The two ARE neck and neck….
President Biden leads Trump by a hair in the new ABC/Ispsos Poll with Registered and those who say they are likely to vote…
Trump leads in the overal poll respondents by hair….
Most margins are within the polls margin of error….
Oh?
Trump COULD LOSE up to 20% of his support if he loses the’not so important NYC criminal case that IS turning out to BE IMPORTANT…
And Robert Kenndey Jr. IS pulling support from TRUMP NOT Biden…..
The Economy IS still the top concern yjay these respondents said….
Things ARE THAT Close….
Locked in a tight race for the presidency, Donald Trump prevails in trust to handle most issues in a new ABC News/Ipsos poll, yet President Joe Bidenscores competitively on key personal attributes — leaving wide open the question of who’ll prevail come Election Day, now six months away.
Excluding people who say they wouldn’t vote, Trump has 46% support, Biden 44%, in this national survey of more than 2,200 adults. (Nearly all the rest say they’d pick someone else.) Among registered voters, it’s Biden 46%, Trump 45%. Among likely voters, it’s Biden 49%, Trump 45%, again not a significant difference.
A five-way contest doesn’t change the picture in this poll, produced for ABC by Langer Research Associates with fieldwork by Ipsos. This finds the race at 42% for Trump and 40% for Biden, with 12% for Robert F. Kennedy Jr., 2% for Cornel West and 1% for Jill Stein. (That, of course, assumes Kennedy, West and Stein are on the ballot in all states, an open question.) Among registered voters in the five-way race, it’s 42-42%, Biden-Trump, and Biden is a non-significant +3 or +4 points in likely voter models.
Kennedy gets 12% even though 77% of his supporters say they know “just some” or “hardly anything” about his positions on the issues. Notably, his supporters are more apt to be Republicans or GOP-leaning independents (54%) than Democrats and Democratic leaners (42%, a slight difference given sample sizes), and in a two-way race, they favor Trump over Biden by 13 points. That may explain why Trump attacked Kennedy as a stalking horse in social media posts last week….