New York Times’ own polling averages, Harris has a slight lead over Trump, 49 percent to 47 percent. The Times’ survey has played an outsized role in American politics in recent years, often driving fundraising and news coverage more than any other individual national survey…..
Hmmmmmm?
If there is a confirmation of this in more polls?
Harris WILL be the next president
Harris Leads in North Carolina
A new SurveyUSA poll in North Carolina finds Kamala Harris leading Donald Trump among likely voters, 49% to 46%, with 5% undecided and almost no voters saying they plan to back a third-party candidate.
Politicalwire
The liberal http://www.electoral-vote.com gives 257 Harris to 230 Trump with ties in Pa, NC & Ga (51 total).
The conservative RealPolitics gives those three to Trump for 257-281.
In other words, we still don’t know.
Taniel @ Twitter
.@MorningConsult just dropped a huge amount of polling. Let’s go through it.
National: Harris 49/46
VA: Harris 52/42
MN: Harris 51/44
WI: Harris 49/46
PA: Harris 49/46
MI: Harris 49/46
GA: 48/48
NV: 48/48
NC: 48/48
AZ: Trump 49/47
FL: Trump 49/47
TX: Trump 52/43
Harris STILL Leads……:
Not by much
But IS AHEAD