While some people will be voting early in a few weeks….
The vast majority will vote in November….
Harris/Walz ARE LEADING in the Ntional Polling and Electoral vote RIGHT NOW….
Democrats and others who want to make sure Donald TRump and his MAGA/Project 2025 people do NOT get cotrol of America need to NOT get cmforatable and let Trump & Co. sneak back into the lead….
From Kos & Daily Kos….
I am on record warning people against paying attention to the polls before Labor Day, as that’s about when the bulk of voters start paying attention to the election. That is still the case, but now is a good time to lay down a baseline marker. Vice President Kamala Harris has been in the race for three and a half weeks, both tickets are established, and the Democratic National Convention begins this upcoming Monday.
As far as baselines go, it’s a good one…
Where the polls stand in swing states
According to 538’s polling averages, as of Aug. 15 at 10:30 AM ET
| National | 46.2% | 43.5% | Harris +2.6 | Baseline: Harris 226, Trump 189 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wisconsin |
10
|
47.3% | 43.8% | Harris +3.5 | Harris 236 |
| Michigan |
15
|
46.3% | 42.9% | Harris +3.4 | Harris 241 |
| Pennsylvania |
19
|
46.4% | 44.2% | Harris +2.2 | Harris 270* |
| Arizona |
11
|
45.4% | 44.6% | Harris +0.7 | Harris 281 |
| Georgia |
16
|
45.9% | 45.8% | Harris +0.1 | Harris 297 |
| Nevada |
6
|
44.5% | 44.3% | Trump +0.2 | Trump 195 |
| North Carolina |
16
|
44.8% | 45.5% | Trump +0.8 | Trump 211 |
| Florida† |
30
|
– | – | Likely Trump | Trump 241 |
| Total |
–
|
– | – | – | Harris 281 Trump 241 |
So fight as if we’re up 1 to 2 points. That’s the likely reality of the rest of this election cycle. And watching all of you, I can guarantee we are all much happier fighting to protect a lead than handling the adversity of being behind…..
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