It hasn’t been a full week and VP Kamala Harris is within the Margin’s of Error in the key swing states….
Easily making Biden’s move to drop out pay off…..
At this rate she could easily pull ahead of Donald Trump…..
New Emerson College Polling/The Hill polling in five swing states finds Vice President Kamala Harris trailing former President Donald Trump in four states, and tied in Wisconsin. In Arizona, 49% support Trump and 44% support Harris. In Georgia, 48% support Trump and 46% Harris. In Michigan, 46% support Trump and 45% Harris. In Pennsylvania, 48% support Trump and 46% Harris. In Wisconsin, 47% support Harris and Trump respectively.
Support for Harris surpassed Biden’s support from earlier this month in all five states; in Arizona, by four points (Biden’s 40% to Harris’ 44%), Georgia by five points (41% to 46%), Michigan by three points (42% to 45%), Pennsylvania by three points (43% to 46%), and Wisconsin by four points (43% to 47%).
“Harris has recovered a portion of the vote for the Democrats on the presidential ticket since the fallout after the June 27 debate,” Spencer Kimball, executive director of Emerson College Polling, said. “Harris’ numbers now reflect similar support levels to those of Biden back in March.”
“Young voters have shifted toward Harris: her support compared to Biden increased by 16 points in Arizona, eight in Georgia, five in Michigan, 11 in Pennsylvania, and one in Wisconsin since earlier polling this month.”
Regarding Vice President Harris’ selection of a running mate, a plurality of Arizona voters prefer Senator Mark Kelly (36%), 27% of Michigan voters prefer Gretchen Whitmer, 40% of Pennsylvania voters support Josh Shapiro, while 14% of Wisconsin voters support Bernie Sanders and 12% Pete Buttigieg.
- Among just Democratic voters, in Arizona 42% prefer their Senator Mark Kelly, in Pennsylvania, 57% prefer their Governor Josh Shapiro and in Michigan 36% prefer their Governor Gretchen Whitmer. Georgia and Wisconsin saw Democrats split among candidates with no one having more than around 20%…..
Harris also increases the lead with Young voters for Democrats….
“Vice President Kamala Harris is significantly more popular among America’s youngest voters than President Biden,” a new Axios/Generation Lab pollshows.
“Former President Trump appeared to be chipping away at Democrats’ decades-long hold on the youth vote. But Harris could be extending the gap once again.”
- In a Biden-Trump race, the split among 18- to 34-year-olds was 53% for Biden and 47% for Trump, giving Biden a 6-point lead.
- But in a Harris-Trump contest, the same respondents split 60% for Harris and 40% for Trump — a 20-point lead for Harris.
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Same trend’s TO Harris in the new NY Times /Siena Polling …
A new New York Times/Siena poll finds Donald Trump barely ahead of Kamala Harris in the presidential race in a head-to-head match among likely voters, 48% to 47%.
In a multicandidate race, Harris leads Trump, 44% to 43%.
“That is a marked improvement for Democrats when compared to the Times/Siena poll in early July that showed Mr. Biden behind by six percentage points, in the aftermath of the poor debate performance that eventually drove him from the race.”
“In some ways, the poll showed a reset to where the race was before Mr. Biden imploded on a debate stage in Atlanta: months of a narrow but steady Trump edge in the national polling averages. But in other ways, the new poll provided intriguing hints at how a Harris candidacy could remake the politic
More polling trending TO Harris….
By Next week she could be leading at the MOE or?
Maybe Higher?
But the swing states ARE to important places…