Reality Check Folks….
President Joe Biden isn’t going anywhere….
(Forget the media….Democrats need to CTFBD)
Donald Trump’s issues either…..
As the dust settles?
We’ll see how things go….
But Joe Biden DOES have work to do….
And the first thing he SHOULD be doing is dealing with REALITY…..
And adjusting ….
Biden’s personal contribution to the efforts to calm his nervous party began with a fiery speech at a rally on Friday in North Carolina. The contrast between the animated Biden who stood before a crowd of enthusiastic supporters in Raleigh and the halting and sometimes confused president who appeared on the debate stage in Atlanta could not have been starker.
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For Biden, moving his party off the ledge and back to his side will require more steps. Friday’s work — the rally, the insistence that he will not step aside, the talk of money raised from grass-roots donors — was important but not sufficient. Notably, however, there were no defections among party leaders, despite the chorus of calls for a new nominee from some prominent party strategists and pundits.
So far, the Democratic establishment is holding steady, but House and Senate leaders must first be loyal to their own members’ interests.
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In the coming weeks, nervous Democrats will be assessing Biden’s performance as a candidate while keeping an eye on the polls. Any more slips by the president could be devastating. Just as worrisome could be a notable shift in the numbers toward Trump, who already has a narrow advantage in the battleground states. If Biden were to fall further behind, the alarms that were triggered on Thursday could increase in volume. The campaign also must worry about fundraising. Before the debate, there were signs of slippage, though the campaign raised good money the day of and after the debate.
Beyond reassuring party insiders, Biden must reassure concerned voters. It could take much more than a few rallies or more attacks on Trump as a threat to democracy to bring to Biden’s side the voters he will need to prevent Trump from winning an electoral college majority and being returned to the Oval Office.
Technically, delegates to the August convention in Chicago could replace Biden. They have the power. But such a move against Biden would be extraordinary, and those who are talking about replacing him don’t have a strategy or a candidate.
Biden could step aside voluntarily, but then what? Would he say he wants Vice President Harris to be the presidential nominee or say the process should be opened up to others? Harris’s public approval ratings are as weak as Biden’s, but she represents the most important constituency in the Democratic Party, Black women, and everyone knows that Black voters saved Biden’s candidacy during the 2020 primaries….
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Democrats have other capable younger leaders who could be in the mix if they decide a different candidate than Harris is needed to win in November. They include California Gov. Gavin Newsom, Michigan Gov. Gretchen Whitmer, Maryland Gov. Wes Moore, Kentucky Gov. Andy Beshear, Georgia Sen. Raphael G. Warnock, Pennsylvania Gov. Josh Shapiro, Transportation Secretary Pete Buttigieg, Illinois Gov. J.B. Pritzker, Commerce Secretary Gina Raimondo and Colorado Gov. Jared Polis — among others.
Party activists see them as credible and attractive, likely aspirants for the nomination in 2028. Would they be ready to mount a presidential campaign right now? That’s a different issue. They are little known nationally and thoroughly untested in the presidential arena. They have not been vetted as national leaders always are. Their teams, too, are untested in presidential politics.
A fresh ticket might excite an electorate that is dissatisfied with the choice of Trump versus Biden. But any Democratic newcomers would carry sizable risks. After Thursday’s debate, however, few Democrats are discounting the risks of continuing with Biden as their nominee. That is the party’s dilemma four months out from the election…..
Hey CG?
Can’t write in detail due to weekend work, but just saw the first major post debate poll from a credible source — Morning Consult. While most voters including a 47% plurality of Democrats want Biden to step aside, Biden is also still ahead of Trump by one point — 45/44, and up a point from their prior poll.
Daily Kos
http://www.nj.com/…
I do not see a link, I have seen other polls from the past couple days showing Biden losing ground to Trump. It was already a very dicey situation for Biden before the debate and everyone who wants to see Trump lose was hoping that the debate could be the start of a big turnaround. But it is most appropriate to wait a few more days in regards to polling data. I believe it is going to look very , very bad for Biden.
That being said, since I want Trump to lose, very very much, I hope I am WRONG.