ALL the national polls now confirm that Donald Trump HAS lost his lead in the race for President this coming November….
It appears that Joe Biden did Democrats and the growing Majority of Americans a favor in handing the ‘the tourch’ over to Kamala Harris…
The question will be will her lead keep growing and hold?
And will the lead translate to the Swing States where the election is actually decided….
A new Marquette Law School Poll national survey finds Vice President Kamala Harris is the choice for president of 52% of registered voters and former President Donald Trump is the choice of 48%. Among likely voters, Harris receives 53% and Trump 47%. These results include voters who initially did not choose Harris or Trump but who were then asked whom they would vote for if they had to choose.
In a May 6-15, 2024, Marquette Law School Poll national survey, Trump was the choice of 50% and President Joe Biden was the pick of 50% Among registered voters, while Trump took 51% of likely voters and Biden 49%.
When the ballot question explicitly includes independent candidate Robert F. Kennedy Jr., Libertarian Party candidate Chase Oliver, Green Party candidate Jill Stein, and independent candidate Cornel West, Harris receives 47% and Trump 41% Among registered voters. Kennedy is supported by 9%, Oliver receives 1%, Stein is the choice of 2%, and West wins 1%, among these voters. Among likely voters, Harris is supported by 50% and Trump 42%, Kennedy 6%, Oliver 1%, Stein 1%, and West 0%.
In a generic question about congressional races, 52% of registered voters say they will vote for the Democratic candidate and 48% will vote for the Republican candidate. In May, 50% picked the Democrat and 50% picked the Republican….
…
The race is very tight among the very and somewhat enthusiastic, with a slight Harris edge among the very enthusiastic and a slight Trump advantage among the somewhat enthusiastic. Those who are not too enthusiastic and those not at all enthusiastic give Harris larger margins…
New Open Thread is HERE….
Donald Trump IS TIRED…….
He doesn’t want to campaign anymore
Trump now says he’s going to do a presser at 2 PM today
He’s been pushing that Harris hasn’t done one…….
BTW?
Harris IS campaigning
Trump is NOT and he’s losing polling numbers by the day as he falls behind Harris crying about how he misses Joe Biden in the race…
Added to his worries is the Jan. 6 Federal Court case has awakened…..
http://www.Electoral-Vote.com has shifted Wisconsin’s 11 electoral votes to barely Democratic, bringing its current total to a hair’s breadth Trump 270 to Harris 257 with 11 in Arizona [11] tied at 48-48%.
RCP’s No-Tossup map is less red than it had been, but shows Trump 287-251
https://www.realclearpolling.com/maps/president/2024/no-toss-up/electoral-college
As 270toWIN has Harris @ 275 pulling ahead of Trump for the first time…….
Donald IS LOSING right now…..
Sabato also is showing Harris up for a possible EV Win…….
We don’t want to get TOO excited, eh Jack!
Have you pissed in your pants yet?
He, he, he
Love Ya Jack❗️😉
Right on Time!
Cook has also moved several swing states away from Trump…..
Hot Damn!
Tied in Georgia
A new AARP poll in Georgia finds Kamala Harris and Donald Trump tied in a head-to-head match up, 48% to 48%.
In a multi-candidate field, Trump leads Harris 46% to 44% with 7% of voters supporting a third-party candidate and 3% of voters undecided.
Politicalwire
Trump talking
All negative
He’s losing in the polls, bit says he isn’t
He’s just rambling on
Trying to keep Biden IN THE race
He’s SO NEGATIVE
He’s trying to get the Fox debate in FIRST so he doesn’t have to do anymore
His comb over is thin
This guy REALLY SHIT CAN’s America
This IS a guy who IS ALL OVER the place
He ‘cherishes’ the Constitution!?????
The 2025 Project????
Donald Trump is All Over The place
He crowing about Cannon throwing away his case
Doing good with Black males
Knock ‘s Black Women
He’s knocking Shapiro. Who Harris didn’t pick
Crowd size question
He now is trying to count those who could not get in?
This is a sore point
Trump waned the Afghan withdrawal
Biden did it
He does crowd question … then wonders to Afghanistan and oil prices
He says he’s leading in Pa Ga …
He isn’t
He complained that he helped the Ga Governor get elected and wondered why he doesn’t’like’ him?.,.. Didn’t roll over on him
The last question has got him fired up
‘That was a stupid question’…
Musk endorsed him he’s paying the favor back with a appealing on his show
Digs on woman reporter
Nobody killed on Jan6
Jan 6 crowd… Biggest Crowd
Same amount of crowd as Martin Luther King
I had More
Biden doesn’t regret making Harris his VP
Ur not happy Biden dropped out
Trump double down on abortion fir the state’s and exceptions…..
He just walked away AGAIN from the Pro-Life crazies
He said post birth abortion?????
He does that side lean and mouth thing
Democrats do NOT want to ‘take away ur gun’
He jumps back to Afghanistan in the middle
Falling off airplane’s the high of the World Trade Center
Enough for me…….
The guy IS CRAZY
Incoherent……
Watch Fox News/ Entertainment.
It will all make perfect sense!
The Man is Crazy and Yes….And ALL of the place in a differnt Reality….
I’ll have a after action post later when the dust settle’s….
I simply CANNOT keep watching this person….
Ok….
It appears he’s finally stopped Whinning and Lying…..
This appearance was shamefully OFF THE HOOK….
Harris should only agree do the Fox debate AFTER another debate is DONE….
I have been watching and this making some comments on Twitter. Democrats who have no idea who I am are starting to notice and like some of my Tweets.
anybody who is invested in wanting to see Trump lose should have watched the whole thing until the end and then re-watch it several times.
Hopefully, Harris will do a press conference. As bad as she could potentially be, there is no way it will be as bonkers as this.
Team USA is losing to Serbia. This obviously is due to the players no longer being able to afford to buy bacon.
Go CG!
Believe it or not…the Georgia Election Board,at the direction of their boss, Donald Trump,have asked AG Chris Carr to conduct another” investigation “ of the presidential recount in 2020 in Fulton County.
The Big guy just can’t believe he LOST!
And of course the election isn’t for about 90 days……
But the vote IS just about beginning soon
LeBron better find a way to lead these guys to pull of this comeback and win the game or we should NEVER hear him compared to Michael Jordan ever again.
Good job Team USA #notgoingback
Morning Folks…….
Ole Donald Misses ole Joe….
The man Tim Walz ousted in 2006, former GOP Congressman Gil Gutknecht, did an interview with Rochester, MN, radio 2 1/2 weeks ago, right beforeBiden stepped aside. Gushing over the pick of JD Vance, praising Trump’s RNC speech, seeming to peddle the idea Iran was behind the attempt on Trump, and predicting Trump gets “at least 330 electoral votes” no matter who’s the Denocratic candidate.
https://m.youtube.com/watch?v=ggGHiqtMGcw&pp=ygUNR2lsIGd1dGtuZWNodA%3D%3D
*right before Biden stepped aside
*Democratic
What may not have gotten as much attention from yesterday’s Trump presser.
https://www.reuters.com/world/us/trump-apparently-confuses-willie-brown-with-jerry-brown-helicopter-tale-2024-08-09/
He “went down on a helicopter” with him. The whole thing seems ridiculous and just a sign of his desperation.
Next, he will confuse Montel Williams with Montell Jordan.
Or he’ll try relating to the kids and confusing Kenny Rogers with Kenny Loggins.
*and end up confusing
The Coward of the Count(r)y is headed into the political Danger Zone.
Willie Brown Says Trump’s Story Never Happened
“Donald Trump said Thursday that he once had to make an emergency landing while riding in a helicopter with former San Francisco Mayor Willie Brown,” the San Francisco Chronicle reports.
Said Trump: “I went down in a helicopter with him. We thought maybe this was the end. We were in a helicopter going to a certain location together, and there was an emergency landing. This was not a pleasant landing.”
“But Brown – who did have a close call on a helicopter that Trump wasn’t on 20 years ago – said he had no idea what the former president was talking about.”
Said Brown: “You would have known if I had gone down on a helicopter with Trump. I’ve never been on a helicopter with Trump.”
New York Times: That time Trump nearly died in a helicopter crash? Didn’t happen.
It appears that Nevanda IS back with Democrats/Harris/Walz….
Harris Builds Lead in Nevada
A new Decipher Ai (R) poll in Nevada finds Kamala Harris leading Donald Trump in the presidential election, 49% to 44%.
Robert F. Kennedy Jr. gets just 4%.
Nevada is the state I’ve been most worried about. Good to see it’s slipping out of Trump’s reach.
Another wayward “ predictor.”
Declaring a swing state “ slipping out of reach” based on one poll three months before the election is hilarious.
Show me a 5 point lead around Halloween and it will have some real meaning.
Otherwise?
A minor tidbit with little meaning?
Swing states polls ARE TRENDING away from Trump TO Harris
As mentioned here
Harris/Walz will have to work to KEEP those swing states vote come Election Day….
I smell some media already moving to change their narrative now the Harris leads….
Here we go…
When Harris’s numbers come back down as her honeymoon period recedes, he’ll blame it all on the media.
Same old same old.
Harris/Walz has received the endorsement of former Minnesota Governor Jesse Ventura. This may swing a decisive amount of votes towards the D ticket.
In 2008, Colin Powell was the paragon of moral rectitude who called the wayward McCain/Palin ticket on the carpet. Fast forward to today, and it is Jesse Ventura who is the paragon of moral rectitude calling the even more wayward Trump/Vance ticket on the carpet.
Morning Everyone!
Jesse Ventura has endorsed the Harris/Walz ticket. He is especially incensed at JD Vances attempts at Swift Bosting Walz military service.
Ventura has plenty of bizarre theories to say the least. And while he doesn’t sway too many voters, his endorsement will definitely catch Trump’s attention as Jesse is a product of the same 80s and 90s entertainment environment that Trump emerged from.
Keep it rolling J. D.!
Morning everyone…….
Morning All………
Trump STILL ain’t out campaigning?
Morning…..
Morning All
Trump to hold ANOTHER Presser in Jersey!?
Geez?
The guy just KEEPS working at LOSING….
Morning everyone…….
Morning……….
Harris goes after the Economy issue
Morning……
Could Harris get Georgia and North Carolina?
Along with Nevada and Arizona?
The national commander of the VFW has condemned Trumps claim the the Congressional Medal of Honor is less of an award than the presidential Medal of Freedom which was presented to Miriam Adelson ,the widow of far Right extremist Sheldon Adelson ,a Vegas casino magnate who was a major contributor to Trumps campaign.
He referred to Trumps statement as’ asinine “and “ crassly.”Continuing, he said someone who who would so brazenly dismiss the valor and reverence symbolized by the Medal of Honor should “ know better and “ I would question whether( he”) would discharge ( his) responsibilities to our men and women in uniform.”
Trump has consistently denigrated military service ,once referring to those that served and died as “ losers.”
Still he receives support from many veterans.
Donald Trump IS Anti-Military
Why ANYONE in the IS MILITARY would vote for him is beyond me….
Same for unions…..
Maybe Trump has some visceral dislike of servicepeople because of his years at the military academy which his parents forced him into when other options failed to solve his incorrigibility. He got to be a rather strict junior NCO to his classmates, but perhaps he felt bad when they (at least some of them) went into military service when he didn’t. He must feel superior to everyone else at all times.
The man WAS the Commander in Chief of the United States of America’s Military….
His distaste and disregard for those who serve to make our lives, including HIS IS a DISGRACE….
If Harris CAN BITE HARD into the Blue Collar and non-college voters?
She’s a LOCK….
So Trump speaking before his cult yesterday incoherently suggested that we shouldn’t have an election because “ they didn’t have an election.”
Explained how he doesn’t “ ramble.”
Claimed he was “better looking” than Harris.
And
Said Joe Biden hates Harris because she “ overthrew” him.
And the Republican cultists with a straight face cheer him on.
They have them “ conservative values.”
They WILL follow him down the Rabbit Hole…..
Good Morning Everyone….
Update….
Silever has the Winning numbers as Harris 53.5%…Trump….45.9%
…
InteractivePolls
@IAPolls2022
WP/ABC/Ipsos national poll crosstabs
🟦 Harris: 49%
🟥 Trump: 45%
🟪 Other: 5%
——
Fav/unfav
• Walz: 39-30 (net: +9)
• Harris: 45-44 (+1)
• Vance: 32-42 (-10)
• Trump: 35-57 (-22)
——
Crosstabs
• Ages 18-39: Harris 59-34%
• Ages 40-64: Trump 50-44%
• Ages 65+: Trump 49-47%
—
• Democrats: Harris 95-3%
• Republicans: Trump 91-6%
• Independents: Harris 48-40%
—
• White: Trump 52-42%
• Black: Harris 83-11%
• Hispanic: Harris 53-42%
—
• College grad: Harris 57-37%
• No college: Trump 51-44%
• White no college: Trump 61-34%
• White college: Harris 51-41%
—
• Male: Tie 47-47%
• Female: Harris 51-44%
—
• Moderate: Harris 59-34%
• Suburban: Harris 50-45%
This IS BEFORE Harris gets a expected Convention ‘Bounce’….
I see in the crosstabs Trump not getting what he needs from whites, men, people with no College degree, and seniors. Harris polls better than Biden, though is lagging a bit off 2020 results with Hispanics, women, and Suburban voters. Gaudy margins among Moderates, Independents, young, and black voters are powering her current lead.
If she can improve to 2020 numbers(and beyond?) in the highlighted demographic groups of concern, it’s a landslide.
They gonna go down with the ship???
Lindsey Graham Worries Trump May Not Win
Sen. Lindsey Graham (R-SC) told NBC News that Donald Trump, “the provocateur, the showman, may not win this election.”
Axios: “Graham joins a chorus of Trump allies who have publicly urged the former president to focus on policy, not personal attacks. So far, Trump’s not listening.”
Morning everyone……
Harris/Walz and Democrats Focus Week…..
Trumps campaign is threatening to sue the Loudoun County(Va) Republican Party for its “ unauthorized “ use of Trumps name and likeness, adding menacingly ,”it will hurt.”
Apparently the county party has been selling shirts and mugs highlighting Trumps survival of the assassination attempt.
Trump ain’t letting anyone make a buck off his likeness,even fellow Republicans who are supporting him.
Buy the sneakers!
The Atlantic
“Harris’s people also seem to grasp that when Trump is repeatedly melting down in public, Democrats should not interrupt him,” @RadioFreeTom writes. “And they’re right.”
A Good and Happy Morning for Democrats….
Trump takes hits and is lost in the sheer Democratic embrace of Happiness with their change in fortune….
Online Trump fans are back to being convinced that RFK Jr. is about to drop out and endorse Trump and that such a thing will easily seal the election for Trump.
It looks like the drop out and endorsement may actually be about to happen. The VP candidate/moneybags is openly saying she is leaning towards it.
We can look back historically and say that Bill Clinton perhaps owes his Presidency to the fact that an egotistical H. Ross Perot never got over George H.W. Bush turning down the job offer to work for his company decades earlier or that he was denied his request by the Reagan/Bush Administration to do freelance foreign policy work.
The question now is what Joe Biden once did to piss RFK Jr. off so much, or maybe RFK Jr. is, like his grandfather at least, just a very bad person.
What did Biden do??????
Huh?
You ARE KIDDING ME?
The guy maybe a Kennedy….
But he’s a flake….
He was NEVER a aserious candidate….
He asked for a trade for a Democratic endorsment and got none….
The Trump people thought he’d hurt the Dem’s , but he’s actually hurting Trump now…..
Man without a political future it would seem…
I told you all about RFK Jr. years ago and nobody wanted to listen. Back then, as long as he was still saying he was a Democrat, he was still ok.
Well I/We know now.….
And the guy actually has Secret Service protection we pay for….
Morning All….
CG?
Filter catch….
Pharmacy calendar…..
take your meds.
Twice a day….
New Jersey Congressman Bill Pascrell dies at 87.
https://www.northjersey.com/story/news/paterson-press/2024/08/21/paterson-nj-death-rep-bill-pascrell-87-years-obit/74893039007/
Morning….
Ur up
Interesting….
Shapiro on Fetterman
Pennsylvania Gov. Josh Shapiro (D) was asked by Bloomberg about his reported rivalry with Sen. John Fetterman (D-PA).
Said Shapiro: “You’ve got to ask Fetterman. Or I would say you should ask his spokesperson, but I think they’re not on the same page, either.”
Chess piece’s Academy post in the filter…..
Gabby Giffords and Mark Kelly
Pink signs
‘What about Us’……
Has her daughter helping
Mark Kelly back on stage…..
Leon Panetta
Kelly was NOT the choice to make….
He’s SOLID….
But too solid for the campaign……
Gallego…..
The next US Senator for Arizona who will beat Kari Lake making her 0-2……(Gov and Sen)
He brings out Vets that are lawmakers…..
‘Show some Respect’…..
(aimed at Trump he seems to have NO Respect for the US Military)
Whitmer…..
Eva Langorai
Adam Kinzinger…..
I am proud to be in the trenches with you…..
I was a republican for 12 years in Congress
You never thought u’d see me here
Secret.
The Democrat are just a patriotic as us…..
The Republican has switched to a weak man pretending to be strong…..
A perp who can’t stop playing the victim
Kinzinger IS gonna be the target of a TON of MAGA social media dings
Democracy knows no party…..
Wow must all stand together to strengthen it….
Mya Harris…..
Fronts her mother…..
Roy Cooper……
Damn!….
I’m in the wrong thread!…..
—The Time for Change model suggests that presidential elections are largely determined by three factors: the popularity of the incumbent president, the state of the economy, and the number of terms that the president’s party has controlled the White House.
—Specifically, the “Time for Change” factor of this analysis is based on the post-World War II reality that a party often can win the White House two straight times, but has a harder time holding it for longer than that.
—This year’s version of the model shows Kamala Harris as a narrow favorite in both the popular vote and Electoral College, but her predicted margins are so small that the safest prediction we can make about the 2024 presidential election is that it is likely to be very close….
Sabato….
Afternoon everyone……::
New Open Thread later…..