The poll had over 4,000 respondents….
Of course the NY Times poll isn’t the only poll out there…
And in other polls ?
Biden still trails in some of the six or so swing states…..
The positive that Biden & Co. IS hanging on, is the fact that the numbers in most states are within the error margins….
AND….
Democrats HAVE done better than polls receently….
AND….
Abortion votes have helped Democrats,,,,
AND….
Donald Trump has a excellent chance that he will be running for President this Summer and Fall as a CONVICTED Felon out on appeal…..
A BIG question is how young and minority voters will do in November…..
The economy’s inflation ….
And?
In almost ALL of the polls?
There is a almost `10%’ undecided …..
Donald J. Trump leads President Biden in five crucial battleground states, a new set of polls shows, as a yearning for change and discontent over the economy and the war in Gaza among young, Black and Hispanic voters threaten to unravel the president’s Democratic coalition.
The surveys by The New York Times, Siena College and The Philadelphia Inquirer found that Mr. Trump was ahead among registered voters in a head-to-head matchup against Mr. Biden in five of six key states: Michigan, Arizona, Nevada, Georgia and Pennsylvania. Mr. Biden led among registered voters in only one battleground state, Wisconsin.
[You can find the full results of the polls, including the exact questions that were asked, here. You can see answers to common questions about our polling process here.]
The race was closer among likely voters. Mr. Trump led in five states as well, but Mr. Biden edged ahead in Michigan while trailing only narrowly in Wisconsin and Pennsylvania. While Mr. Biden won all six of those states in 2020, victories in Pennsylvania, Michigan and Wisconsin would be enough for him to win re-election, provided he won everywhere else he did four years ago.
The results were similar in a hypothetical matchup that included minor-party candidates and the independent candidate Robert F. Kennedy Jr., who won an average of 10 percent of the vote across the six states and drew roughly equally from the two major-party candidates….
…
Mr. Trump’s trial in Manhattan, on charges that he falsified business records related to a hush-money payment to cover up an affair with the adult film star Stormy Daniels, was already underway when the polls began in late April. However, the survey offered little indication that the trial had damaged the former president’s political fortunes, at least so far. Just 29 percent of voters in battleground states said that they were paying “a lot” of attention to Mr. Trump’s legal woes, and 35 percent thought that the trial was likely to end in a conviction….
Note….
Remember….
The election is SIX months away……
The Biden & Co. Point of View….
Working the spin on polling is an ever-present effort for Mr. Biden and his campaign.
In the weekend before the latest poll was released, Mr. Biden traveled to the West Coast. Speaking to donors in San Francisco and the Seattle area, he made the case that they should ignore the polling — especially if it looks bad for him.
“People are engaged, no matter what the polling data says,” Mr. Biden said Friday in Seattle. “It’s awful hard to judge the polls these days because they’re so difficult to take.”
The president’s comments suggest he is a close reader of other public polling that mirrors the findings from The Times and Siena College, which found a sizable gap between registered and likely voters.
“We run strongest among likely voters in the polling data,” he told supporters at a campaign fund-raiser on Saturday in Medina, Wash., an upscale suburb of Seattle. “That’s a good sign. And while the national polls basically have us registered voters up by four, likely voters we’re up by more.”….