We ALL hope Joe Biden IS correct..…
President Biden doesn’t believe his bad poll numbers, and neither do many of his closest advisers, according to people familiar with the matter.
Why it matters: The dismissiveness of the poor polling is sincere, not public spin, according to Democrats who have spoken privately with the president and his team.
- That bedrock belief has informed Biden’s largely steady-as-she-goes campaign — even as many Democrats outside the White House are agitating for the campaign to change direction, given that Biden is polling well behind where he was four years ago.
- The public polling simply doesn’t reflect the president’s support, they say.
Driving the news: In public and private, Biden has been telling anyone who will listen that he’s gaining ground — and is probably up — on Donald Trump in their rematch from 2020.
- “While the press doesn’t write about it, the momentum is clearly in our favor, with the polls moving towards us and away from Trump,” Biden told donorsduring a West Coast swing last week.
A few days earlier, confronted with some of his bad poll numbers in a rare interview with CNN, Biden offered a more sweeping indictment of polling methodology.
- “The polling data has been wrong all along. How many — you guys do a poll at CNN. How many folks you have to call to get one response?”
Zoom in: The latest polling in the six battleground states likely to decide the presidential race — Arizona, Georgia, Michigan, Nevada, Pennsylvania and Wisconsin — doesn’t paint a rosy picture for Biden.
- A new New York Times/Sienna survey, which sampled more than 4,000 people across the swing states, had Trump winning five of them among registered voters.
- A Bloomberg News poll last month similarly found Biden trailing Trump in six of seven swing states (they also polled North Carolina).
Reality check: Some national polls have shown Biden ahead or tied with Trump — and in several other polls the president is within the surveys’ margins for error. That’s given Democrats and Republicans alike ammunition to claim they have momentum.
- Biden likes to cite his numbers in a recent PBS/Marist poll, which show him ahead…..
image…The Boston Globe
If he and his campaign DO NOT think he is behind, that is a very bad sign for them. Any candidate at any level in any sort of close race should act as though they are behind. This is similar to how he keeps telling Americans that they should think the economy is great. They do not feel that way. Amazing and very risky hubris on display.
Running from BEHIND DOES mean dotting your I’s and crossing your T’s……
Running from behind COULD help push up anti-Trump votes…..
And?
There IS some postive’s in the cross tabs , BUT?
I agree ….
Biden HAS GOTTA pump UP his Game…..
Biden has NO control of consumer prices and neither does Trump…..
Treump can’t even run succesful businesses
BUT?
True
But also irrelevant.
The voters always hold the President responsible for bad economic times.
And both parties have nourished that attitude.
True That Jack…..,.
Consumer prices show no sign pf dropping
And ole Jerome ain’t helping with interest rates
Hillary Clinton gave way to hubris (and the reckless depletion of her campaign funds) in 2016.
Her team (unlike Kellyanne Conway) stopped real live on-the-ground polling weeks before Election Day and were asleep at the switch as Donald Trump made his (what seemed to be futile) sweep of the Rust Belt in the campaign’s last week.
True THAT DSD……
Her pollsters warned her about her last minute seepage….
Shit!
NOBODY WOULD EVER BELIEVE Donald Trump could actually WIN!
Not even him !
We were ALL ASTOUNDED!
Biden’s job is getting out the vote like last time
And a LOT of praying by ALL of us here and abroad
Oh?
And Biden HAS out loud that he just can’t accept that the guy he BEAT and if facing TONS of criminal charges could best him
David Frum
Joe Biden ran 6 successful US Senate elections, 2 successful vice presidential campaigns, and then 1 successful presidential campaign (after losses in 1988 and 2008). Maybe someone has fought more national-level elections. But the record suggests some expertise at reading polls.
That’s one of the dumbest takes ever.
The Delaware U.S. Senate elections are evidence of his political strength as an 81 year old President seeking reelection?
Biden somehow had anything at all to do with “running” the Obama campaigns?
That 2024 is automatically going to be like 2020 just because the cast of characters are the same?
Both of these presumptive nominees seem to actually be deluded enough, egotistical enough, and in denial enough to think “we’re winning in all the polls” and they are both wrong
Joe Walsh had a far more realistic take
https://twitter.com/WalshFreedom/status/1789986454321401975
Joseph R. Biden egotistical?????
I have NEVER heard his name and that word in the same sentence….
And Yup!
Both ARE singing from the same book
But Trump ain’t President…..
Even if some still want to address him that way
People have been saying Biden is egotistical for over 50 years now. Where have you been?
I mean, he’s no Trump, but who is? Biden’s brand has historically been as a self-promoting blowhard. He is just old now. You had to have remembered that.
I have NOT seen THAT term for Biden and of course you have to HAVE Something to be a Congressional Lawmaker…….
The job looks like it suck’s
And you have to beg for votes?
You may literally be the only person who claims to follow politics in America who thinks that Rudy Giuliani was not incredibly popular after 9/11 and that Joe Biden has not been thought of as someone with a large ego.
Then again, you also thought Hamas were “moderates.”
I HAVE schooled u and on the mythical Rudy …..
He was no damn good THEN….
He is true to form decades later…..
Broke ?
And under indictment i believe?
The Former Big Apple Mayor and Federal Prosecutor is a just lost soul….
Yes, you have “schooled” everyone.
You might as well be the Chancellor of Trump University.
He, he, he
NOT for a million dollars ❗️
Or More…:
Ah Trump University got shut down by NY State!
something else you sort of have in common with him.
Decision Desk HQ
DDHQ Poll Alert: National Presidential
Joe Biden (D): 46% (+2)
Donald Trump (R): 44%
New York Times/Ipsos | 407 RV | May 3-6
See how this poll affects our average:
Political Polls
#New General Election Poll
🔵 Biden 47% (+4)
🔴 Trump 43%
Ipsos (NYT) #17 – 407 RV – 5/6
Maybe Biden IS CORRECT on the polls?