New polling suggests that 2024 Presidential race IS close now and that President Biden is trending up…
The RFK Jr. campaign is hurting the Trump poll numbers NOT the Biden numbers, which ARE creeping Up….
Trump has consistently led Biden in the three-way hypothetical race since Nov. 8, when Biden briefly overtook Trump, 39.3 percent support to 39.1 percent. In December and into January, Trump maintained a statistically significant lead over Biden, but Biden began gaining on Trump early last month.
“Since President Biden gave his State of the Union speech in early March, we have seen him close the gap nationally to be tied with former President Trump for the first time since November 2023,” DDHQ’s Scott Tranter said.
The narrowing in the polls, Tranter said, “is a foreshadowing of the intense campaigning and volatility in the polling we’ll experience as we close in on November’s election.”
In recent days, several polls added to DDHQ’s national polling average have pointed to a very close race. A recent Economist/YouGov poll showed Trump and Biden tied with 43 percent support and Kennedy with 3 percent. A recent Quinnipiac University poll also had them tied at 37 percent support, with Kennedy at 16 percent.
Other polls in recent days have been split. A Marist College poll showed Biden leading by 5 points, and an Emerson College poll showed Trump leading by 4 points.
The latest development in the national polling average of a hypothetical three-way race will come as welcome news to Biden’s campaign, which has doubled down on efforts to prevent Kennedy from hindering the president’s reelection amid concerns about the independent candidate’s momentum. Many Democrats worry Kennedy’s bid could do more harm to Biden’s reelection chances than to Trump’s….